One Decision

John Bolton and Operation Iraqi Freedom Commander: The Lessons from Iraq Trump Can't Ignore

22 snips
Mar 4, 2026
John Bolton, former U.S. National Security Advisor and hardline foreign-policy advocate, warns Iran could fragment and outlines regional ripple effects. Mark Hertling, retired U.S. Army lieutenant general with Iraq operational experience, stresses post-strike planning and lessons from disbanding armies. They debate power vacuums, Gulf states' moves, Iran retaliation, and wider impacts on Russia, China, energy and alliances.
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INSIGHT

Regime Change Is The Only Lasting Solution

  • John Bolton argues regime change is the only long-term way to remove Iran's nuclear and terrorism threats.
  • He warns destroying the program but leaving the regime lets Iran rebuild and resume hostile activity.
INSIGHT

Military Officers Could Stabilize A Postregime Iran

  • Bolton predicts fragmentation at the top of Iran and possible takeover by regular army officers rather than immediate civilian democracy.
  • He compares a hopeful outcome to Poland's General Jaruzelski steering a transition toward Solidarity.
ADVICE

Sweep Ghost Tankers To Stabilize Oil Markets

  • Bolton urges an international effort to clear ghost tankers and secure oil markets, akin to the Proliferation Security Initiative.
  • He recommends NATO leadership and broad coalition action to remove illicit tankers from oceans.
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