Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez cover image

Ep. 351: Tyler Goodspeed on Recession Myths, the Reality of Economic Shocks, and Policy Hubris

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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Forecasting recessions and investor signals

Tyler argues recessions are largely unforecastable, though some asset-price moves are predictable and often not causal for recessions.

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