BMO Views from the North

BMO Capital Markets
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Mar 30, 2023 • 29min

CMBs: More Questions Than Answers

In this episode, Fred Nastos, Head of Canadian Government Spread Trading, and Trina Reid, Head of CMB Mortgage Aggregation Funding, join me to discuss the Federal Government’s announcement that they will be reviewing the Canada Mortgage Bond program with an eye toward folding it into regular Government of Canada borrowing.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Mar 16, 2023 • 22min

The Weakest Link

In this episode, Furaz Ahmad, who covers the financial sector as part of BMO’s corporate debt strategy team, joins me to unpack the stress on the global financial system, which is driving market volatility, and assess any potential impact on Canada.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Mar 1, 2023 • 22min

Two-Faced Data

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of the Toronto-based fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the outlook for next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the latest swings in the data, whether provincial spreads have tightened too far, and his favourite trade ideas.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Feb 2, 2023 • 21min

Pause-itive Thinking

In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada 25 bp rate hike, their conditional pause, how Wednesday’s FOMC decision impacts the BoC, his thoughts on rates, and his favourite trade ideas.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Jan 19, 2023 • 20min

One and Done?

This week, Sam Buckley, Head of BMO’s Government of Canada trading desk, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, his views on the vicious rally to start the year, where Canadian rates and the curve are headed, and his favourite trade ideas.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Dec 1, 2022 • 24min

Talking Terminal

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, a recent addition to BMO’s Canada swap trading desk, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, where he sees rates and the curve heading, the coming shift to CORRA and his favourite trade ideas.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Nov 24, 2022 • 25min

Provincially Speaking

In this episode, Robert Kavcic, a senior economist from the BMO Economics team and, Jordan Sugar, BMO’s provincial bond trader, join me to discuss the Provincial landscape. We cover the fundamental backdrop following the fall fiscal updates, and how the provincial bond market has been trading. Robert reveals his favourite provinces, and Jordan provides his top trade ideas with the early December index extension and coupon payments on deck.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Nov 3, 2022 • 35min

Growth Worries Ramp Up

This week, Dave Moore, who recently moved back to London to join the fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the reaction to last week’s surprisingly smaller Bank of Canada rate hike among European-based investors, his views on volatility, Canada-US divergence, and favorite trade ideas.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Oct 20, 2022 • 25min

Here Comes the Boom

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of the Toronto-based fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the outlook for next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the risks to the economy, as well as his views on duration, provincial spreads and the market backdrop heading into bank year end.As always, all feedback welcome.
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Sep 15, 2022 • 24min

WWJD

In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada 75 bp rate hike, whether he’s still bearish on duration, the outlook for CAN/US yield spreads, and his favourite trade ideas.As always, all feedback is welcome.

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