Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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Jan 5, 2023 • 25min

Surveillance: Soft Landings with Carpenter

Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Global Chief Economist, says he's looking for a soft-ish landing from the Fed. Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says big tech is ridiculously profitable despite headwinds. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Senior Research Analyst, discusses Amazon's plan to cut more than 18,000 jobs. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Taubman Center for American Politics Policy Director, says the GOP appears to be in disarray after 20 Republicans voted against Kevin McCarthy's bid for House speaker.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 4, 2023 • 24min

Surveillance: Earnings Recession with Wilson

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist, says a "nasty earnings recession" could be coming. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says the euro can stay supported through January. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research, says China will need all energy products when it reopens. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses the House of Representatives failing to elect a speaker.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 3, 2023 • 33min

Surveillance: Eurasia's Top 2023 Risks

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group Founder & President, outlines Eurasia Group's top risks for 2023. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says if we have a recession, it will be a Fed-induced recession. Kevin Rudd, Former Australia Prime Minister, says China's covid u-turn raises questions. Carl Bildt, Former Prime Minster of Sweden, says Vladimir Putin is increasingly alone. Marietje Schaake, Former European Parliament Member, says control over technology is a political choice. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 30, 2022 • 29min

Surveillance: 2023 Expectations with Knutzen

Erik Knutzen, Neuberger Berman Multi-Asset Class Chief Investment Officer, doesn't expect central banks to pivot in 2023. Matt Winkler, Editor-In-Chief Emeritus, debt investors are growing more confident in the Fed's ability to contain inflation. Lauren Sauer, University of Nebraska Medical Center Associate Professor and Special Pathogens Research Network Director, says our chance of going through another pandemic is quite high. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group Founder, CEO & Chief Research Officer, says retailers have made progress on reducing inventory levels. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 29, 2022 • 32min

Surveillance: Supply Shocks with Singh

Daleep Singh, PGIM Chief Global Economist, says we are probably in the most intense global power competition backdrop since World War II. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Chief Market Strategist, thinks a strong yen and lower inflation will take pressure off the Bank of Japan. Stephanie Aaronson, Brookings Institution Director of Economic Studies, discusses what the right tools are to measure the economy.Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, Chief Investment Strategist & Founder, says if there's going to be a recession, it's going to be soon. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 28, 2022 • 30min

Surveillance: Ban the Phillips Curve, Says Sahm

Kathryn Rooney Vera, Bulltick Head of Research & Strategy, says she is still remaining defensive. Claudia Sahm, Sahm Consulting Founder & Former Federal Reserve Economist, explains why she thinks the Fed should ban the Phillips curve. Kristina Hooper, Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist, says we're getting back to a more normal environment. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says Southwest needs to cut back its ambitions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 27, 2022 • 29min

Surveillance: 2023 Market Outlook

Matt Maley, Miller Tabak Chief Market Strategist, still remains bullish on the energy sector. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President, expects borrowing costs to drop next year. Dr. Bhakti Hansoti, Johns Hopkins Associate Professor of Emergency Medicine, discusses immunity amid China's reopening and a surge in covid infections. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Policy Research Director, says he is optimistic congress will pass some crypto legislation next year. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 23, 2022 • 27min

Surveillance: Minerd's Legacy with Diamond

 Bob Diamond, Atlas Merchant Capital Founding Partner and CEO, reflects on the life and legacy of Scott Minerd. Michael Gapen, Bank of America Securities Head of US Economics, says economic momentum seems to be slowing as the end of the year approaches. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President & Macro Strategist, says the Fed has won over the market in 2022. Persistent inflation is hard to see at this point. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy, discusses the challenges to travel this holiday season. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 22, 2022 • 29min

Surveillance: Positive Outlook with Golub

Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief US Equity Strategist and Head of Quantitative Research, says the markets backdrop is looking much more positive. Mark Cabana, Bank of America Global Head of US Short Rates Strategy, thinks fixed income will have increased value for investors over the next year or two. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, says President Biden may announce his re-election run in January. Veronica Clark, Citi Global Markets Economist, says we need to see a loosening in the labor market before expecting inflation to significantly come down. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 21, 2022 • 30min

Surveillance: German Finance Minister

Christian Lindner, German Finance Minister, says German carmakers are competitive and mustn't fear Tesla. Greg Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, sees a shift into bonds in 2023. Erik Nelson, Wells Fargo Macro Strategist, says the shift from the Bank of Japan is a warning shot for carry traders. Aneesha Sherman, Bernstein Senior Analyst, says Nike's brand is stronger than ever. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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