Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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May 31, 2022 • 53min

SURV_podcast_05-27-22_1Surveillance: Fed Mistakes with El-Erian (Podcast)

 Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion & Queens' College Cambridge President, says The Fed has to decide between two policy mistakes. Christyan Malek, JP Morgan Securities Global Energy Strategist, says there is still a lot of upside to energy prices from here. Ben Laidler, eToro Global Markets Strategist, says we're in a valuation driven correction. Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says growth risks are growing. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G10 FX Strategist, says euro to parity with the dollar is still possible in the months ahead. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Chief Economist, is not expecting a recession in the US. Alina Polyakova, Center for European Policy Analysis President & CEO, says there is no end in sight for the war in Ukraine. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 31, 2022 • 33min

Surveillance: Reducing Prices with Deese (Podcast)

Brian Deese, US National Economic Council Director, says US economic strengths can help bring prices down. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, says margins are more of a problem than growth. James Stavridis, Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and Author, "To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts & The Crucible of Decision," says opening the seas to Ukraine will be the next big move in the war. Leland Miller, China Beige Book International CEO, says the economic conditions in China are the worst they've been in years. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says the US needs more consistency in its energy regulation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 26, 2022 • 22min

Surveillance: Housing Market with Feroli (Podcast)

 Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Chief US Economist, says housing is coming back into balance. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Strategist, says the euro will find a new, higher range but remain under-valued. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says profit windfall taxes do not work. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel President & CEO, says rising mortgage are one of the best things that is happening to housing.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 25, 2022 • 59min

Surveillance: Davos, Day 3 (Podcast)

Dan Yergin, S&P Global Vice Chairman, says we're back to a more fragmented and less globalized world. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says China is the most important rising power. Scott Minerd, Guggenheim CIO, says no one has cracked the paradigm of crypto. Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says US fundamentals are strong. Karen Karniol-Tambour, Bridgewater Associates Co-CIO of Sustainable Investing, says there is no energy transition without commodities. Mikael Damberg, Swedish Finance Minister, discusses Sweden's historic decision to join NATO. Macky Tall, Carlyle Global Infrastructure Chairman, says the world is in dire need of more infrastructure investment. Kishore Mahbubani, National University of Singapore Senior Adviser & Public Policy Professor and Former UN Security Council President, says the world has to adjust to a new China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 23, 2022 • 60min

Surveillance: Davos, Day 1 (Podcast)

Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz are live from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Jason Furman, Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says a Fed funds rate of 4% or higher is completely plausible. Rebecca Patterson, Bridgewater Chief Investment Strategist, warns of a "vulnerable" dollar. John Kerry, US Special Climate Envoy and Former US Secretary of State, discusses the economic opportunity of climate change. Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor & Nobel Prize-Winning Economist, says raising rates won't fix the inflation problem. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, sees some buying opportunities in the markets right now. Martin Escobari, General Atlantic Co-President, sees carnage in growth stocks. Senator Pat Toomey, (R) Pennsylvania & Senate Banking Committee Ranking Member, says the Biden administration is an extension of the Trump administration when is comes to trade. Christiano Amon, Qualcomm CEO, discusses the need for a reliable supply chain. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 20, 2022 • 36min

Surveillance: Inflation Trades with Golub (Podcast)

 Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief Equity Strategist, says tech stocks will continue to struggle as long as we're in a high-inflation environment. Kwasi Kwarteng, UK Business & Energy Secretary, warns energy companies they may face a windfall tax if they don’t “step up” on new investments. Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Securities US Equity & Quantitative Strategy Head, says a lot of the bad news is priced in to the markets, but the worst is not yet behind us. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says the Fed doesn't know what it's going to take to get inflation back down to the 2% level. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 19, 2022 • 24min

Surveillance: Inflation with Sen. Rounds (Podcast)

 Sen. Mike Rounds, (R) South Dakota, says we must lower energy costs in order to address inflation. Lori Heinel, State Street Global Advisors CIO, thinks the Fed could avoid a recession if they move in the summer and then pause. Patrick Palfrey, Credit Suisse Co-Head of Quantitative Research & Senior Equity Strategist, says everything on the fundamental front still seems intact. Robert Hormats, Tiedemann Advisors Managing Director, discusses the importance of President Biden's visit to Asia. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 18, 2022 • 38min

Surveillance: Inflation with Fed's Evans (Podcast)

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, says he is extremely confident the Fed can bring down inflation. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says it will be difficult for the Fed to achieve a soft landing but recession chances are still low. Joseph Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Managing Director, says Target's profit cut is "transitory." Kit Juckes, Societe General Chief FX Strategist, doesn't see how Europe avoids a recession. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why he’s currently increasing his net long exposure and also his view on the NY Yankees. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 17, 2022 • 25min

Surveillance: US Growth with Hatzius (Podcast)

 Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, discusses why his firm cut their US growth forecast. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO and Chief Research Officer, says digital sales are moderating and consumers are shifting back to brick-and-mortar. Scott Clemons, Chief Investment Strategist, Brown Brothers Harriman, says the market is too pessimistic about the risk of inflation. Winnie Cisar, Creditsights Global Head of Credit Strategy, says we're moving into the credit risk phase of the selloff. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 16, 2022 • 31min

Surveillance: Kuleba Rules Out Cease-Fire (Podcast)

 Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba rules out offering Putin options for a cease-fire. Mark Esper, Former US Secretary of Defense, says the US needs to be careful about how it deals with China. Amanda Lynam, Goldman Sachs Senior Credit Strategist, sees triple-B firms as the sweet spot. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says this is the fist time in the history of the Fed that it may be able to escape crushing the economy to bring inflation down to its target level. Christian Nolting, Deutsche Bank Private Bank Global CIO, says it's time to go back to neural on stocks. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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