Michael Covel's Trend Following

My guest today is Mark Manson, an author and personal development consultant. Manson has worked with thousands of people from over 20 countries and his writing offers a different take on the self-help genre. Manson calls it "self help from a first person perspective". He has sold over 15,000 copies of his book "Models: Attract Women Through Honesty" and almost 400,000 people read his site each month. He's been published and quoted on CNN, Huffington Post, Business Insider, Yahoo! News, The Sydney Morning Herald and a variety of other publications. He is also the CEO and Founder of Infinity Squared Media LLC. The topic is personal development. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why people are such ass—– on the internet Internet communication vs. real world communication Becoming desensitized to the internet How Manson came to his entrepreneurial path and how he was inspired by "The 4-Hour Workweek" Location independence and how travel has changed Manson Consumerism in America Having an excess of choice in your life The type of business Manson has developed and why it's been successful Why certain approaches to dating aren't emotionally healthy Our bias against performers Why Manson refers to himself as "self-help for people who don't like self-help" Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Crude Oil Folly with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Charles Faulkner, an author, trader, and an expert on modeling the knowledge and performance of exceptional individuals. He was originally featured in "The New Market Wizards" by Jack Schwager. The topic is trading psychology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The notion of fictional people and why famous figures in finance are "fictional" The importance of narratives, stories, and metaphors The halo effect and deluding ourselves The difference between a story and a strategy The nature of independent thinking; herd behavior Ego, ignorance, and authority The five different types of minds: the experiencing mind, the imaginative mind, the reasoning mind, the reflective mind, and the generative mind System one and system two Why words don't change people but experience does Experience base and the difference between amateur and professional traders The two kinds of market wizards Language in the context of the five different types of minds The importance of asking "how" does the market work over "why" The importance of luck and time in the case of Warren Buffett Why you shouldn't get your excitement from trading Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guests today are Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray, two of the four founding partners of Altis Partners–a very successful systematic and primarily trend following money management firm. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel's recent experiences traveling in Asia The advantages of location independence Early triggers that led Hermaszewski and Reeve-Gray into the systematic trading world and away from the efficient market hypothesis Why Hermaszewskii was motivated to go down the particular path he went down The advantages of a physics background when applied to trading Looking for predicability in the markets How Altis uses predictability in the context of their world The four broad types of market behavior in Altis' program Trend following and persistence Inter-market relationships Why there are no "manual" inputs in Altis' systematic program Portfolio construction and why Altis is different from its peers Applying the same models to all markets The collegial atmosphere amongst London CTAs Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jim Rogers, an American businessman, investor and author currently based in Singapore. He is the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. He was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI). Rogers does not consider himself a member of any school of economic thought, but has acknowledged that his views best fit the label of Austrian School of economics. The topic is investment. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why it shows that the kind of people that travel are the kind of people you want in your country Infrastructure in China Stereotypes of various countries in Asia China's military Current Fed policy in America What "can-do" spirit can do in a state of decline Why the next crisis might be worse than the last The importance of language skills Participating in big long-term bets with regard to countries Why, if he could, Rogers would put all of his money into North Korea Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Travis Jamison Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guests today are Scot Billington and Jon Boorman. Billington is one of the managers of Covenant Capital along with Brince Wilford. Billington is the Chief Manager, Head Trader, and is responsible for all system development at Covenant. Boorman is the President and CEO of Broadsword Capital, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser in Charlotte, NC. Boorman has spent over two decades in global markets, witnessing first-hand some of the most tumultuous periods in financial history. Boorman started the Alpha Capture blog in January 2013 to keep a record of trading signals and market commentary, and demonstrate to a wider audience what could be achieved through trend following. The primary aim has always been to inform and educate. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel and Billington discuss his firm's exceptional performance in September of 2014; why low volume and low volatility tend to be accompanied by low returns; whether all of Billington's trend following trading is predicated on a weekly system; Billington's background and what got him into the systematic trend following space; why simplicity is the ultimate sophistication; marketing vs. trading reality; why certain investors try and disguise their trend following strategies as something else; why trend following is one of the most repeatable, teachable strateges; why the world still believes in the efficient market hypothesis; why trends continue to emerge as a function of the marketplace; the idea of a barbell strategy; and why upside volatility is not such a bad thing. Covel and Boorman discuss the fear of public speaking; the idea of ego in the context of both trend following and buy & hold systems; why you'd seek to minimize rather than eliminate both ego and emotion in the context of trading; how Boorman and Jerry Parker connected and Parker's early influence on Boorman; both Parker and Boorman's views on exit strategies; how Twitter changes the level of access we have to each other; whether Boorman's RIA might move into a fund structure; and process vs. outcome. Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Emanuel Derman, a South African-born businessman and writer, best known as a quantitative analyst. Derman, who first came to the U.S. at age 21, in 1966, is currently a professor at Columbia University and Director of its program in financial engineering. Until recently he was also the Head of Risk and a partner at KKR Prisma Capital Partners, a fund of funds. The topics are his books My Life As A Quant: Reflections on Physics and Finance and Models Behaving Badly. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why economics can be an 'incestuous' field Economics as a moral science Why all four of the US investment banks were not allowed to go by the wayside Derman's background and his PhD in theoretical physics Derman's early eye-opening experiences at Goldman Sachs Model building, and how Derman was indoctrinated into the world of model building The financial model and science and the physics model and science Short volatility models vs. long volatility models How one estimates risk Models vs. theories Whether Derman finds a certain amount of pushback from others in the academic community Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Gabriele Oettingen, a Professor of Psychology at New York University and the University of Hamburg. Her research focuses on how we think about the future, and how this impacts cognition, emotion, and behavior. The topic is her book Rethinking Positive Thinking: Inside the New Science of Motivation. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Positive thinking, optimism and over-confidence How positive thinking can reign in your sense of urgency The effect of positive thinking on us from a scientific viewpoint Whether Oettingen views her work as an attack on the self-help industry Oettingen's process and how she views data The WOOP (Wish, Outcome, Obstacle, Plan) process Understanding each component part of WOOP "Ah-ha" moments in Oettingen's early development The idea of WOOP as mental contrasting Non-conscious processes Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ewan Kirk, the head of Cantab Capital and has brought his firm from $30M AUM in 2006 to over $5B today. Kirk employs several strategies but clearly uses a trend following foundation. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How consistent and predictable profits are the Holy Grail–you're never going to get there Kirk's background Why computer programming is "today's literacy" Standing out from the crowd Trend following in the European scene vs. America Weighting positions based on risk Talking to clients and explaining that losses are statistically inevitable Whether the demand for discretionary traders is waning How discretionary traders look at a trader like Kirk who is 100% systematic Why discretionary intervention in a systematic trading strategy disqualifies it from being truly systematic Proving a strategy as broken rather than proving that it's right Why randomness is everything Uncertainty and convictions about technique Capturing the realism of the world in your trading strategy What actually benefits the economy, society, and the world Seeking client feedback and understanding a client's drivers The importance of consistent marginal improvements Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!