Geopolitical Risk: Oil Prices and Inflation

AI investment, fiscal stimulus and an ongoing industrial renaissance continue to power the US economy. Yet geopolitical shocks, tariff shifts and inflation above target are creating persistent crosscurrents that complicate the outlook. As the first quarter of 2026 draws to a close, Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok examines the tension between solid fundamentals and mounting uncertainty, and what it could mean for investors.