Prediction Market Whiffs and Probabilities

This week on Circle Back, we break down some of the worst sports betting advice currently circulating on Gambling Twitter. The crew reacts to a viral strategy suggesting bettors should blindly fade steam moves in low-liquidity mid-major college basketball games, and explains why sportsbooks adjusting to sharp action does NOT suddenly create value on the other side. We also discuss bankroll management advice encouraging bettors to constantly withdraw profits instead of allowing their bankroll and unit size to scale properly, and debate a controversial take dismissing the importance of closing line value (CLV) as a core indicator of long-term betting success. Plus, we round up some of the latest viral moments, arguments, and drama from Gambling Twitter this week.

Circle Back is hosted by Jacob Gramegna and is part of Circles Off on The Hammer Betting Network. This episode features Joey Knish alongside Porter from BA Analytics and Chinamaniac as the panel breaks down the latest conversations, debates, and controversies happening across Gambling Twitter.

📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos!

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SHOW INDEX

0:00 - Circle Back Friday with Jacob Gramegna, Chinamaniac, Joey Knish and Porter

2:00 - College basketball betting strategy (NO RESEARCH)

9:49 - Bankroll advice

16:12 - Thoughts on CLV

24:07 - Big whiff or just the odds?

32:23 - Reading your comments

43:40 - Would you rather...

49:17 - Anti-tout sentiment

55:54 - ChillyBets gets DubClub promo

#SportsBetting #Betting #circleback #bettingtips #bettingstrategy #bettingstrategies #bettingadvice #gambling

Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.

Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.

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