Lead-Lag Live

ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Ever wondered how Bitcoin has managed to survive and thrive despite the challenges it faced in the second cycle? Well, we have finance and money geek Simon Dixon joining us today to discuss his journey down the Bitcoin rabbit hole, the fascinating concept of the four-year Bitcoin cycle, and why it has struggled to maintain its momentum in recent months. We'll also uncover the mining and validation process, as well as the monetary policy structure that underpins Bitcoin's unprecedented returns.As we delve deeper into the Bitcoin world, we also explore the future of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and gain insights from Simon on the potential adoption of CBDCs by the Federal Reserve and the Bank for International Settlements' guidance on using stablecoins and CBDCs at the central banking level. Furthermore, we'll discuss the role China has played in the development of CBDCs and how they could be used to remove fractional reserve banking.Lastly, don't miss out on Simon's investment strategies for Bitcoin and beyond, as well as his advice on managing risk in high-risk investments. Learn from his experience as a shareholder in high-performing companies and how balancing risk and reward is the key to success. So, tune in to this riveting conversation with Simon Dixon and equip yourself with the knowledge to create a balanced portfolio that will best protect you in the event of a doomsday scenario.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Imagine a world where investing in the green economy not only helps combat climate change but also yields attractive returns. Join our conversation with Lawson Steele, an institutional equities analyst specializing in the European carbon market, as we unravel the intricacies of the EU emission trading system (ETS) and discover the investment opportunities it presents. Lawson shares his knowledge on the vital role of the market stability reserve (MSR) in aggressively cutting supply, and why he became deeply interested in the carbon market back in 2018.Dirtier industries like aluminum and steel are facing significant challenges in managing the costs of emissions. But what does this mean for consumers? Lawson helps us examine the complexities of the carbon movement and the 10-year deficit of supply, as well as the carbon border adjustment mechanism being implemented by the EU to prevent companies from producing elsewhere. We also discuss potential factors that could stagnate the carbon credits market once more.The world of carbon trading extends beyond the European carbon market, encompassing voluntary markets as well. Lawson enlightens us on the importance of reducing emissions, the differences between the EU ETS and the Voluntary Carbon Market, and the challenges faced by the latter. Learn about alternative options for gaining exposure to the carbon space and how Lawson transitioned from forecasting the cost of carbon to investing in the green economy. Listen in and discover your path to investing for a greener tomorrow.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Ever wondered how seasoned traders identify distressed assets and opportunities in the energy sector? Join us as we sit down with Fergus Cullen, who shares his fascinating journey from corporate asset management to a successful trading career based in Barley. Discover Fergus' unique approach to finding the biggest margin of safety in the most unloved areas of the energy market, and learn why it's becoming increasingly challenging to uncover truly distressed assets.As we dig into the risks and rewards of energy investments, Fergus offers invaluable insights on oil services, uranium investments, and the advantages of offshore drillers. We also discuss the potential of investing in coal and tin, and reveal what prompted Fergus to take a significant position in Peabody Energy. Tune in and find out how a diversified portfolio can help you reduce risks when trading commodities.In this enlightening conversation, we also address the environmental impacts of burning coal, the cost of producing green steel, and the potential of tin investments. Fergus shares his thoughts on the inflection point of inflation and the pursuit of scarce assets to hold value. Finally, we examine the complex interplay between commodity and energy abundance, inflation, and the demand pull coming out of the pandemic, as well as the potential consequences of transitioning to an increasingly inflationary energy system. Don't miss this rare opportunity to learn from Fergus Cullen's wealth of expertise!Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Ever wondered about the power of family legacy in the financial markets? Join us for a fascinating conversation with Terrence Brogan, who shares his family's history in the industry and how it shaped his own career.  Discover how Terrence followed in his father's footsteps, joining the family business and specializing in money flow analysis.In this captivating discussion, we explore the differences between Terrence's father's traditional technical analysis and Terrence's own rules-based quantum impact approach. Uncover how both father and son use relative performance to make investment decisions, and the importance of momentum in investing. We also dive deeper into the world of money flow analysis, going beyond just price changes.Finally, Terrence shares insights on the significance of backtesting and money flow analysis in identifying fundamental companies and good stocks. Learn about the psychology and discipline behind money flow analysis, the lag times between money flow changes and market shifts, and the use of computer systems in technical analysis. Don't miss this opportunity to examine the need for discipline and how Tarant's father's traditional technical analysis and his own rules-based quantum impact approach play a role in their clients' models.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

What if you could navigate the complexities of investment strategies and market cycles with expert advice from a trillion-dollar asset manager? Join us as we sit down with Chris Brightman, CEO and CIO of Research Affiliates, to uncover the secrets of smart investing and the potential of smart beta strategies in the current market landscape.In this fascinating conversation, Chris shares valuable insights on the ever-changing investment world, the risks associated with the technology trend, and the history of market bubbles and crashes. We also delve deep into the potential of small cap dynamics for alpha generation and examine the notion of quality as a factor. Additionally, we explore the relationship between government budget deficits and corporate profits, touching on the Kalecki profit equation and the possible implications of a recession on government stimulus and corporate profits.We wrap up our discussion by covering various investment fund options, such as Schwab and PIMCO, and emphasize the importance of finding the right advisor or financial planner to guide you through these critical decisions. Don't miss this incredible opportunity to learn from Chris Brightman's wealth of experience and knowledge in the investment world!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

What if you could gain valuable insights on the future of technology investing, specifically focusing on AI's impact on various industries? Don't miss our enlightening conversation with Ross Gerber, President and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki, as we navigate the world of AI in technology investing, beginning with Ross's journey as a professional money manager and the successes he's had investing in companies like Tesla, Nvidia, and Netflix.Throughout our discussion, we tackle the evolution of AI and its impact on the tech industry, touching on how AI has been around for some time and its increasing role in autonomy, including Tesla's use of AI to save lives and make the world more efficient. We also explore the small business environment in the current economy, the implications of AI technology on inflation rates and bond markets, and how the Federal Reserve is dealing with the ever-changing paradigm.As we delve deeper into AI's impact, we examine the potential of companies like NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, and TMO in healthcare technology, and how the aging population is changing the healthcare industry. We discuss the use of AI to increase the efficiency of the medical system and to help with genetic sequencing and cancer screening. Furthermore, we look into how data sets can be used to help with treatments and how companies like Google and Apple are getting involved in healthcare. Join us for this captivating episode and stay ahead of the curve in the world of AI and technology investing.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

What happens when a seasoned attorney turns his analytical skills toward the world of markets and macroeconomics? Prepare to have your mind blown as Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, shares invaluable insights on market data analysis, including the limitations of quantitative work and the importance of an open-minded approach. Don't miss Warren's journey from the courtroom to his time at Ned Davis Research, and how his legal background has shaped his unique perspective on the markets.The traditional 60/40 investor may be in for a shock as stocks and bonds experience a shifting correlation. Warren and I explore the potential inflationary pressures that could arise from deglobalization, the shale revolution, and the pandemic's impact on the economy. But it's not all doom and gloom – we also uncover what residential construction payrolls can tell us about predicting the arrival of a recession and the resilience of the housing market.Lastly, we tackle the hot topic of mega cap divergence and its potential implications for market dynamics. Can the bottom 490 stocks pick up the baton and drive the rally? We look at the historical cases of mega cap divergence, and discuss China's role in the global oil market as a crucial player in the petroleum complex. Join us for an engaging conversation that synthesizes a wealth of knowledge from Warren Pies and offers a fresh perspective on the intricate world of markets and macroeconomics.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Navigating the complexities of the global economy can be a daunting task, but it doesn't have to be. Join us as we sit down with Greg Daco, our esteemed guest, to explore the challenges of the multi-speed market and its impact on forecasting. With insight on the poly crisis type environment and guidance on how to handle different sectors experiencing recession one after the other, this episode will equip you with the knowledge to make informed decisions in a rapidly changing economic landscape.As we continue our conversation, we dive into the fascinating world of disinflationary dynamics and what it means for monetary policy. We examine how the Fed's data-dependent approach has been impacted by moderating inflation and the potential of policy recalibration. Discover the intricacies of the lag between interest rates and CPI, and whether the Fed may have over-tightened with the current rate rises. Finally, we tackle the contentious debt ceiling debate and its implications for financial stability. From a clean increase to executive action and the potential for default, we analyze the economic consequences of each scenario and the possible effects of deflation on inflation. This is an essential listen for anyone looking to better understand the complex dynamics of the global economy and make informed decisions for their investments and businesses.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

What are the real takeaways from the recent G7 Summit and how do they demonstrate a shift in international relations? Join us for an enlightening conversation with our guest Kyle Bass, as we discuss the significance of the G7 Summit, its press coverage in Hiroshima, and the formation of rival blocks with China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as the ‘bad guys’. As we dive deeper into geopolitics, we'll also explore China's war preparations and their impact on global supply chains, from the increasing number of exit bans to the updated espionage laws. Moreover, we'll examine the complexities and risks of investing in China, considering the lack of rule of law and audits, and whether fiduciaries are neglecting their responsibilities by remaining invested in the country. ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Navigating the ever-changing global market landscape can be a daunting task. That's why I invited seasoned trader Chris Weston to join me in discussing crucial factors such as US politics, Federal Reserve policy, and the S&P index to better understand risks and volatility events in the market. With his vast experience in investment banking and current role at Pepperstone, Chris offers invaluable insights that every investor should be aware of.In this engaging episode, we explore the strong performance of the Japanese market and delve into the risk and reward of buying NICO at current levels. We also examine the influence of technical analysis and fund flows on market movement, touching on the role of the yen in hedging and the implications of the US debt ceiling. Additionally, we compare the differing narratives of Chinese investments earlier this year to the current Japanese market. Lastly, we analyze the strategies investors and traders are implementing in today's low volatility market environment. Our conversation covers the potential impact of options expiry this Friday, the use of low realized volatility to sell calls and buy puts, and the difficulty of taking an outright bearish position. Don't miss this insightful episode as we uncover the potential implications of rising real rates, a falling US dollar, and the looming debt ceiling debate on the global economy.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditions Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show