The Future Of Less Work

How Do You Build Strategy When You Can’t Predict the Future with Arjan Singh

Jan 13, 2026
Arjan Singh, author and strategy consultant who teaches at SMU, specializes in corporate war games and scenario planning. He discusses using war games to rehearse disruptive futures. He explains shifting from annual plans to continuous strategy sprints. He explores how AI makes data abundant while human judgment and culture remain crucial. He outlines changing manager roles and practicing comfort with ambiguity.
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
ANECDOTE

Pre-COVID Travel War Game

  • Arjan Singh recounts a 2017 SMU war game that modeled a 95% drop in travel demand as a stress test.
  • Students initially dismissed it but the scenario prefigured COVID and forced strategy pivots.
INSIGHT

Activate Scenarios, Focus On Impact

  • Arjan differentiates war gaming from scenario planning by saying war games activate scenarios into actionable plans.
  • He emphasizes focusing on impact over probability when choosing scenarios to rehearse.
ADVICE

Adopt Continuous Simulation Strategy

  • Move from annual planning to a continuous simulation strategy cycle with shorter sprints.
  • Run monthly or quarterly war games to pivot quickly when new information arises.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app