Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

The Athletic
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Aug 19, 2024 • 1h 5min

Starting Pitchers Facing Reduced Workloads & Biggest Underperformers of 2024

Eno and DVR discuss the expectations of a tapering per-start workload for Paul Skenes as the season winds down, the second-half adjustments to usage of Garrett Crochet by the White Sox, an explanation for Ke'Bryan Hayes 2024 struggles, the most disappointing pitchers of the year -- relative to initial projections -- and a few weekend happenings on the waiver wire, including the return of Matthew Boyd and growing interest in A's starter Osvaldo Bido. Rundown2:18 Paul Skenes Approaching In-Start Limitations?8:07 At Least They're Not Going the Shutdown Route14:31 Garrett Crochet's 2025 Outlook17:29 The Dreaded Velocity Leaderboard w/Injuries25:18 Ke'Bryan Hayes Playing Through a Herniated Disc29:11 Biggest Underperforming Pitches of 2024 (So Far)39:06 Accounting for Different Run Environments Across Projection Systems49:20 Where the Money Went This WeekendFollow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 16, 2024 • 1h 8min

Searching for Paths to Playing Time & Keeper League Stashes

Eno and DVR discuss season-ending back surgery for Christian Yelich and the Brewers' search for a left-handed bat to use near the heart of their lineup, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s elbow injury, a trip to the IL for Byron Buxton, a few prospects yet to debut with an eye toward breaking through for early 2025 debuts, the power ceiling of Junior Caminero, and a few players to consider on the waiver wire this weekend.Rundown2:25 Christian Yelich's Season-Ending Back Surgery (Is Garrett Mitchell Good?)9:27 A Lineup Vulnerable Against Elite Pitching in the Playoffs?12:45 Jazz Chisholm Jr. To Miss Several Weeks14:48 Byron Buxton Heads to the IL17:47 Coby Mayo Returns to Triple-A; Similar Struggles to Henry Davis?23:57 Searching for Yet-to-Debut Hitters w/Paths to Starting Roles in 202532:39 An Early Attempt to Solve the Cubs' Offseason Changes42:33 Biggest K% Improvers Among Hitters in 202446:35 Junior Caminero's Power Ceiling52:30 Join Us in Arizona for Baseball HQ's First Pitch Conference!https://www.baseballhq.com/pricing/first-pitch-arizona-202453:43 Weekend Waiver PreviewFollow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 15, 2024 • 1h 7min

Will New Pitch Data Help Us Quantify Deception?

Eno, Trevor, and DVR discuss a report from ESPN's Jesse Rogers that MLB might consider a future rule requiring a six-inning minimum for starting pitchers before taking a deep dive into pitch angles and how future data in this area might make it easier to quantify deception. Plus, they discuss a recent story that Eno wrote with Britt Ghiroli about the Orioles' success in developing hitters, and they play their first ever installment of 'Name That Dude'. Rundown0:57 MLB Considering a Six-Inning Minimum for Starting Pitchers?14:57 Will Pitch Release Angle Data Help Us Quantify Deception?23:03 Finding Ideal Horizontal Movement on Fastballs With Release Angle37:49 What’s In the O’s Secret Sauce with Hitting Development?44:47 Scouting for Curiosity Within Makeup54:46 Do Players on Bad Team Get Bored?1:03:49 Name That DudeFollow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiperFollow Trevor on Twitter: @IAmTrevorMaye-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comRelated ReadingJesse Rogers' six-inning minimum (ESPN): https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/40847173/mlb-rule-changes-2024-six-inning-starting-pitcher-injuries-tommy-johnMichael Rosen on pitch release angles (FanGraphs): https://blogs.fangraphs.com/its-release-angles-all-the-way-down/Eno & Britt on the Orioles' hitting development: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5696854/2024/08/15/orioles-hitters-development-vertical-bat-angle/Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us Thursday at 1p ET/10a PT for our weekly live episode with Trevor May!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisWith: Trevor MayExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 13, 2024 • 57min

Which MLB Players Will Make Team USA in 2028?

With the 2024 Olympics completed, Eno, Britt and DVR wonder -- if MLB players are participating in the 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles, who among current stars will be on the roster? Plus, they discuss the unexpected sweat for the NL West and possibility of four teams from the division finding their way into the playoffs. Rundown1:08 The "Locks" for Team USA in 2028 (Assuming MLB Players Are Included)3:39 ZiPS Projections for *2028* (Thanks, Dan Szymborski!)7:05 Pitching Changes A Lot Over Four Years15:00 Overprojected Unproven Players?20:12 How Do We Think Aaron Judge Will Age?23:20 Looking Back at 2020 Suggest We Might Underrate Current Late-20s Players29:55 The Race for the NL West Looks Like a Party41:53 Four Teams From This Division Could Reach the Playoffs52:48 Will We See Another August Waiver Roster Dump?Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiperFollow Britt on Twitter: @Britt_Ghirolie-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us Thursday at 1p ET/10a PT for our weekly live episode with Trevor May!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper, Eno Sarris & Britt GhiroliExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 12, 2024 • 1h 3min

Is It Time to Lower Expectations for Underperforming Hitters?

Eno and DVR discuss a soon-to-debut prospect pitching at his *fourth* level of 2024 with the arrival of Zebby Matthews on Tuesday, the demotion of Camilo Doval to Triple-A, and a potential suspension for Jarren Duran after he directed a homophobic slur toward a fan over the weekend. Plus, they take a look at the biggest underperformers among hitters relative to their initial 2024 projections. Is it finally time to lower expectations for the likes of Corbin Carroll, Matt Olson, and Gleyber Torres? Finally, they look at where the money went in weekly waiver-wire leagues and discuss a few of their own roster decisions coming out of the weekend. Rundown5:53 Who is Zebby Matthews?11:54 Camilo Doval Optioned to Triple-A20:08 Jarren Duran Facing Discipline for Homophobic Slur23:36 Biggest Underperforming Hitters of 2024 (So Far)33:15 Finally Tempering Enthusiasm Around Gleyber Torres?38:44 Where the Money Went: Joe Musgrove Nearing Return from IL53:26 What Moves Did We Make This Weekend?Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 9, 2024 • 1h 4min

How Can Keeper Leagues Make You a Better Redraft Player?

Eno and DVR discuss the pros (and a few potential cons) of playing in keeper leagues and how long-term formats can make you a better redraft league player. Plus, they consider the ceiling and 2025 redraft ADP of Jackson Chourio, the recent struggles of David Bednar, a big move up for the White Sox's system in Baseball America's midseason rankings update, and a few weekend waiver-wire targets.Rundown1:34 Biases That Can Develop From Keeper/Dynasty Leagues7:00 How Keeper Leagues Make You a Better Redraft Player16:29 Jackson Chourio's Ceiling & 2025 Redraft ADP Outlook29:36 Concern About Lars Nootbaar's Playing Time?35:58 What Has Happened to David Bednar?39:30 Maybe the White Sox's Future Isn't Awful?45:02 The Angels' Long-Term Outlook50:13 Weekend Waiver Preview (Hitters)1:01:15: Tyler Mahle, Spencer Arrighetti & DJ HerzFollow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisProducer: Brian SmithExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 8, 2024 • 1h 9min

How Do You Prepare to Face Blake Snell?

With Blake Snell's return to Cy Snell levels since coming back from the injured list, DVR, Eno and Trevor discuss how teams should game plan against him during the final two months of the season. Plus, they examine some of the biggest surprises among position players in 2024, and the recent uptick in sinker usage around the league. Plus, they discuss the White Sox's decision to part ways with manager Pedro Grifol, the possibility of MLB players in the 2028 Olympics, and more.Rundown1:15 Pedro Grifol Fired as White Sox Manager; Evaluating Managers on Bad Teams7:37 Typical Player-Manager Interactions15:00 How Will MLB Approach Baseball in the 2028 Olympics?25:02 The Game Plan: How Do You Prepare to Face Blake Snell42:38 Pleasant Surprises of 2024: Brenton Doyle50:57 Tyler Fitzgerald's 8.0 fWAR Pace54:37 Brent Rooker's Step Forward From 20231:01:03 What Has Led to the Uptick in Sinker Usage This Season?1:06:20 Notable In-Season Bat Speed IncreasesFollow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiperFollow Trevor on Twitter: @IamTrevorMaySubscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisWith: Trevor MayProducer: Brian SmithExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 6, 2024 • 1h 2min

The White Sox Are the Worst Team In Baseball, But Which Team is Baseball's Best?

Eno, DVR and Britt consider several options for the 'Best Team in Baseball' title, with just under two months before the playoffs. Plus, they discuss the White Sox as the current titleholder for 'Worst Team in Baseball' honors amidst the team's 21-game losing streak and wonder how things turned for the worse so quickly on the south side of Chicago where the future looked bright just four years ago.Rundown4:07 Who Is The Best Team in Baseball Right Now?12:48 The Injury-Based Case for the Dodgers21:13 Questions About the Yankees' Bullpen25:24 What About the Royals?!33:05 Eno Takes a Trip Down Narrative Street37:16 The White Sox Are the Worst Team in Baseball48:40 Eno's Case for the Rockies55:58 Have the A's Escaped This Conversation?Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiperFollow Britt on Twitter: @Britt_Ghirolie-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us Thursday at 1p ET/10a PT for our weekly live episode with Trevor May!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper, Eno Sarris & Britt GhiroliExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 5, 2024 • 1h 4min

A No-No for Blake Snell, Intriguing Free Agent Pitchers & A Mailbag Monday

Eno and DVR discuss Blake Snell's no-hitter, the path for Snell to opt out of his current deal with the Giants and get a longer contract this winter, and their approach with Max Scherzer in keeper/dynasty leagues, the recent struggles of Tanner Houck, and a busy weekend for pickups with Jackson Holliday and Coby Mayo leading the way in bidding where available. Rundown0:50 Blake Snell Throws a No-Hitter Against the Reds7:33 An Intriguing Class of Free-Agent Pitchers On Tap11:59 Is Max Scherzer a Drop in Shallow Dynasty & Keeper Leagues?18:57 Making Sense of Tanner Houck's Recent Struggles27:02 Why Isn't Randy Vásquez Getting Better Results?36:35 Will Jeffrey Springs' Velocity Return Before the End of 2024?44:51 Calvin Faucher & Victor Vodnik Getting Save Chances?48:02 Jackson Holliday & Coby Mayo Join the O's Regular Lineup52:31 Does Jordan Westburg Have Another Level?Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Aug 2, 2024 • 1h 8min

Mid-Summer Prospecting & Playing Time Winners & Losers After the Trade Deadline

Eno and DVR discuss the difficulty of trading for top-end prospects -- in fantasy and reality -- and whether we should pay extra attention to the players on the move despite the likelihood that they're not top-100 prospects at the time they are traded. Plus, they look at opportunities for Jackson Holliday and Coby Mayo in Baltimore, changes to a few depth charts coming out of the Trade Deadline, and Hayden Birdsong's return to the rotation for the Giants with Alex Cobb traded to Cleveland.Rundown2:17 Should We Care More About the Prospects Traded at the Deadline?9:47 The Arc of Jasson Dominguez’s Prospect Ranking13:25 Did the Padres ‘Hack’ Age-to-Level Models?19:50 Any Intriguing Prospects That Entered Your Radar This Summer?25:32 Jackson Holliday & Coby Mayo Promoted This Week37:19 The Rays’ Depth Chart is Still a Cluster47:44 Will Miguel Vargas Make a Fantasy Impact with the White Sox?55:51 Kyle Stowers & the Miami Opportunity Machine1:05:59 Hayden Birdsong & Marco Luciano Stock Up?Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarrisFollow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRipere-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.comJoin our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeJoin us on Thursdays at 1p ET/10a PT for our livestream episodes!Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisProducer: Brian SmithExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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