Eurodollar University

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Several more countries around the world are reporting contractions in GDP even before getting to trade wars and any tariff impacts. The latest cluster around Scandinavia and have European banks overall behaving in very curious ways. So much so, the typically hands-off ECB is writing letters to them and threatening on-site visits to get some answers before the economy really takes its turn. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Sweden’s Surprise Economic Contraction Boosts Rate Cut Oddshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/swedish-economy-unexpectedly-shrinks-weighed-down-by-investmentBloomberg ECB Steps Up Scrutiny of Banks’ Exposure to Private Marketshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/ecb-intensifies-scrutiny-of-banks-exposure-to-private-marketshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Texas Just Sent a Warning Shot to the Rest of the U.S. EconomyConsumer spending in Texas has collapsed, and the data from the Dallas Fed is worse than anyone expected. Retail sales activity fell off a cliff in May, hitting levels not seen since April 2020. Inventories are piling up, work hours are being slashed, and employers are cutting back.Is this just a Texas problem… or is it the first sign of a nationwide consumer retrenchment?In this video, we break down the shocking data, why it matters, and how it could ripple across the entire U.S. economy in the months ahead.If the U.S. consumer breaks, it’s game over.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Everyone's favorite topic, yet there is little factually correct information floating around the internet or social media. You can't understand the dollar's position until you realize it's actually the eurodollar you're really talking about. And that means reserve currency, and hardly anyone knows what that truly means or involves. Until now. Eurodollar University's Make It Make CentsFOMC Minutes December 1963https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomchistmin19631217.pdfFOMC Transcript Feb 1998https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19980204meeting.pdfBIS 1964 34th Annual Reporthttps://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/archive/ar1964_en.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/South Korea had been on the side of the Fed, sticking with interest rates opting to see about trade war "uncertainty" before doing anything. That lasted all of four weeks. The list of central banks able to sit by and watch CPI has thinned down to just the one Mr. Powell runs. And the update to Q1 GDP in the US holds the key as to why.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bank of Korea Flags More Rate Cuts to Come as Tariffs Hit Growthhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bok-cuts-rate-to-cushion-economy-from-tariffs-political-turmoilCNBC Bank of Korea lowers interest rates for the fourth time, flags more cuts aheadhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/29/south-korea-central-bank-cuts-interest-rates-.htmlChosunBiz Bank of Korea lowers interest rate to 2.50%, signals possibility of further cutshttps://biz.chosun.com/en/en-policy/2025/05/29/E5KPW2LQYFGPRF5EM5G3RUM4XQ/Bloomberg Banxico Sees Growth of 0.1% This Year, Rules Out Recessionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bank-lending-to-private-credit-funds-swells-145-in-five-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Germany. France. New Zealand. Singapore. ECB. Rising unemployment. Falling employment. Lowering interest rates. Technical recession. Historically low territory up next. There is almost no one left in the official world in the same thinking as the Fed as the world more clearly and completely tilts against "inflation."Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWSJ Germany’s Jobless Numbers Tick Higherhttps://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/germanys-jobless-numbers-tick-higher-27a99b18Le Monde France's great consumption slumphttps://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2024/10/10/france-s-great-consumption-slump_6728864_19.htmlBloomberg ECB Faces Greater Risk Inflation Will Undershoot 2%, Simkus Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-26/ecb-faces-greater-risk-inflation-will-undershoot-2-simkus-sayshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Reserve Bank of Australia had resisted cutting rates, being the last major central bank to do so. This week, RBA not only cut again officials confirmed discussing a fifty. Plus the Swedes, who were supposed to have been done, are back at it again. Race to the bottom heats up again.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg RBA Ready to Respond If Needed to Trade Shock, Hauser Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-22/rba-s-hauser-sees-us-china-trade-dispute-aiding-australian-firmsS&P Global Eurozone PMIs May 2025https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f4672a7ff89744e096c5e9497d2e5362https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The discussion dives into why people expect interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy, revealing a shocking truth about the Fed's long-held narratives. It critiques the idea that lower rates guarantee growth, spotlighting historical failures. The talk further unpacks misconceptions about the Fed's actual control over rates, showing how real market behaviors challenge this belief. The cyclical nature of interest rates during economic booms and busts is explored, highlighting the hidden economic issues that low rates often obscure.

Long-term bond yields are on the rise, challenging common beliefs about inflation and fiscal deficits. The complex dynamics of global bond markets and central bank actions are scrutinized for potential risks. Gold emerges as a reliable asset amid economic uncertainty, with discussion on leasing gold for yield. Historical reactions of the Federal Reserve to inflation are linked to current yield uncertainties, emphasizing established economic fundamentals rather than a complete shift in the economic landscape.

The podcast dives into the striking rise of bank lending to offshore entities, raising questions about potential risks during economic downturns. It connects these lending trends to past financial crises, highlighting instability in bank-shadow bank relationships. The discussion delves into the behavior of shadow banks and the unpredictable risks they pose amid evolving credit cycles. With increasing loans to non-bank financial institutions, the fragile economic landscape could face significant challenges in the near future.

This podcast dives into the intriguing views of the Swiss National Bank's chief on inflation risks and the potential for negative prices. J.P. Morgan's Jamie Dimon warns of growing credit risks, emphasizing the need for caution in volatile markets. The discussion highlights gold as a reliable investment amid economic uncertainties and examines the complex interplay between Treasury yields and global market dynamics. Insights on the intricacies of credit fragility reveal key vulnerabilities affecting the broader monetary system.