Outerblue

Geopolitics has become an ever increasing concern for financial markets over the past few years. Fractures and shifts in alliances are transforming the global economy and trade relationships.    Swaha Pattanaik sits down with Anna Rosenberg, Amundi’s Head of Geopolitics, and Francesco Sandrini, Amundi’s Head of Multi-Asset Strategies to discuss whether we’ve now reached a “new normal” and what some of the implications will be for investment flows both now and in the years ahead. They take a closer look at the pivotal relationship between the world’s two biggest economies, the USA and China, and examine how trade has evolved, particularly in terms of exploiting natural resources. Find out which sectors and geographies will be most impacted by the evolving relationships and who will be the overall winners and losers in this geopolitical struggle. Discover Geopolitical shifts shaping investments article: https://research-center.amundi.com/article/geopolitical-shifts-and-investment-implications Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

This month’s episode is a special focus on the macro-economic outlook and investment themes for 2023 and beyond. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, discuss Amundi’s expectations for growth and inflation for the coming months and what this might mean for central bank monetary policy.      Monica also shares some of the things featuring on her crowded Wall of Worries this month, and talks about some of the areas and asset classes to watch in terms of investment opportunities in the rest of the year. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

2022 was a year to forget for emerging markets, but so far 2023 has brought more optimism that emerging markets may be making a comeback.     Swaha Pattanaik speaks to Alessia Berardi, Amundi’s Head of Emerging Markets Research, to find out what she expects in terms of growth across the emerging regions and why they generally seem to be in better shape than developed markets this year. They take a closer look at the different asset classes and where investors might find value, as well as some of the risk factors to look out for. They also discuss the longer-term outlook for India and whether it can fulfil its growth potential. Discover The emerging market comeback article: https://research-center.amundi.com/emerging-market-comeback   Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Washington remains firmly in the spotlight this month as the US debt ceiling negotiations remain at a deadlock. While a deal is expected sooner or later, what damage will be done in the meantime, especially as the economy in the United States had already been expected to slow?    Swaha Pattanaik speaks to Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, for their regular catch up on the markets and asset allocation trends as they look more closely at the themes driving the markets this month and where investors should be focusing their attention in the weeks to come. Discover the Global Investment Views - June 2023 article:  https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-june-2023  -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.    Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

The turmoil of March may be behind us, but market signals are conflicted about what comes next. A disconnect has appeared as bond markets look to price in a recession in the US, whilst on the equity side earnings expectations still appear overly optimistic. Against this back-drop, investors are wise to keep plotting a cautious course.      Swaha Pattanaik caught up with Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, after her return from the IMF Spring Meetings, to find out what the mood in Washington was like and how it compares to Amundi’s own views on the outlook for global economies over the coming months. Discover the Global Investment Views - May 2023 article:  https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-may-2023   -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.    Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

The banking turmoil of the past month saw the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the United States and the 160-year old Credit Suisse being taken over by rival UBS. While the big market swings triggered by these events have now subsided, economic scars appear inevitable.      Swaha Pattanaik speaks to Mahmood Pradhan, Head of Global Macro Economics, to find out what has changed and why these events have tipped the balance towards a gloomier outlook in the US and a more protracted recession. They discuss what the impact on economic growth and monetary policy in the US might be and how this can have a knock-on effect on the labour market. They also turn their attention to Europe and the continued focus on the ECB’s fight against inflation. Discover the Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession article: https://research-center.amundi.com/article/financial-stability-concerns-tip-balance-towards-us-recession Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Markets were shaken out of complacency in March, as the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, wiftly followed by Credit Suisse in Europe, sounded alarm bells and triggered a sudden repricing of core yields as bond volatility reached levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis.      Prompt reaction from key central banks showed they remember the lessons of past crises, but this time added concerns over growth and inflation make the challenge they face more difficult. How much of the unease over the banking sector is justified and we looking at a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis?     Swaha Pattanaik catches up with Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, for their monthly discussion on what’s been going on in the markets. This month’s focus inevitably starts with the events of the past two weeks as we find out what this means for growth and interest rate expectations more broadly. They also explore which regions and asset classes investors should be focusing on at the moment. Discover the Global Investment Views - April 2023 article:  https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-april-2023  -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.   Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

It’s still early in 2023, but the markets have been broadly moving higher. What’s been driving the recent rally and how strong are its foundations?     Swaha Pattanaik caught up last week with Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, to take a closer look at the bond and equity markets and the reasons why investors should show caution at this time. Discover the Global Investment Views - March 2023 article:  https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-march-2023   -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.  Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

One year after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the geopolitical, macroeconomic, and market fallouts continue to reverberate around the globe. Whilst these have been most apparent in Europe due to its close ties to Russia, the conflict has had ongoing implications worldwide and has put existing trade-frictions under further pressure.      Swaha Pattanaik talks to Mahmood Pradhan, head of global macroeconomics at the Amundi Institute, to discuss some of the likely developments in the conflict over the short and medium term, how Europe has been reshaped by the crisis and the wider impact on global supply chains and globalisation as a whole. Discover the A year of war in Ukraine: accelerating the energy transition and fragmentation article: https://research-center.amundi.com/article/year-war-ukraine-accelerating-energy-transition-and-fragmentation  -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.  Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Risky assets got off to a bumper start at the beginning of 2023, helped by more positive expectations for China following their reopening and hopes that the economic outlook in Europe might prove more resilient than previously thought. But how likely is it that this will last and could this be the start of a new positive cycle? Swaha Pattanaik talks to Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, to look at some of the big market trends investors should be looking out for over the next few months as they try to shed some light on what might happen next. Discover the Global Investment Views - February 2023 article:  https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-february-2023   -------------------------------  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.