Labor market outlook and unemployment rate

In this episode of Making Sense, Mike Feroli, Chief U.S. Economist at J.P. Morgan, joins Sam Azzarello, head of Content Strategy, to unpack the March jobs report and what it signals beneath the headline. They discuss the rebound in hiring after February’s data, early signs that AI may be reshaping the labor market, and what higher energy prices could mean for consumer momentum. The conversation closes with Feroli’s outlook on how the data may shape the Fed’s near-term policy stance and his base-case outlook for the U.S. economy.

This episode was recorded on April 3, 2026. 

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