Future Tech And Foresight

Marc Verbenkov
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Jun 27, 2023 • 20min

The 6 Steps to Reach the Singularity. Ep #114

In this episode, we illuminate the path towards the Technological Singularity, tracing the six interconnected milestones that could lead to a future where human and artificial intelligence are profoundly intertwined. Discover how advancements like autonomous machine learning, brain-computer interfaces, and the advent of Artificial General Intelligence are set to redefine our world, paving the way for a future that's both exciting and full of challenges. TimeCodes: 00:00:32 - Episode Starts 00:02:00 - What is the singularity? 00:02:33 - Usually forgotten aspects of the singularity 00:05:27 - Step 1 - Autonomous Machine Learning 00:08:07 - Step 2 - Initial Neural Augmentation 00:09:06 - Step 3 - Social acceptance and adaptation 00:11:48 - Step 4 - Expansion of IoT 00:12:56 - Step 5 - Full brain-computer Interfaces 00:14:57 - Step 6- Full AGI 00:16:33 - Conclusion
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Jun 20, 2023 • 22min

Search 4.0: Generative AI Search and AI Bias

Most people are only vaguely familiar with the biases and problems inherent in Google and its search functionalities, let alone AI. Might it be that having a new ‘version’ of search will be so shocking or overwhelming to the average person that the consequences of these biases will be too much to wrap our heads around before it’s too late? TimeCodes: 00:00:32 - Podcast Starts 00:03:04 - Search 1.0, 2.0, 3.0 00:05:06 - AI Bias in traditional searches 00:08:29 - Search 4.0 - Generative AI searches 00:09:56 - Biases in Generative AI's 00:12:57 - Impacts of Bias in Generative AI 00:15:53 - Smaller impacts of Generative AI's 00:17:49 - Conclusion 00:20:05 - End
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Jun 12, 2023 • 19min

The Birth of AI Fan-Made Media

This trend of ever cheaper content creation tools has continued, are we are potentially on the brink of a new era where Artificial Intelligence could cause a surge in both the quantity and quality of fan-made content?  Intro Right now, if you're a fan of a certain non-fiction universe or brand, you pretty much have to rely on big studios and organizations to create your beloved content. They use significant funding to produce movies, TV series, books, and more. However, fans have always found ways to add to their favorite stories, making their own content. Even back when the first Matrix movie came out, online forums were dedicated to generating alternative versions of the story, or continuing the story before the 2nd and 3rd film came out. People were spending hours dreaming up new stories within the world of the matrix. However, as time has moved forward, technology has enabled fans to create higher quality content as the prices of media creation tools has consistently dropped.  And due to this, there have even been notable fan made content consumed by audiences at large scales. Looking at one of the all time most successful franchises, Star Wars, there are several good fan made pieces that have racked up millions of views. Scene 38 reimagined has around 50 million views where a more agile Obi wan Kenobi duels Darth Vader on the death star, or the short animated film Tie fighter, with some 13+ million views follows an empire pilot during and after a space battle. But these are typically the exception and not the rule.
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Jun 6, 2023 • 1h 11min

Dawn of the Technological Singularity (With John Hawkins) Ep# 111

With the advent of ChatGPT and the start of a new AI arms race, futurists, philosophers and tech enthusiasts are starting to think where will all this technology lead us. Some claim that AI will bring about a new renaissance, others our doom, while some think it is the beginning of a technological singularity. The singularity is an idea that I’ve discussed only a few times on the podcast, but as tech like AI, BCI, AR, fusion, genetic manipulation, and many more seem to have daily breakthroughs, maybe it is a bit more realistic than some critics claim. My guest and I discuss not only what the singularity may look like, but also some of the benefits and concerns that we may experience on the way to it and we are in the center of it.    The conversation article: https://theconversation.com/futurists-predict-a-point-where-humans-and-machines-become-one-but-will-we-see-it-coming-196293 Counterpunch follow up article: https://www.counterpunch.org/2023/04/10/australia-and-darpas-quest-for-mind-control/ About The Guest John Hawkins is philosopher, poet and freelance journalist.  His work has appeared in publications around the world, including Rumpus, Cordite, Morning Star, the Australian. He is a regular contributor to CounterPunch magazine, a site for progressive politics, culture and the arts. His current research deals with the future of human consciousness in the age of AI. In addition, he is working on a novel. Twitter: @CagedTechnologySubstack: https://tantricdispositionmatrix.substack.com/ TimeCodes: 00:03:14 - Interview starts00:06:32 - Thoughts on ChatGPT00:07:48 - What is the Technological Singularity00:12:43 - Hive minds of the future00:20:28 - The impact of quantum computers00:24:34 - Will we be aware of the singularity?00:33:37 - DARPA’s influence on the singularity00:44:18 - Why are corporations so interested in BCI tech?00:51:08 - Will most employees still be relevant in the future?00:58:40 - What's the solution to controling runaway technology?01:03:25 - Is there hope for the future?01:06:13 - Conclusion
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May 23, 2023 • 16min

Using AI to Build an Autonomous Business. Ep #110.

I'm building a strategic foresight consultancy, and while digging into new AI tools and ChatGPT will try to make it as autonomous as possible over the next few months. How is this possible, and what benefits can be experienced by this? TimeCodes: 00:00:32 - Podcast Starts 00:01:08 - My new strategic foresight business 00:02:25 - Context of building an autonomous organization 00:04:49 - How ChatGPT is possibly enabling autonomous businesses 00:06:22 - Tangible example of using tech 00:09:20 - Why is this so important? 00:09:48 - Current Limitations in building an autonomated company 00:12:11 - What benefits are really experienced with this?
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May 16, 2023 • 58min

Mapping the Future - Foresight, Tech, and MegaTrends (With Richard Watson) Ep# 109

What is a futurist, how can we best think about the future, and how do we overcome our collective sense of future shock? My guest Richard Watson and I dive into a detailed megatrends map that Richard put together as a way of helping to navigate the current and coming disruptions that will impact all of us. Richard's Tools for thinking about the future: https://nowandnext.com/thinking-tools/Timeline of emerging Science and technology: https://nowandnext.com/PDF/Timeline%20of%20Emerging%20Science%20and%20Technology.pdfTable of Disruptive Technologies: https://nowandnext.com/PDF/Table%20of%20Disruptive%20Technologies.pngMegatrends and Technologies till 2050: https://nowandnext.com/PDF/Mega%20Trends%20and%20Technologies%202017-2050%20(Web).pngBook on aeging population demographics: https://www.biblio.com/book/extra-time-cavendish-camilla/d/1383632216?aid=frg&gclid=Cj0KCQjwsIejBhDOARIsANYqkD0iK_qHf7W-cmaSNxMCEeDLzu39_Lj0ejJk5vvzSA3q9AWd29qgbGwaAgdsEALw_wcB About The guest Richard Watson is a futurist speaker, author and scenario thinker who helps organisations to think further ahead, especially about emerging growth opportunities and risks. Richard has worked with the Tech Foresight Practice at Imperial College London and London Business School and is co-founder, along with philosopher Professor Roger Steare and strategist Nick Turner, of Thinking Allowed, a 24-hour retreat from the non-stop noise of working life. Richard is also the author of five best-selling books, including Digital Vs. Human. He is currently Futurist-in-Residence at the Entrepreneurship Centre at the Judge School at Cambridge University. Website: nowandnext.comLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-watson-883b1327 Timecodes: 00:03:45 - Interview Begins 00:07:34 - Are futurists too focused on technology? 00:09:16 - Is the future constructed or is it determined? 00:13:02 - Are we all experiencing future shock? 00:15:42 - How should a futurist help organizations? 00:20:22 - Does taking the reigns of the future remove future shock? 00:25:23 - Which megatrends are the most relevant today? 00:29:08 - How much impact will a decline in the birth rate be? 00:33:07 - Unique tech and trends that most people haven't heard of...yet 00:41:13 - The negative ramifications of Brain Machine Interfaces 00:45:27 - A return to focusing on people rather than just profit 00:46:09 - Are most people aware of the tech and megatrends coming their way? 00:50:12 - Is it even worth understanding what the future might be like for the average person? 00:54:05 - Is Richard optimistic about the future? 00:54:58 - Conclusion and how to reach Richard
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May 11, 2023 • 26min

AutoGPT and the birth of personal AI assistants. Ep# 108.

What is AutoGPT and how can it and other AI agents be used? What impact will they have in the future and why is regulation so important now with these new tools? TimeCodes: 00:00:32 - Episode begins 00:02:14 - What is AutoGPT and Baby AGI 00:04:59 - Applications of AutoGPT 00:08:00 - Impact of AutoGPT 00:12:59 - Why regulation is needed now more than ever 00:19:52 - Limitations of AI agents
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Apr 24, 2023 • 1h 4min

Will ChatGPT Erase Our Collective Knowledge?

Over the last few months now the excitement and fear of generative AI has been part of most technology discussions. Whether you think we should go full speed ahead and unleash the potential of ChatGPT and its future versions for the benefits we can reap, or you think we have opened Pandora’s box and should now try to contain it as much as we can, AI, the future of work, and technology’s impacts have been front and center. About The Guest: I read an article from today’s guest that detailed exactly one of these concerns, namely the impact that AI is having on our ability to collaborate and learn, and how it may be signaling the end of our collective knowledge. Peter Nixey is an engineer, designer and occasional investor. He exited his first San Francisco, YC-funded startup and over the years, has been both an Angel investor (including three unicorns) and a Venture Partner. He’s now building Intentional.io, a day planner that helps you ensure that more of what you hope to get done actually does get done. In our discussion Peter and I discuss the issue regarding collecting knowledge but also address many of the other potential problems and benefits that this new wave of AI is likely to bring about. I personally was so into the conversation that I lost track of the time so unfortunately our conversation ends relatively abruptly but nevertheless we were able to cover the most important points. Timecodes: 00:01:09 Introduction 00:03:45 Interview Begins 00:08:09 What is Stackoverflow and why is it important 00:10:49 Tangible Benfits of using StackOverflow 00:13:08 How has GPT-4 changed Stackoverflow? 00:17:07 How are developers now using Stackoverflow? 00:17:57 Why is GPT-4 bad for the future of programming? 00:26:47 Will AI remove collaborative knowledge in other areas? 00:31:40 Are we becoming hyperdependant on AI? 00:28:02 Are becoming hyperdependant on AI? 00:36:21 The social consequences of being dependant on AI 00:41:56 Will AI come to dominate our civilization? 00:43:08 Thought on Elon Musk's request to pause AI development 00:48:03 Will there be signs of AI's 'breaking out' of their safety programs? How quickly can AI go wrong? 00:55:14 Should AI development be made illegal? 00:56:34 End of conversation
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Apr 17, 2023 • 60min

When Will We Have Fusion Energy?

If you’ve ever wanted an overview of what the fusion industry currently is dealing with, beyond the complex technological aspects, my guest and I clearly lay out a number of the challenges and opportunities, as well as giving a much more positive outlook than what the intro clip alludes to. About The Episode So this week’s intro was a clip pulled from the sci-fi show The man who fell to earth, where one of the characters is listing off some of the more negative repercussions of instant fusion adoption on a global scale. Now I’ve covered nuclear energy in previous episodes, and even looked at things like the Thorium reactors as being a possible alternative. But I’ve wanted to cover fusion for a long time, mainly due to the massive scale of the implications, both positive and negative, when it is finally achieved, compared to almost any other emerging or upcoming future technology. And with the relatively recent breakthrough of the fusion ignition that happened in 2022 creating a newfound buzz around fusion, I think it’s the perfect time to get a look at this fascinating technology, where the industry currently is, and what might the next 10 years look like.  About The Guest To explain these ideas and many more, my guest this week is Andrew Holland, the CEO of the Fusion Industry Association. At the FIA, he advocates for the emerging private fusion industry before Congress, the White House, regulators, international bodies, and governments around the world.  He’s the author of the report, “Fusion Power – A 10 Year Plan for American Energy Security,” first published in 2013, laying out a roadmap for American leadership in fusion, which you’ll hear more about in today’s epsiode.  He also previously led the American Security Project's energy and climate work, rising to lead the organization as Chief Operating Officer and worked in the U.S. Senate as Energy and Environmental Policy Legislative Assistant to U.S. Senator Chuck Hagel.  If you’ve ever wanted an overview of what the fusion industry currently is dealing with, beyond the complex technological aspects, Andrew clearly lays out a number of the challenges and opportunities, as well as giving a much more positive outlook than what the intro clip alludes to.  FTI Website: https://www.fusionindustryassociation.org/ Andrew's Paper: https://www.americansecurityproject.org/fusion-white-paper-2014-10-year-plan-for-american-energy-security/ TimeCodes: 00:01:39 - Intro 00:04:16 - Interview Begins 00:08:11 - What is the current state of the Fusion Industry? 00:11:15 - Similarities between the New Space Industry and Fusion 00:14:41 - What will be the impacts of fusion energy? 00:19:27 - Main challenges for the fusion Industry 00:21:30 - How does the USA fusion industry compare to other countries? 00:24:31 - What is the importance of the ITER project in Europe? 00:31:49 - What does the recent Fusion Ignition breakthrough mean? 00:36:04 - How Important is the recent breakthrough for the future of the fusion industry? 00:39:32 - Fusion is no longer just a distant dream, it can be achieved 00:40:30 - How the Fusion Industry Association is supporting Fusion to happen 00:41:53 - What do the next 10 years mean for the Fusion Industry? 00:46:52 - How is AI impacting the Fusion Industry and Science development? 00:49:25 - Overlap between AI and Fusion Investments 00:50:08 - Andrews Vision of the future impacts for commercial fusion energy 00:56:05 - How to get in touch with Andrew
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Apr 4, 2023 • 51min

The Future of Non-Invasive Brain Tech Devices (With Cody Rall). Ep #105

There’s an entire other side of Neurotech that isn’t invasive, where you simply put on a wearable device to get the benefits of neurofeedback. But what kind of benefits can be obtained? And what kind of devices are out there? Dr. Cody Rall come onto the podcast to give more of an insight into what this technology can do, what benefits it can provide, and how it may be used in the future. About The Guest: Cody Rall is an ABPN board certified Navy trained Psychiatrist and a founding partner and former Media Director for Stanford Brainstorm. He was a former board member of The American Psychiatric Association's Annual Psychiatry Innovation Lab. He completed his obligation to the U.S. Navy in July 2021 and is now pursuing the use of Brain Computer Interface technologies for mental health. He is the founder of Techforpsych, a media and relations company that covers advancements in technology related to neuroscience and mental health treatment.  Tech For Psych Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMIs6RbQ1sAr_RmYyfc4iQg Website: https://www.techforpsych.com/ 00:01:02 - Introduction 00:02:51 - Discussion Begins 00:05:24 - How does non-invasive neurotech work? 00:07:53 - How have Neurotech devices improved over the last 10 years? 00:10:04 - What are the applications of Neurotech? 00:13:17 - AI's impact on neurotech 00:15:58 - Concerns about Neurotech going forward 00:20:20 - How should neurotech be regulated and what kind of regulations are on the horizon? 00:21:57 - What kind of personal benefits can you experience from using this tech? 00:26:25 - Some limitations of neurotech 00:30:26 - How is neurotech beneficial for companies? 00:36:59 - What application/device is currently getting the most attention 00:38:56 - Generative Ai's impact on Neurotech part 2 00:02:28 - What will AI's impact be on BCI? 00:45:15 - The Future of Neurotech

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