Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4dTkNSp
The Monday Dividend Cafe recaps sharp intraday volatility as the Dow finished slightly up while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed down, with financials and utilities outperforming and industrials and technology lagging; the Nasdaq is down about 10% since the recent selloff began and many “Mag Seven” stocks are down over 20%, alongside steep declines in bitcoin and other high-risk names. David describes a broad risk-off posture intensified by the Iran-related military situation, notes WTI around $104 (up roughly 50% since the war began), and highlights relative strength in energy, midstream, refiners, and other commodity-sensitive areas. Bond yields remain elevated but the 10-year fell about nine basis points to 4.35%, and he argues long-end term premium is likely too high. He advises against disrupting a coherent investment plan amid uncertainty, covers brief policy updates (DHS funding, a 401(k) private markets rule proposal, David Sachs leaving his crypto/AI role, an Anthropic-related court ruling, and Fed futures), and previews an energy-focused Dividend Cafe later in the week.
00:00 Market Whipsaw Recap
00:48 Risk Curve Reality Check
01:59 Bonds Yields and Term Premium
03:25 Sector Winners and Losers
04:18 Stay the Course Investing
05:48 War Headlines and Uncertainty
06:37 Policy Updates and 401k Rule
07:56 Housing and Fed Odds
08:39 Oil Midstream and Wrap Up
09:03 Closing Notes and Week Ahead
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com
