Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Today’s jobs report packed a serious punch, showing that 517,000 new jobs were added in the U.S. in January — far above median estimates — and bringing unemployment down to a 54-year low of 3.4%. Equities and bonds are selling off on the news. According to Spectra Markets’ president Brent Donnelly, a soft landing is just one of 5 possible macro narratives that could win out. Brent joins Maggie Lake to tease out the 5 outcomes facing investors in this special edition of the Daily Briefing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities continue to see broad gains in intraday trading after yesterday’s conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, who announced a 25-basis point rate hike. Today, both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England hiked rates by 50 basis points. RTM Capital Advisors CIO Mark Ritchie II sees this as further proof of a new bull market. He’ll join Maggie Lake to unpack this “Run of the Bulls 2.0” and discuss the price action in gold and crypto. Plus, we’ll hear from natural resources investor Rick Rule on why he sees upside in precious metals. Watch the entire Looking for the Upside episode here: https://rvtv.io/3X0Vl16 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Federal Reserve approved a much-anticipated quarter-point interest rate hike this afternoon — and suggested that another rate rise could be coming next — in its continued battle to tame inflation. And while the central bank’s statement reiterated that “ongoing increases in the target rate will be appropriate,” futures markets are still pricing in a rate cut by the end of 2023. In his press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell said that the Fed remains strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to 2 percent, and that “there remains much more work to do” to achieve sustained price control. Darius Dale of 42 Macro joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss the market’s reaction to the Fed announcement, what signals Powell sent to investors, and what other key market drivers we should be watching other than interest rates.Plus, we’ll hear from Danielle DiMartino Booth from the debut episode of The Deep Dive on why we may already be in recession. Watch that entire interview here: http://rvtv.io/3WV4pEQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. stocks made gains on Tuesday, closing the month of January on a positive note. Meanwhile, the U.S. housing market fell for the fifth straight month and is down 2.5% from its peak in June 2022. But that didn’t stop homebuilders from rallying today. Ash Bennington is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss that surprising price action and give us an update on where he sees the energy sector heading.We’ll also give you a peek into our latest edition of Investor Tutorials where Jamie McDonald breaks down how the housing market works, and what’s really driving the price trends. Watch the entire episode here: https://rvtv.io/3HmLnlc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities are down to start the week as investors look forward to the Fed’s next interest rate hike decision on Wednesday. As we progress through earnings season, large-cap tech is under the spotlight, with Apple, Google, Meta, and Amazon reporting this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital to discuss the current tech rally, whether it’s sustainable, and how long it could run. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision’s new series, Deep Dive, where Danielle DiMartino Booth and Andreas Steno Larsen discuss a Fed divided. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3DpBFNK Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this inaugural episode of Looking for the Upside, Andreas Steno Larsen and Mark Nelson, managing director at Radiant Energy Group, explore opportunities in nuclear power and uranium for 2023. Mark walks us through the investment case, while Andreas offers ways to play it (wait for the end). The goal is for you to walk away wanting to explore this topic further or decide it’s not for you. Enjoy. Recorded on January 6, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

China bids adieu to zero-COVID this week after its borders reopened, and investors are flocking in to capitalize on these long-awaited trading opportunities. Andreas takes a step back to examine the Chinese economy as it currently stands and digs into how the reopening may affect prices across various asset classes. Recorded on January 10, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

According to the latest PCE price index data out this morning, U.S. households reduced their spending in December, bolstering the argument that an economic slowdown is near. Stock markets rallied on the news, as investors assume that the Fed will begin to slow its interest rate hikes. Mish Schneider of MarketGauge.com and Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners are here to explore whether this market is paying attention to all the necessary factors. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on the ripple effects that China’s reopening is having on commodities.You can watch the entire episode of Steno’s Signals here: https://rvtv.io/3JlzFd0In the second part of the show, we’ll dive deep into the setup that Mish thinks is the next big trade. That part will be available only to Real Vision members. If you’re not a member yet, you can start a 7-day trial for $1 and see what you think. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. economic growth rose 2.9% in Q4 2022, down 0.3% from the prior quarter but stronger than forecasts. Markets rallied on the news, as some investors saw cooler-but-growing GDP as proof that a soft landing may be possible. Andreas Steno Larsen joins Maggie Lake to explore some mysterious data contradictions now popping up — and why a recession may have started many months ago. Then, Francis Gannon of Royce Investment Partners joins the show to dive into why small-caps may offer equity investors the best value in this market environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It’s been a roller coaster day for U.S. equities, as stocks plummeted after Microsoft issued weak forward guidance on its earnings call. But as of this writing, indexes have erased those early losses and the options market is now pricing in a Fed pivot after next Thursday’s Fed funds rate announcement. Imran Lakha, the founder of Options Insight, joins Maggie Lake to discuss his views of the macro landscape, explain what the options activity means for broader markets, and share some ways that investors can take action.Plus, we’ll hear from Marko Papic, chief strategist at Clocktower Group, on why he’s so confident the U.S. won’t enter a recession in 2023. You can watch the entire interview with Marko and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/antidavosSign up for the Real Vision Academy for access to Imran’s course on options here: https://t.co/wRrZtPLopn Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices