208. Die Illusion der Kontrolle oder moderne Organisationsentwicklung (David Symhoven und Christina Grubendorfer)

In 'Antifragile', Nassim Nicholas Taleb delves into the concept of antifragility, arguing that some systems not only withstand stress and disorder but actually benefit from them. The book builds on ideas from his previous works, such as 'Fooled by Randomness' and 'The Black Swan', and is part of his five-volume philosophical treatise on uncertainty, 'Incerto'. Taleb provides examples from various fields, including science, economics, and history, to illustrate how antifragility can be achieved and how it contrasts with fragility and robustness. He also discusses strategies like the barbell strategy and optionality, and critiques modern society's attempts to eliminate volatility, which he believes are harmful. The book is praised for its revolutionary ideas and multidisciplinary approach, though it has also received criticism for its style and some of the author's views on mental health and other topics.

The Black Swan is a landmark book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb that investigates the phenomenon of highly improbable events with massive impacts. These events, termed Black Swans, are unpredictable, have a significant impact, and are rationalized after the fact to appear less random. Taleb argues that humans are hardwired to focus on specifics rather than generalities, leading to a failure to consider what we don’t know. The book delves into cognitive biases, the limitations of mathematical models, and the importance of robustness and antifragility in navigating a world filled with uncertainty. The second edition includes a new essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' offering tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

In 'Schnelles Denken, langsames Denken' untersucht Daniel Kahneman die kognitiven Verzerrungen und Heuristiken, die unser Denken und Entscheiden prägen. Das Buch teilt das menschliche Denken in zwei Systeme ein: System 1, das schnell, intuitiv und emotional ist, und System 2, das langsam, rational und logisch ist. Kahneman beschreibt zahlreiche Experimente und Beispiele, die die Unterschiede zwischen diesen beiden Gedankenprozessen aufzeigen und wie sie oft zu verschiedenen Schlüssen führen. Er diskutiert auch die Prospect Theory, die Verlustaversion, und andere kognitive Verzerrungen, die unsere Entscheidungen beeinflussen. Das Buch bietet Einblicke in die menschliche Irrationalität und zeigt, wie wir uns gegen verhängnisvolle Fehlentscheidungen wappnen können.