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Ep. 604: Mega Decision-Making Episode with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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How to Be a Superforecaster

There are certain cognitive and motivational prerequisites for becoming a superforecaster. The rising number of people could improve their probability estimation skills quite a bit if they follow the guidelines in the book. It doesn't matter how high your IQ is or how much political knowledge you have, says David Frum. If you're not going to take seriously the challenges of probability estimation, you're never going to get better at it.

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