Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez
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Dec 16, 2022 • 57min

Agathe Demarais on How Sanctions Backfire on the US

Agathe Demarais is the Global Forecasting Director of The Economist Intelligence Unit. Agathe has a special focus on trade, sanctions, European affairs, Russia and the Middle East. As The EIU's Global Forecasting Director, Agathe oversees the publication of The EIU global outlook. Prior to joining The EIU, Agathe worked in the diplomatic corps of the French Treasury. She spent five years in Russia and three years in the Middle East, where she developed her knowledge of sanctions and policymaking. Agathe is the author of the new book 'Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests'. This week's podcast covers: How sanctions impact local populations US extra-territorial power and impact on multi-nationals US dollar as weapon
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Dec 9, 2022 • 52min

Shannon O'Neil on What Everyone Gets Wrong About (De)Globalisation

Shannon O'Neil is the vice president, deputy director of studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller senior fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. She is an expert on global trade, supply chains, Mexico, Latin America, and democracy. Did globalisation increase that much in the past? Japan's important role Why South America didn't regionalise
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Dec 2, 2022 • 45min

David Rubenstein on How to Invest Like Superstar Investors

David Rubenstein is Co-Founder and Co-Chairman of the Carlyle Group – one of the largest private equity firms in the world. Prior to forming Carlyle in 1987, David practiced law in Washington, D.C. with Shaw, Pittman, Potts & Trowbridge LLP (now Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP). From 1977 to 1981, Mr. Rubenstein was Deputy Assistant to the US President for Domestic Policy. Among other philanthropic endeavours, David is Chairman of the Boards of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Economic Club of Washington, and the University of Chicago. David also serves as a Fellow of the Harvard Corporation and as Chairman of the Harvard Global Advisory Council and the Madison Council of the Library of Congress. David is a magna cum laude graduate of Duke University, where he was elected Phi Beta Kappa. Following Duke, David graduated from the University of Chicago Law School, where he was an editor of the Law Review. This week's podcast covers how private equity has evolved, common patterns of star investors, why social class matters for investors, and much more.
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Nov 25, 2022 • 1h 52min

Fred Thiel on FTX Fallout, Bitcoin Energy Myths, and Future of Crypto

Fred Thiel is the CEO of Marathon Digital Holdings – one of the largest bitcoin mining companies in North America. Prior to this, Fred co-founded Sprocket, a blockchain and cryptocurrency technology and financial services company that focused on creating a single aggregated global trading marketplace. Before that, Fred served as CEO of Local Corporation, a Nasdaq-listed leader in online local search and digital media. Outside of these roles, Fred has founded and run numerous tech companies both in hardware and software. This week's podcast covers attempts at building a crypto exchange, how mining helps move to renewable energy, thoughts on FTX, and much more.
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Nov 18, 2022 • 55min

Gerard DiPippo on CIA, US-China Tech War, and Taiwan Risks

Gerard is a senior fellow with the Economics Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He joined CSIS after nearly 11 years in the U.S. intelligence community. From 2018 to 2021, DiPippo was a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council, where he led the intelligence community's economic analysis of East Asia. He also was a senior economic analyst at the CIA focused on East Asia, South Asia, and global economic issues. In this podcast, we discuss working at the CIA, structural pressures vs zero-COVID policy, how China sees the Russia-Ukraine war, and much more.
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Nov 11, 2022 • 54min

Victoria Ivashina on Whether Private Markets Will Trigger a Crisis

Victoria is Professor of Finance and Head of the Finance Unit at Harvard Business School. She is also the faculty chair of the Global Initiative for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. She is a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a Research Fellow at the Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, and a member of the Model Validation Council at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Victoria co-heads Harvard Business School's Private Capital Initiative and Private Equity and Venture Capital (PEVC) executive education program. She is a co-author of Patient Capital: The Challenges and Promises of Long-Term Investing and Private Equity: A Case Book. In this podcast, we discuss characteristics of long-term investing, private equity, private debt, venture capital, types of investors in these asset market, and much more.
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Nov 4, 2022 • 41min

Igor Yelnik on How to Trade Macro Differently

Igor founded Alphidence Capital in 2020 and holds the positions of CEO and CIO. The fund is unusual in that it focuses on systematic macro investing. Previously Igor was the CIO for ADG Capital Management LLP from 2013 to 2019. Prior to that he spent 9 years at IPM Informed Portfolio Management AB where he was a Partner and Head of Portfolio Management and Research. Igor graduated from Leningrad Polytechnic Institute in 1986 where he obtained a Master's degree in Computer Science. In this podcast we discuss how to model central bank reaction functions, use of valuation models, how to manage risk, and much more.
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Oct 28, 2022 • 1h 11min

Nouriel Roubini on World War 3 Starting, Debt Crisis and Robot Takeover

Nouriel Roubini is CEO of Roubini Macro Associates and Chief Economist for Atlas Capital Team LP. He is Professor Emeritus at the Stern School of Business (New York University). He has previously served as the senior economist for international affairs on the White House Council of Economic Advisors and then the senior advisor to the undersecretary for international affairs at the U.S. Treasury Department. He's the author of many books including his latest: Megathreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That Imperil Our Future And How To Survive Them. In this podcast we discuss the implications of high debt levels, which balance sheets look worrisome, chances of World War and much more.
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Oct 21, 2022 • 54min

Doomberg on Energy Scarcity, Nuclear Power and Failure of Energy Transition Policies

The Doomberg team are energy gurus amongst other things. They are the anonymous publishing arm of a bespoke consulting firm providing advisory services to family offices and C-suite executives. Its principals have decades of experience across heavy industry, private equity and finance.
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Oct 14, 2022 • 1h 15min

Robert Carver on How To Build Successful Trading Strategies

Robert is a systematic futures trader, writer, and researcher. He is the author of several books on systematic trading including 'Systematic Trading: A unique new method for designing trading and investing systems' and the upcoming 'Advanced Futures Trading Strategies'. Before becoming independent, Robert worked for AHL, one of the leading systematic hedge funds, which is part of the Man Group. He was responsible for the creation of AHL's fundamental global macro strategy, and then managed the funds multi-billion dollar fixed income portfolio. In this podcast, we discuss systematic vs discretionary trading, how to avoid overfitting and better back-tests, which frequency of trading works best, and much more.

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