The Breakdown

The week's complete show run in one convenient file.  Monday | Why Buffett’s Bearishness Should End V-Shaped Recovery Talk Tuesday | Why Crypto Matters for Financial Inclusion, Feat. Celo's Marek Olszewski Wednesday | Surveying the Carnage: How Real Estate, Travel and Music Are Faring During the Crisis Thursday | 9 Reasons Why Bitcoin Has Never Been Stronger Going Into A Halving Friday | The Rise Of The Dollar Killers, Feat. Niall Ferguson & More [Money Reimagined - Part 2]

Libra, the Euro, China's DCEP.  Do any of these currencies have a chance at displacing the dollar in the global order? Or is it possible - as Niall Ferguson suggestions on this episode - that we're poised to shift back to a multipollar, multi-currency world? The second in our four-part documentary micro-series on the battle for the future of money.  Also featuring Michael Casey, Matthew Graham, Katherine Wu, Peter Zeihan, Luke Gromen and more.  Music by DJ J-Scrilla "Faith In My Money (Money Printer Go Brrr)" from the new “Sound Money” album.    

The bitcoin halving is just a few days away and the growing excitement is palpable. On this episode of The Breakdown, NLW argues that the excitement is also legitimate, and looks at nine reasons why bitcoin has never been stronger going into one of its every-four-year issuance reductions: Price Hash rate Mining competition Accessibility and Services  Infrastructure Institutional awareness and participation Narrative relevance Perceived and real resilience  Lindy effects  Oh, and let’s not forget. Paul Tudor Jones just disclosed that he is invested in bitcoin and sees it as a hedge against ‘great monetary inflation’

The second order effects of the COVID-19 crisis are here, and they’re painful. In this episode, NLW looks at how COVID is impacting three industries: Travel and tourism 100m lost jobs expected globally  $2.7 in lost GDP  Airbnb lays of 25% of employees  Music & Concerts From a record $12.2B concert year to a loss of $9B Expectations of concert prohibition lasting up to two years Industry organizing to be included in relief  Real Estate Commercial real estate expecting 2.5% default rate for 5+ years  Negotiations around sales-based payment instead of traditional rent  Residential sees cratering demand but home prices remain up year over year

Around the world, an estimated 1.7 billion people remain unbanked and lacking access to high quality financial services.  Some projects see cryptocurrency as an answer. In this episode of The Breakdown, NLW speaks with Celo co-founder Marek Olszewski about: How Celo was designed differently to address financial inclusion as a primary use case  The problems with centralized approaches to mobile money like m-pesa  Why true financial inclusions solutions must be permissionless  Why technology design isn’t enough and projects that seek to gain adoption require ground up go to market strategies The impact of Libra’s launch on the “bank the unbanked” narrative  How the COVID-19 crisis has changed the narrative around and demand for stabelcoins globally

One month after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008, Warren Buffett wrote an Op-Ed saying that he was buying stocks. Yet during the Coronavirus crisis, he is sitting firmly on the sidelines.  On Saturday night, the “Oracle of Omaha” spoke for 4.5 hours in the first ever virtual version of the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting - an event which some have called the “Woodstock of Capitalism.” On this episode, NLW examines some of the key topics of the presentation, including:  Why Berkshire sold their entire $6.5B stake in the airline industry Why they were sitting on $137B in cash  Why they haven’t made any investments  How the Fed gave companies better terms than they were willing to It was hard not to watch the presentation and conclude that Buffett feels that there are simply too many unknowns in the world going forward to feel comfortable doing much in the market right now. 

The week's episodes in one long run.  Monday | Bitcoin vs. QE Infinity: The 4 Archetypes Of The Halving Debate Tuesday | The Mass Surveillance Machine, Feat. Maya Zehavi Wednesday | When Currencies Fail: A Primer on the Crisis in Lebanon Thursday | From Corrupt To Broken: An Insider’s Analysis Of The Fed, feat. Danielle DiMartino Booth Friday | Why The Dollar Has Never Been Stronger Or More Set Up To Fail [Money Reimagined Pt. 1]

The first of a 4-part docu-style series on the battle for the future of money. In this first episode of Money Reimagined, we look at: Why US markets took so long to react How the stock market became a political utility Why, even before the crisis, “increasingly exotic forms of quantitative easing” were inevitable Why the bailouts have some investors accusing our entire market of being cronyism rather than capitalism  What unlimited money printing means for the US dollar.  Featuring insight from Matthew Graham, Caitlin Long, Scott Melker, Kevin Kelly, Ben Hunt, Luke Gromen, Travis Kling, Mark Yusko, Anthony Pompliano, Jared Dillian, Dave Portnoy, Michael Casey, Preston Pysh, Peter Zeihan Music by DJ J-Scrilla "Faith In My Money (Money Printer Go Brrr)" from the “Sound Money” album.

Danielle DiMartino Booth is the CEO and Chief Strategist of Quill Intelligence. Before that, however, after correctly predicting the mortgage meltdown, she was called upon to serve and spent 9 years as an advisor to the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. That experience led her to write “Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America.” In this episode, Danielle and NLW discuss: How the Fed went from simply corrupt to corrupt and broken Why we’ve been living through the largest experiment in monetary policy history Why interest rates are the lowest they’ve been in 5000 years Why COVID-19 was the pin, not the balloon  Why current Fed action compromises the Fed’s independence  Why the market structure incentivizes consumption and risk investment over savings Why risk investments have ceased to be risky because of Fed backstopping  Why a key concern going forward is a second wave of COVID-19 layoffs in industries beyond the obviously impacted

The Lebanese pound has lost at least 50% of its value since last year. 220,000 people have lost their jobs. Food prices are up 58%. An estimated 75% of the population needs assistance of some kind. And over the last two nights, at least a dozen banks have been torched by protesters.    The catalyst? Not coronavirus, but a massive dollar shortage that is destroying an economy that relies on inflows of USD to function.  In this episode, NLW breaks down how Lebanon models what it looks like for a currency to fail, and why this likely isn’t the last emerging market currency to experience a similar crisis in the months to come.