Bloomberg Surveillance

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, sees no reason for the Fed to stop hiking right now. Martin Indyk, CFR Distinguished Fellow & Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, says every message has to be carefully controlled in a crisis, including the one with Saudi Arabia. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Credit & Strategy Analyst, expects Uber bonds to have junk ratings. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence President, is optimistic about a Brexit deal in December. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jack Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, thinks economic sanctions are a powerful tool to influence countries to change their policies. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the U.S. is abusing its privileges. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of U.S. Banks, talks IPO growth. Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, is worried about the over-promise of liquidity in banks. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Equity Research Managing Director, says the universal bank model is outperforming the regional bank model. John Sfakianakis, Gulf Research Center Foundation Economics Research Director, thinks Khashoggi's disappearance has been a blow to Saudi Arabia's image-making. Vivian Nereim, Bloomberg Reporter, reports from Riyadh on the beginning of an internal probe in Saudi Arabia. Gary Gensler, Former CFTC Chairman, defends quarterly earnings reporting arguing that the public has the right to know about companies on a regular basis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager, says JP Morgan has a clear strategy which includes a large return of capital. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist, thinks that celebrity endorsements do not have an impact on elections results. Gustavo Rangel, ING Chief LatAm Economist, explains that big Latin American countries are not vulnerable to FX volatility. Mitch Roschelle, PwC Partner, says the U.S. is undersupplied with new housing stock. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of UK Investment Office, is not worried about tail risks. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO & Head of Fixed Income, thinks credit is the strongest place in the markets right now. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Global Markets Director and Economist, says an independent Fed is the best Fed. And Justin Leverenz, Oppenheimer Funds Director of EM Equities, highlights the focus on the sustainability of Tencent. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sebastian Mallaby, CFR Senior Fellow for International Economics, says the dollar's centrality in the global system has gone up since 2008. Claus Vistesen, Pantheon MacroEconomics Chief Eurozone Economist, thinks the Italian bond market is mispriced. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Managing Director & U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, prefers that banks have less revenues today but sustainable growth. Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, thinks people are becoming increasingly more pessimistic towards Brexit.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, says there is a good chance that we will see a downturn in 2020. Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategist, does not expect a terrible recession whenever it comes. Yanis Varoufakis, Former Finance Minister of Greece, thinks Italy is not sustainable within the current rules of the Eurozone. And Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, recommends we read Madeleine Albright's new book, "Fascism: A Warning." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the Nobel Prize for Economics Winner William Nordhaus was a very inspiring teacher. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Managing Director of Policy Research & Senior Policy Analyst, says Kavanaugh's confirmation galvanized the political pulse for the midterms. Monica de Bolle, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, thinks Brazil's first round winner Jair Bolsonaro is more nationalistic and state interventionist than the markets seem to realize. And Steve Keen, Kingston University of London Professor of Economics, talks the role of technology in economics after Paul Romer's Nobel Prize win. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, focuses on defensive growth stocks while the Fed is tightening. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor from 2010-2011, says wage growth goes mainly to the top end of the income distribution. Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Executive Editor, thinks that the debate around Kavanaugh has moved from sexual harassment to issues regarding his credibility. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says unemployment can go lower. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We lead today's podcast with a Bloomberg Businessweek scoop: China used a tiny chip to infiltrate almost 30 U.S. companies. Then we turn to Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Global Markets Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, who notes 75% of S&P revenues are U.S. driven. Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China & Former Senator from Montana, says countries will have to reach agreements on technology or this will be "the Wild West." Louise Yamada, Technical Research Advisors, says we're now in a new raising rate cycle. Jordan Robertson, Bloomberg News Global Technology Reporter, breaks down his reporting on China's microchips. And Adam Segal, Council on Foreign Relations Digital & Cyberspace Policy Program Director, says this story will shape upcoming security discussions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.