Decision Desk HQ Podcast

Besides the statewide contests in New Jersey and Virginia, there is another very high-profile office on the ballot next week: New York City mayor! To talk about this contest, DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley welcomed Michael Lange onto the podcast. Lange is a writer, researcher, strategist, political organizer, and expert on New York City politics. He writes about NYC on his Substack, The Narrative Wars, and has produced many interesting analyses of the Big Apple electorate that are well worth your time.We talked about where the race stands, as state Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani holds a double-digit polling lead over former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, with Republican Curtis Sliwa running in third. We also examined the NYC electorate, including “the Commie Corridor” and the “Archie Bunker” vote, and how the candidates have sought to expand their coalitions. We also delved into turnout, as this election could see the largest number of raw votes in a mayoral race since the 1989 and 1993 clashes between Democrat David Dinkins and Republican Rudy Giuliani. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

Don’t look now, but New Jersey may have the closest race for governor on the ballot anywhere this November. To dig into this race, Steve Kornacki was kind enough to lend the Decision Desk HQ Podcast his Garden State expertise. Kornacki is NBC News’s Chief Data Analyst and a national political correspondent, but he actually got his start in political journalism covering New Jersey!We examined where the race stands between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli, then got into a map-rich discussion of recent electoral trends in New Jersey. The state took a big swing to the right in the 2024 presidential race, especially in denser, more ethnically and racially diverse parts of North Jersey. How much Ciattarelli can build on those shifts will help determine just how close this race is — and whether he can pull off an upset in less than two weeks.You can find more from Decision Desk HQ on our Substack, where you can sign up for our free newsletters and other content! https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/welcome This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

Virginia’s attorney general’s election has been at the center of political coverage in recent days after it came to light that Democratic nominee Jay Jones sent a series of violence-laden texts in 2022. To dig into the Virginia situation, DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley was joined by Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor of the Sabato’s Crystal Ball newsletter at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. We talked about where things stand in the gubernatorial and lieutenant governor races, then examined how Jones’s scandal could affect the attorney general contest. Notably, the same party has swept all three offices in four straight state elections (2009, 2013, 2017, 2021), and Democrats appear to have an edge in the governor and LG contests. However, Jones’s problems may help incumbent Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares win, even if his ticket-mates fall to their Democratic opponents. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

For our first episode of the new Decision Desk HQ Podcast, DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and DDHQ founder Brandon Finnigan took a look at the 2026 Senate elections. This episode serves as an excellent primer for understanding the lay of the land in the Senate and why Republicans currently appear to have the upper hand in the race to control Congress’s upper chamber. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

NewsNation anchor and national correspondent Leland Vittert joined Geoffrey Skelley (Decision Desk HQ) and Chris Cillizza (author of the “So What” Substack) for a conversation about Vittert’s new book, Born Lucky: A Dedicated Father, A Grateful Son, And My Journey with Autism. The book recounts Vittert’s life growing up, how he made his way as a journalist, and his father’s pivotal role in helping Vittert acquire the tools to navigate the sometimes unforgiving world around him.To start, we discussed Vittert’s experiences surrounding the 2020 presidential election. Most notably, we examined the time he went viral over a combative interview with a spokesperson for President Donald Trump’s campaign, and the fallout from that encounter for his career at Fox News. We then delved into Vittert’s life growing up with what we now know is autism, his work as a journalist, and the important part his father played in getting him to this point.The book is now available! You can read more about it here. Leland Vittert is the host of On Balance with Leland Vittert and serves as NewsNation’s Chief Washington Anchor. A veteran journalist, Vittert joined NewsNation in May 2021, where he has been pivotal in covering national affairs and delivering special reports across the network’s primetime weeknight newscasts. Before joining NewsNation, Vittert worked for Fox News from 2010 to 2021, starting as a foreign correspondent based in Jerusalem and later anchor and correspondent in Washington.Subscribe below and get DDHQ’s election coverage in your inbox, including The Bellwether newsletter and our polling memo! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was kind enough to invite DDHQ Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley on for a Substack Live conversation. They covered redistricting, the House and Senate pictures ahead of the 2026 midterms, and presidential approval, among other things. This was the first of what will surely be many conversations now that DDHQ is on Substack! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com

Dear reader,Welcome to the Decision Desk HQ Substack, home to The Bellwether, our weekly newsletter devoted to the ins and outs of electoral politics. DDHQ readers will receive leading analysis of elections and expanded content offerings, so please subscribe!You can also click here to find out more about Decision Desk HQ’s work as a leading election results provider. Thank you for reading, and we hope you continue caucusing with us!Thank you for being a part of the DDHQ-verse,Geoffrey SkelleyChief Elections Analyst, DDHQ This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit decisiondeskhq.substack.com