Is This the Bottom and Holding Time Horizon

Dan Morehead returns to The Master Investor Podcast for a timely update on why he still believes Bitcoin – and the broader digital asset space – remains “the most asymmetric trade” of his career, even after a 50% drawdown from the cycle peak in October 2025.

The Pantera Capital founder and former Tiger Management and Goldman Sachs macro trader unpacks the current crypto cycle, and why this correction has been milder than past 75–85% busts. He also tells Wilf why he thinks we may already be close to the bottom in terms of level, though maybe not  timing, admitting that it may be another 6-8 months before crypto rallies significantly again.

The discussion ranges from the “debasement trade”; why central banks may have been drawn to buy gold of late but might pick bitcoin in future; the case for stablecoins and why crypto investors should celebrate the regulatory shift in the US even if there is currently a standoff around stablecoin legislation. Dan also explains why he thinks equities and AI in particular is overvalued, especially relative to crypto.

Wilf and Dan discuss what the Iran war means for crypto, including how, in his eyes, it’s yet another factor that will drive the separation of money and state. Dan argues that geopolitical fragmentation, sanctions risk and war are all accelerating the demand for neutral, non-sovereign money that sits outside the traditional banking and Treasury-controlled system.​

This episode is a must-listen for anyone who owns crypto or is considering it for their portfolio.

You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel

And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In

Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG). 

The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.

This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.