Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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Mar 17, 2023 • 27min

Surveillance: Bank Regulation with Hoenig

Thomas Hoenig, Former President of Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City & Former FDIC Vice Chairman, says policy-making needs some humility in the wake of the banking turmoil of the past week. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, says the Fed has to pause in the wake of SVB. Gerard Cassidy, RBC, Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, expects to see more banking regulation ahead. Alvaro Santos Pereira, OECD Chief Economist, says inflation still remains the biggest problem for the global economy See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 16, 2023 • 25min

Surveillance: Bank Supervision with Clarida

Richard Clarida, Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, PIMCO Global Economic Adviser & Columbia University Professor, sees tighter supervision on banks. Dominic Konstam, Mizuho Americas Head of Macro Strategy, says it's "fairly intuitive that in the long run" Credit Suisse ends up merging with another bank. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, cites the "underlying fundamentals" as the reason why he still likes European banks. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says the biggest risk of a hard landing is if the Fed follows the market pricing of interest rates. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 15, 2023 • 34min

Surveillance: Banking Jitters with Roubini

Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates CEO & Author of "Megathreats", says Credit Suisse "might be too big to fail, but also too big to be saved." Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says the ECB needs to put enough "firewalls" in place to help Credit Suisse. Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, says there might be counterparty risk for some of the US banks in regards to Credit Suisse. David Rubenstein, "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations" Host and Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, says there is a lot of Middle East interest in Credit Suisse. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO, says the Fed, ECB need to continue on their tightening campaign. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 14, 2023 • 48min

Surveillance: CS CEO Koerner Urges Patience

 Ulrich Koerner, Credit Suisse CEO, said the bank had seen client inflows on Monday amid the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Magnus Billing, Alecta CEO, says its $2.1 billion bet on three niche US banks was “a big failure.” Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says we are experiencing a "stress event" in an otherwise "strong" financial system. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says the banking system is safe & sound. David George, Baird Senior Research Analyst, says SVB was "essentially a levered PE fund."  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 13, 2023 • 28min

Surveillance: SVB Fallout with Michaud

Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says we need a government support mechanism to make things orderly following SVB's collapse.Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says she wouldn't be surprised if we see another leg higher in yields if we start to price in more hikes. Michael J. Wolf, Activate Founder & CEO, says it was a "dark weekend" for startups and venture capital firms. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, says as soon as there is a problem with one bank, "fear is real." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 10, 2023 • 31min

Surveillance: US Payrolls Top Estimates

Marty Walsh, US Labor Secretary, discusses the US February payrolls report. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Former Fed Governor, says the US labor market is still pretty hot. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says financial conditions aren't tightening enough. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Senior Equity Analyst, discusses US banks amid SVB turmoil. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, says "this is not an '08,'09 or even a 1990 moment."  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 9, 2023 • 31min

Surveillance: Tight Labor with Richardson

Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the labor market is still very tight. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says we still need to be positioned for decelerating growth and weaker than expected earnings. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Managing Director for Portfolio Strategy, says the global economy is accelerating. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Research, discusses Biden's budget proposal. Bill Browder, Hermitage Capital Management CEO, Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign Head & Author of "Freezing Order," discusses the war in Ukraine. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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6 snips
Mar 8, 2023 • 28min

Surveillance: Fed Distractions with Donald

Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says the focus on the Fed month-to-month can be distracting. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says "the risk of a hard landing does go up" if the Fed considers re-accelerating to 50 basis points. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Markets Advisory, says Powell is sticking to the Volcker playbook. Diane Swonk, KPMG Chief Economist, says it's important that Powell laid out how data dependent the Fed is. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 7, 2023 • 32min

Surveillance: Tech Downside with Wilson

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist and CIO, sees as much as 20% downside for tech, meme stocks. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says the Fed does not want to cause alarm. Iain Stealey, JPMorgan Asset Management International CIO for Fixed Income, says the ECB still has an inflation problem. Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Head of EM Sovereign Credit & Portfolio Manager, says EM is extremely diversified right now.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Mar 6, 2023 • 28min

Surveillance: Formula One Growth with Horner

Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing F1 Team Principal, discusses Formula One's growth in the US and Red Bull's win at the opening race in Bahrain. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says the China reopening trade may be "overdone." David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says any possible US downturn won't be as severe as the recession of 2008. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow and "Saudi Inc." Author, says we're headed towards a period of tightness in the oil market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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