An Armed Nonalignment Model for Ukraine’s Postwar Security
Book •
Jennifer Kavanagh's report presents a detailed armed non-alignment model for Ukraine's postwar security, arguing against NATO membership or Article 5-style guarantees and for a strong, self-sufficient Ukrainian military paired with curated external support.
The work combines historical alignment analysis and campaign-level military planning to estimate force sizes, reserve requirements, and materiel needs to make Ukraine a credible deterrent against future aggression.
It outlines production timelines, costs, and the role of Ukrainian defense industry while recommending formal non-alignment commitments and practical security assurances from partners.
The report emphasizes feasibility, affordability relative to continued war, and mechanisms such as stockpiles and surge aid to provide credible support without alliance membership.
It serves as a granular policy blueprint for negotiators and planners considering durable post-conflict security arrangements for Ukraine.
The work combines historical alignment analysis and campaign-level military planning to estimate force sizes, reserve requirements, and materiel needs to make Ukraine a credible deterrent against future aggression.
It outlines production timelines, costs, and the role of Ukrainian defense industry while recommending formal non-alignment commitments and practical security assurances from partners.
The report emphasizes feasibility, affordability relative to continued war, and mechanisms such as stockpiles and surge aid to provide credible support without alliance membership.
It serves as a granular policy blueprint for negotiators and planners considering durable post-conflict security arrangements for Ukraine.
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How to defend Ukraine after a ceasefire
