Prediction: Backpedaling After Hasty AI Bets

🤖🧠 AI is making strategy cheap. Adoption is still expensive.

In this episode, Dietmar Fischer sits down with Bud Caddell (NOBL) to unpack what leaders miss when they roll out generative AI and expect instant results. Bud shares how his team thinks about AI change management, why “turning on Copilot” is not an adoption plan, and what happens to consulting when LLMs can produce “firm-grade” recommendations in seconds.

You will also hear the story behind ConsultingSlop.com, a strategy generator that models the reasoning styles of major consulting firms and outputs polished advice instantly. What started as a parody quickly became a serious signal about commoditization, incentives, and the real differentiator: execution, trust, and organizational design.

Key takeaways you can apply immediately:

✅ How to approach Microsoft Copilot adoption strategy like a redesign effort, not a software toggle

✅ Why AI literacy and training reduce fear, resistance, and “adoption theater”

✅ What the agents wave means in practice, including platforms like Agentforce

✅ How “vibe coding” changes prototyping speed and risk for teams

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About Dietmar Fischer: Dietmar is a podcaster and AI marketer from Berlin. If you want to know how to get your AI or your digital marketing going, just contact him at argoberlin.com

Quotes from the Episode

1. “AI is this incredible wave that I think is gonna fundamentally change individual organizations, but the entire economy, society at large.”
2. “We turned on Copilot, so why aren’t we more productive? … it’s a design process.”
3. “My big prediction is that over the next 18 months, we’re gonna see a lot of backpedaling… and sunk cost fallacy.”

Chapters

00:00 Bud’s path from software to organizational change and why AI feels different

04:20 ConsultingSlop.com, vibe coding, and when AI strategy gets uncomfortably believable

06:30 Copilot mandates vs real adoption, why productivity math fails without redesign

16:40 AI as a catalyst for deeper issues: brand story, conflict, and culture

19:25 The next 18 months: investment traps, backpedaling, and what leaders should do

38:00 Agents, Agentforce, and Bud’s personal AI toolkit plus wow moments and wrap

Where to find the Guest

• Bud Caddell: https://budcaddell.com/
• NOBL: https://nobl.io/
• Consulting Slop: https://consultingslop.com/
• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/budcaddell/

Music credit: "Modern Situations" by Unicorn Heads

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