Investopoly

Personal insurances such as Income Protection, Life insurance and Total and Permanent Disability (TPD) are becoming impossible to get unless you are in perfect health. This change has occurred gradually over the past few years but has now reached the point that it’s become a real concern. This has a number of consequences which I discuss below.Insurers have a bad nameWe heard some shocking stories last year via the Banking Royal Commission about insurance companies including questionable and even unethical sales tactics, unreasonably denying paying claims and so on. I’m not sticking up for the insurance companies. Their tactics are boarding on criminal. However, also, a big contributor towards these problems is that people don’t understand what they are buying.When it comes to insurance cover, the advantage of “no questions asked” might seem convenient, but it just isn’t in your favour. You want to ensure the insurer comprehensively underwrites your cover before they put the cover into force. This includes asking you questions, undertaking medical checks, reviewing medical history and so on. Doing so leaves them less room to use the excuse of a “pre-existing condition” to deny any future claim.Also, it’s important to understand the quality of the policy. Quality refers to the terms and conditions and definitions within a policy document. These all impact how comprehensive the cover is. If you get these two things right (i.e. quality and underwriting), you are much less likely to experience problems or nasty surprises down the track.What has changed?It is the underwriting and assessment process that has changed over the past few years. Insurers are, in our opinion, being over-stringent.Normally, if an insurer believes that you have a pre-existing health condition, they can take one of four actions:1. Approve the cover anyway (this is very unlikely); or2. Add an exclusion on the policy (meaning that you are not covered if that health concern causes you problems); or3. Add a loading onto the premium (i.e. charge a higher premium); or4. Decline the cover.A policy exclusion or outright decline are the most common outcomes – even for minor, inconsequential, asymptomatic health conditions! Lately, it seems that unless you are in absolutely perfect health, it is difficuMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

The bushfires in NSW and Queensland recently reinvigorated the conversation about global warming and whether the Australian government is doing enough to combat it. I’ll refrain from sharing my thoughts on this topic (I’m sure no one cares what I think about this anyway), but I thought it was timely to write a blog about sustainable investing. If you are concerned for the environment, this is a way of ‘putting your money where your mouth is’.Sustainable investing grew by 35% between 2016 and 2018. It now accounts for over $70 trillion of assets globally.What is sustainable investing?Substantiable investing means that you only invest in companies that are combating climate change, are socially responsible and have good governance practices. In simple terms, its investing in businesses that are doing the right thing. And, maybe more importantly, not investing in the businesses that are doing the wrong thing.Sustainable investing is often referred to as ESG investing. ESG stands for Environmental, Social and Governance:§ Environmental relates mainly to climate change (greenhouse gas emissions) but also includes, resource depletion, waste disposal, pollution and deforestation.§ Social relates to matters such as human rights, modern slavery, child labour, working conditions, and employee relations. It includes avoiding investing in companies that are involved in tobacco, adult entertainment, weapons, gambling and so on.§ Governance relates to matters such as bribery and corruption, executive pay, board diversity and structure, political lobbying and donations, tax strategy.The organisation Principals for Responsible Investment (PRI) was established in 2006 under auspices of United Nations to help its signatories (investment managers) better understand and effectively implement sustainable investing principals.What impact can this have?An ESG fund can have a massive impact by avoiding companies with high carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, for example. There are two types of omissions to consider: (1) actual omissions and (2) potential omissions. Potential omissions mainly relate to mining companies. It is the reserve of raw materials (minerals or whatever they are mining) that they have identified that still is yet to be mined.By eliminating highMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

With the 2019 calendar year quickly drawing to a close, I thought it would be good to have a look at what next year might bring in terms of investment risks and opportunities.Over the years, I found that its best to form opinions on the economy by reading analysis/insights and attending economic briefings, whilst being careful to not overindulge. Too many opinions and viewpoints can confuse and sometimes send you down a rabbit hole. This should be complimented with real-world observation such as taking notice of retail traffic conditions, anecdotal discussions with businesspeople and so on. This approach has served me pretty well over the past few decades.The economy and the risk of recessionThere has been a bit of press lately about the risk of Australia and other developed economies (including the US) slipping into a recession.Australia is now in its 28th year of uninterrupted economic expansion – which is a world record for a developed economy. But all records must end someday. That said, population growth and raw-material (iron ore) exports have been big contributors to our economy over recent decades. I don’t see that changing anytime soon. However, some sectors of the economy have been really struggling. For example, retail trade has been flat in the year to September 2019. Retail weakness has mainly manifested in household goods (probably impacted by the property market slowdown) and department store sales (thanks to online competition). Wage inflation has also been low with the Wage Price Index recently coming in at 2.2%. Prior to early 2013, the index used to always be above 3% (and peaked at 4% just prior to the GFC). But this phenomenon isn’t unique to Australia – all developed economies around the world are struggling to generate wage inflation.In terms of globally, the US deserves the most attention because it’s the largest developed economy by far. The Fed Reserve has been cutting rates to keep the economy growing. President Trump has called for more rate cuts (even negative rates) and for them to recommence quantitative easing. Lower rates in the US are expected to depreciate the US dollar which should add some more fuel for the economy.On the whole, I think a recession in Australia or in the US is unlikely in 2020. Of course, both economies are getting closer to an economic slowdown as each month passes. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, I thMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

According to global bank Standard Chartered, the Chinese and Indian economies are expected to more than triple between 2017 and 2030. In fact, China’s Gross Domestic Product (a measure of a country’s economic output) is predicted to be more than double the USA. This is because the International Monetary Fund predicts that emerging economy growth rates will be nearly three times higher than developed economies. However, investing in emerging markets is not for the fainthearted.Developed versus emerging marketsStock markets are typically classified as either developed or emerging markets. Developed markets have a robust and reliable financial system. The country must be open to foreign ownership, ease of capital movement, and efficiency of market institutions. As such, the governments disclosure and regulatory regime is aimed at providing investors with reliable and trustworthy information. The largest developed economies include USA (accounts for 62.8% of all developed markets), Japan (8.4%), UK (5.5%), France (3.8%) and 19 other smaller countries including Australia.However, emerging markets are less developed. Their financial systems do not have the same level of transparency, accountability and regulatory oversight. The largest emerging markets include China (33%), Korea (13%), Taiwan (11.4%) and India (9%) plus 22 additional countries.Indexing doesn’t work as well If you have been a reader of this blog for some time, you would be well aware by now that I’m a strong believer in passive (index) investing. Passive investing is low-cost, very diversified way of investing in a particular market or asset class. It only employs rules-based methodologies - meaning that you don’t pay for expensive fund managers and we can back-test results (i.e. work out what the results would have been if you employed the same rules-based approach over the past 20 years for example). There’s overwhelming evidence that confirms passive investing produces higher returns in the long run. For example, based on data prepared by S&P Dow Jones Indices, only 16% of active fund managers have beaten the Australian index (ASX200) and less than 11% have My new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

Not more than 7 months ago, according to the media, investing in property was no longer a smart way to build wealth. Labor wanted to ban negative gearing, increase Capital Gains Tax (CGT), commentators were predicting that the market would crash by more than 20%, banks were tightening lending standards and so on. Since then, the world has returned back to ‘normal’ and most of these concerns have abated. According to the media, property is now a good investment again.But what if Labor had won?Of course, Labor losing the federal election in May 2019 did help the property market because it meant any changes to negative gearing and CGT were off the table. However, if it had won the election, I doubt Labor would have been able to get these proposed changes legislated. And even if they did get them legislated, I stand by my view that whilst these changes would have materially reduced after-tax returns, it would not have rendered property investment uneconomical. In the long run, investing in the right property still would have been a viable investment.Construction of new housing, recession, interest rates…I was reading an article by an investment manager that I respect greatly a few weeks ago. His thesis was that it was too early to call a recovery on the property market because of the fall in construction volume (of new dwellings). He went on to explain that a depressed construction market will create negative consequences for economic growth, unemployment and therefore property.Whilst I don’t disagree with this author’s economic reasoning, I was left pondering what use this information had to an investor. That is, if I’m contemplating an investment in a blue-chip, investment-grade location, do I care about the fall in new construction (which inevitably occurs in locations far removed from investment-grade locations)?So, what information is relevant then?In reality, much of the content produced by the media is relatively useless for making property investment decisions. The media tend to only run stories that they consider newsworthy. Newsworthy often means that the information is time-sensitive e.g. what happened yesterday or what will happen tomorrow. This short-term information does not help if you intend to own a property for many decades.Remember what drives property valuesA good and bad property cost the same to hold. You will pay the same amount of interest in respect to the mortgages. And the income and expenses will bMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

Most investors and some homeowners have interest only loans. However, the option to repay interest only doesn’t last forever. Most mortgages have a term of 30 years. Typically, the first 5 years is interest only. After that term has expired, repayments automatically convert to principal plus interest.If you have an interest only loan that is approaching the maturity of its term, what are your options?The government forced banks to curb interest only loansThe volume of interest only mortgages peaked in early 2017 when they accounted for approximately 40% of all new mortgages. The government (APRA) then stepped in and introduced a new benchmark which stipulated that the proportion of new interest only loans provided by banks must be less than 30% of all new loans. Most banks achieved this target by mid-2018 and currently only 20% of all new loans are structured with interest only repayments. As such, APRA subsequently removed this benchmark in December 2018.The banks dissuaded borrowers away from interest only loans by doing four things:1. They increased variable interest rates. Until recently, variable interest rates for interest only loans were 0.42% higher than their principal and interest counterparts. That gap has only recently reduced to 0.34% because most of the banks passed the full 0.25% October RBA rate cut. I predict that this cap will continue to reduce over time.2. Banks made it more difficult to roll-over to a new interest only term by requiring borrowers to go through a full application process.3. Almost all banks reduced the maximum interest only term to 5 years. Previously banks would offer interest only terms of up to 10 years – and a few banks even offered 15 years.4. Lenders tightened credit parameters e.g. they have become very reluctant to allow interest only repayments for owner-occupier loans.The banks are starting to loosen up on interest onlyOver the past few months, we have noticed that some lenders have marginally loosened credit policies in respect to interest only loans. Some lenders no longer require borrowers to go through a full application process if they request a second interest only term. Also, some banks will now offer interest only terms of up to 10 years to investors only.Do interest only loans still make sense?Interest only loans increase your flexibility. Whilst the minimum payment is limited to just the interest, it does not mean that you are not allowed to make principMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

It feels like there is more global uncertainty at the moment. Things such as a global or domestic economic recession, US/China trade war tensions, Brexit, Trump’s rhetoric, the prospect of zero (or negative) interest rates, what property prices might do here, all seem to dominate the news. You may find these matters confusing and they can create inertia.So, how do you navigate these seemingly turbulent times?Consider issues in a long-term contextLast week, the Australian share market fell 3.7% between Tuesday and Thursday. These types of dramatic movements attract alarmist headlines. The reality is that despite this drop, the market is still up 10.1% over the past 12 months, which is much better than other developed markets.The volatility (VIX) index is the most common measure for the level of volatility in the US market and is charted below for the past 20 years. The VIX index averaged only 13.2 throughout calendar years 2016 and 2017, which is well below the long-term mean of 18.3. Since the beginning of 2018, the VIX has averaged 16.6, which is 25% higher than 2016 and 2017, but still below the long-term mean.https://www.prosolution.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/VIX.png?6bfec1&6bfec1Perhaps this puts recent share market volatility in context. Whilst the market is more volatile than it has been in recent times, in context of longer-term data, it is actually not all that volatile. For example, there was almost twice as much volatility between 2008 and 2011.I share this with you to make the point that it is important to focus on the data and facts rather than how markets feel.Most of these issues are short termThe best way to deal with these often-exaggerated topics (as listed in the headline) that the media, in particular, love to talk about is to ask yourself whether these are likely to have had an impact 20 years from now. Mostly, the answer is no. Many of these “issues” are short-term in nature and really won’t have any impact on long term investment returns.Markets and economies move in cycles, so recessions aren’t a new phenomenon for long-term investors. Government trade terms and strategies change, but markets and business always adapt. Perhaps the only factor that might have an impact in the long run is interest rates, particularly if they are loMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, first homeowner activity has increased by 51% since March 2016. First home buyers now account for just short of 20% of all new home loans.Whilst housing affordability has improved slightly recently, it is still tough for first home buyers to get onto the property ladder. However, the current low interest rate environment and the recent dip in prices is clearly encouraging more first home buyers.So, what is the best way to help your kids get into the property market? And is there anything you need to do now?Challenge has and will always be saving a sufficient depositThere are two factors that will determine whether a person is ready to purchase their first property:(1) Cash flowDo they have a stable and reliable amount of surplus cash flow that they can contribute towards repaying a loan? There are usually two main considerations. Firstly, how stable and consistent their income is expected to be in the short to medium term? This normally requires permanent full-time employment or an established self-employed business. Secondly, do they have good cash flow management and consistently spend less than they earn i.e. are they good savers?(2) DepositDo they have enough deposit to contribute towards the acquisition? Most banks will lend up to 95% of a property’s value. Therefore, first home buyers need to contribute:(1) a 5% deposit;(2) pay for the mortgage insurance premium. This is an expense that is charged by the bank if you borrow more than 80-85% of a property’s value. The cost of mortgage insurance is typically in the range of 3% and 4% of the loan amount (at a 95% LVR). A few lenders permit borrowers to add a portion (up to 2%) of the mortgage insurance premium onto the loan. The rest must be paid from cash savings; and(3) any acquisition costs which could include stamp duty (which may be nil depending on the first home buyer incentive), buyers’ agent fees if you choose to use one and legal fees.Therefore, typically, first time buyers need to accumulate a sizeable deposit, and this can unfortunately take many years to save (over which time property prices will probably continue to climb).Having enough deposit is often the primary hurdle to overcome for first time property buyers.Best way to help is to help yourself firstOften my clients request that their financial plan incMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

In my experience, it is common for one spouse to have a greater interest in the family’s finances. In fact, the spouse that is ‘most interested’ typically takes fully responsibility for making the family’s financial decisions. However, there are some fundamental and important flaws with this approach which I’d like to share with you.What happens if one spouse unexpectantly passes away?If the spouse that is the ‘financial decision-maker” passes away, particularly if it’s unexpected, it does cause the surviving spouse a lot of stress and worry. Not only do they (probably) have little knowledge of their financial affairs, but they also typically have a low level of confidence and experience with making financial decisions. This all compounds to create a lot of stress and worry, at the worst possible time.To avoid this occurrence, each spouse must understand their financial position and strategy, even if its only at a basic level. They also must know who to seek advice from and who to trust, so they are able to share the burden of making ongoing financial decisions.If the relationship breaks down beware of skeletonsThere have been some horrible situations of spouses finding out about how dire their family’s financial situation is after their relationship has broken down. This includes massive tax debts, liabilities and so on. Of course, a strong relationship is founded on mutual trust and respect which includes discussing and disclosing all material financial decisions with your spouse before any transactions are made. Unfortunately, this does not always occur.One spouse, often men, may feel a strong sense of responsibility to “provide” for their family. Sometimes, this responsibility can unfortunately drive them to make unsound and inappropriate financial decisions. And to compound this, they might avoid discussing these decisions with their spouse, so they don’t ‘burden’ them.Of course, this is a foolish approach. That said, I believe it is the responsibility of each spouse to ask questions and seek to understand their own financial position. Nothing is too complex to explain in simple, easy-to-understand terms. It is something you can share together.It’s your money, so it’s your responsibilityThere is one thing you cannot delegate and that is the obligation to take responsibility for your money. It is your money and its your job to be responsible for it, not anyone else’s. That is not to say that you cannot trust anyone else orMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.

The media loves to talk about the property market; will prices rise or fall over the next year? It’s really not that important. “Timing” the market is virtually valueless, as I concluded in this analysis last year. That said, I understand the psychology behind it. People want to buy at the bottom of the market, just before it takes off and only experience the upside.There has been a lot of commentary recently about improvements in auction clearance rates, uptick in lending volume in July and so on. So, I thought I’d weigh into the commentary and share my views.Looks like I called the bottom correctlyLet me begin this blog with some shameless self-promotion! In December 2018, I wrote a piece for The Australian in which I said “I believe that price growth next year will be neutral or positive”. At the time, I was only one of two people in Australia to make this public prediction (AMP Capital’s chief economist, Shane Oliver was the other).As the chart provided by CoreLogic below illustrates, national auction clearance rates reached their lowest point in December 2018 at around 40%. Over the past nine months they recovered dramatically to be circa 70% (and mid-to high 70%’s in Melbourne and Sydney).https://www.prosolution.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Clearance-rates.png?6bfec1&6bfec1According to CoreLogic, national capital city house prices grew by 1% in the quarter ending August 2019, with Melbourne and Sydney leading the way at close to 2%. Therefore, it looks like the bottom of the market was in fact December 2018 when I wrote my article.All happening with very low volumesProperty market sentiment began improving after 10pm on 18 May when the Coalition won the election. We definitely witnessed a temporary improvement in our business in terms of enquiry levels from both investors and homeowners.This is also evident in the chart below which begins on 11 May, the week before the federal election. It sets out Melbourne’s auction clearance rate and the volume of property sold in dollar terms (data frMy new book out in mid-2026: To join the pre-order waitlist and get a bonus. More info go to: https://prosolution.com.au/book-preorder-bonus Do you have a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au. If you're interested in working with our team and me, discover how we can work together here: https://prosolution.com.au/family-office-servicesIf this episode resonated with you, please leave a rating on your favourite podcast platform. Subscribe to my weekly blog: https://prosolution.com.au/stay-connected IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.