Outerblue

Amundi

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Jun 3, 2020 • 19min

Outerblue Talks Research - The "Day After" series - Is green the new gold of the crisis?

Amundi’s teams have been studying the evolution of ESG investing across asset classes and geographies for the past several years. Since the beginning of the coronavirus crisis and the subsequent global lockdown, a lot of market turmoil put corporates’ sustainability under tremendous scrutiny. In this context, discussions happen around a possible reinforcement of the materiality of ESG criteria on corporate resilience. This would have a huge impact on potential relative investor preferences. To assess this impact, Tom Burges-Watson interviewed Marie Brière, Head of the Investor Research Centre and Takaya Sekine, Deputy Head of Quantitative Research.    --- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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May 27, 2020 • 10min

Outerblue Convictions - The big financial regimes picture is confirmed

Monica Defend, Global Head of Research, gives the global investment views of the month and the asset allocation convictions of Amundi. Led by Tom Burges-Watson, this new episode of Blue Convictions confirm the big picture to come: a contraction phase in 2020, a recovery phase in 2021 and a late cycle or asset reflation, depending on central banks policies, in 2022. Healthcare policies, monetary and fiscal policies plus solvency/default issues are key elements to monitor. What is our analysis of the labour market? Which geopolitical situation must be kept in mind? Should we rally on the equity market?  --- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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May 27, 2020 • 31min

Outerblue Conversations - Covid-19: what are the next steps in Europe?

Talks will begin today, May 27, on the European Union’s (EU) seven-year budget and plans to fund the economic recovery following the coronavirus pandemic. France and Germany proposed a €500 billion European Union Recovery Fund, to be financed by debt issuance by the European Commission on behalf of the Union. Do the current multi-annual EU budget be achieved? What are the pros and cons to bear in mind looking at the EU final budget agreement? Which place could we expect for Europe in the geopolitical sphere post crisis? Enrico Letta, former Italian Prime Minister (from 2013 to 2014), is the keynote guest of this new episode of the Blue Conversation series, interviewed by Monica Defend, Global Head of Research. --- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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May 18, 2020 • 42min

Outerblue Talks Research - "The Day After" series – Learn the rules like a pro, so you can break them like an artist

The coronavirus is challenging the rules that underpin the way our economies and societies function and interact with each other. One could even advocate that the coronavirus has shattered our dominant corpus more massively than in 2008 in less than a month. Budgetary rules, public intervention, slowbalisation, deglobalisation, central banks role: these key words are discussed by Jean-Jacques Barberis, Head of Institutional and Corporate Clients Coverage (Amundi) and Bastien Drut, Senior Strategist (CPR AM) during this Blue Research episode. Together they acknowledge that former economical rules have changed and try to assess which new ones may prevail after the crisis.  --  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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May 11, 2020 • 36min

Outerblue Talks Research - "The Day After" series - Covid-19: the invisible hand pointing investors down the road to the 70s

Outerblue introduces a new series of podcasts entitled “The Day After” where our experts share their thinking on what the long-term implications of the current, unprecedented crisis on the investment landscape could be. In this first episode, Pascal Blanqué, Amundi's Global CIO, highlights the key reasons why the current crisis could be the trigger for a regime shift that could, in the long run, lead to a new equilibrium with features similar to those seen in the ‘70s. In the journey along this road, investors will need to stay active and rethink their investment approaches around some key principles and especially: diminished returns, a reorganisation of the risk/cost budget couple with a decent target return and a new position of portfolio with a different hierarchy of risk premia and asset classes. --  DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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Apr 30, 2020 • 13min

Outerblue Convictions - The financial regime cycle is altered: contraction and recovery time

The pandemic outbreak altered the financial regime cycle in place at the end of 2019. Amundi now expects a contraction (central banks and governments support, recession, rising unemployment) followed by a recovery later in 2021 (economic activity retracing back but below 2019 levels, rising labour costs, cooling down monetary and governments actions), which would eventually land in a late cycle in 2022 (or potentially an asset reflation regime, should Central Banks remain ultra-supportive).  Listen to the key elements to watch in May in this new market analysis and asset allocation views done by Monica Defend, Global Head of Research. -- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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Apr 24, 2020 • 32min

Outerblue Convictions - SPECIAL COVID-19 ep#7 - EU summit and equities: stories of a recovery fund, dividends and ESG investing

The ECB displayed no limits in its policies and is keen to change its operational rules. The recovery fund framework still needs to be confirmed, especially on the mutualisation degree. Some countries request loans, others grants. Does this fund will be enough to restore some confidence among investors in the Eurozone? Which decisions from the credit ratings agencies can be expected? Monica Defend, Global Head of Research, explains the decisions taken on the EU summit of 23 April and its potential consequences in Covid-19 crisis management. Alongside this macroeconomic analysis, Kasper Elmgreen, Head of Equities, gives his comment on the equities market. Is the market too optimistic on equities? How about earnings recovery and dividends cuts? Jean-Jacques Barberis, Head of Institutional and Corporate Clients Coverage, leads the interview for this new special episode of Blue Convictions. -- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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Apr 15, 2020 • 37min

Outerblue Convictions - SPECIAL COVID-19 ep#6 - Emerging markets: a lower pressure on outflows

In terms of market pressure, the worst seems behind us concerning the emerging markets. Markets are appreciating the stimulus put in place around the world by central banks, the IMF and the World Bank. Deglobalisation process is in place with relocalisation of production at the same time. Which countries will be the most affected by the Covid-19 pandemic? What can be assessed in terms of EM debt? Are there some areas of opportunities? Alessia Berardi, Head of Emerging Markets Macro and Strategy Research is interviewed alongside Yerlan Syzdykov, Global Head of Emerging Markets by Jean-Jacques Barberis, Head of Institutional and Corporate Clients Coverage, in this new episode of Blue Convictions. -- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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Apr 7, 2020 • 34min

Outerblue Conversations - SPECIAL COVID-19 ep#5 - The USA: opportunities in a market expecting a deep recession

The pandemic hit the USA, now the new epicentre of the storm. Fiscal and monetary stimulus came fast and in huge volumes to support the economy. The recession is already priced by the US market but opportunities can be cought for long-term investors. Dominique Carrel-Billiard, Head of Institutional and Corporate clients division, takes the micro to interview Monica Defend, Global Head of Research and Ken Taubes, CIO of US investment management, for this new episode focusing on the USA. What are the macroeconomic analysis key take aways? Which themes to play in both equities and fixed income markets? Our experts give you the answers. -- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
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Apr 1, 2020 • 31min

Outerblue Convictions - SPECIAL COVID-19 ep#4 - Some light in the fixed income space

Volatility will remain for a while in the equity and fixed income worlds. However, thanks to the action and coordination of central banks, massive debt issuance in Europe and in the US eased trading for both buying and selling sides. The Covid-19 crisis led to sector and rating fragmentations and liquidity management is the top priority concern. This new episode of Blue Convictions special Covid-19 series highlights the key elements to monitor in the fixed income field, especially in Europe, with Eric Brard, Head of Alpha Fixed Income, as a guest speaker. Do potential opportunities exist in the € credit market? What are the latest news about Coronabonds and TLTRO channels? Alongside M. Brard, Monica Defend, Global Head of Research gives her answers. As usual, both experts are interviewed by Jean-Jacques Barberis, Head of Institutional and Corporate clients coverage. --- DISCLAIMER: This podcast is only for the attention of “Professional” investors as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (“MIFID”), investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry. Views are subject to change and should not be relied upon as investment advice on behalf of Amundi.Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

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