

Eye On The Market
Michael Cembalest
Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, policy and markets.
Episodes
Mentioned books

30 snips
Jul 3, 2025 • 21min
"OK Boomer" on stablecoins, profits, tax cuts vs tariffs and presidential break-ups
The show dives into how historical runs on non-FDIC insured debt mirror concerns over lightly regulated stablecoins. It highlights the surprise earnings of major tech stocks and discusses the impact of tariffs and tax cuts post-Ukraine invasion. The complexity of stablecoin regulation is explored, along with the influence of crypto donations on political motives. Additionally, historical political betrayals are examined, showcasing parallels with today's leadership conflicts.

64 snips
May 27, 2025 • 16min
Chicken Hawks: a quick note on the US budget reconciliation bill
The discussion critiques the recent House budget reconciliation bill, highlighting fiscal hawks' role in increasing debt. Major cuts to Medicaid and student loans raise questions about tax implications and future expansions. Deficit projections are analyzed in relation to global interest rates, sparking concerns about attracting international talent in tech. The podcast also teases future themes like the Euro project and tariff wars, complemented by creative illustrations like a Lego diorama to visualize economic solutions.

110 snips
May 13, 2025 • 30min
Back to our Regularly Scheduled Programming
The discussion kicks off with the intricate link between tariffs and equity markets, highlighting America's reliance on foreign capital. The podcast dives into AI adoption across various sectors, showcasing a survey predicting modest employee reductions and revenue shifts. It also reviews the improving employment rates for recent graduates compared to the broader job market. Generative AI's influence on software development and the impact of declining vaccination rates on public health are also addressed, emphasizing the need for effective responses to misinformation.

16 snips
May 1, 2025 • 26min
Dogespierre Has Left The Building: DOGE’s impact on US government spending; Spanish Power outage; Trump Tracker
The discussion dives into how Dogecoin is impacting U.S. government spending, echoing historical cuts that carry unexpected repercussions. There’s a critical look at the implications for agencies like the NIH and CDC, risking healthcare innovation. The podcast also tackles the challenges of renewable energy stability, highlighted by a significant power outage in Spain. Through these topics, the analysis emphasizes the delicate balance between tech influence and public service accountability.

31 snips
Apr 2, 2025 • 13min
Redacted
Dive into the CEO front lines on Liberation Day, where business confidence is on the decline, likened to an alchemist's unconventional strategies. Unpack the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecasting and the intricacies of tariffs and non-tariff barriers affecting global trade. Discover how executive orders shape corporate landscapes and impact optimism. Finally, explore savvy investment strategies amidst a market downturn, revealing the potential for gains even when the market dips significantly.

22 snips
Mar 12, 2025 • 18min
Fifty Days of Grey
The discussion unveils the stock market's unyielding nature, portraying it as a powerful voting machine immune to political turmoil. The podcast dives deep into how current administration policies are steering the market toward inflationary outcomes. Historical examples of tariffs, particularly in the auto and steel sectors, are explored, shedding light on their lasting impacts. Additionally, it addresses the evolving dynamics within NATO, reflecting on military commitments and the emerging rifts in shared values that could shape global trade.

36 snips
Mar 4, 2025 • 20min
Heliocentrism: Objects may be further away than they appear
Solar power is surging globally, yet the renewable transition is still sluggish. The podcast dives into the complexities of electrification and persistent fossil fuel reliance. Europe’s uphill battle with decarbonization is explored, highlighting the costs and challenges of shifting to sustainable energy. Key discussions include nuclear power, renewable fuels, and innovative concepts like superconductivity and methane tracking. A humorous glimpse at future themes adds a light touch to this serious topic.

45 snips
Feb 13, 2025 • 11min
From Here to Eternity
The podcast takes a deep dive into the intense shifts in U.S. politics, drawing intriguing parallels with the past. It examines the emotional public responses to economic policies and the potential for rapid changes ahead of the midterms. There's a thorough analysis of how government actions might impact the economy and the legal landscape, including insights on the constitutionality of these policies. The discussion also covers the complexities of recent executive orders and the ongoing judicial challenges, shedding light on the contentious debates in Washington.

64 snips
Jan 21, 2025 • 20min
Inauguruption: the flurry of Trump 2.0 executive orders
Dive into the complex world of Trump 2.0, where political influences from historical figures shape today’s landscape. Discover how executive orders spark a clash between supply-side benefits and inflation risks for investors. Explore the impact of trade tariffs and immigration strategies that echo past policies. Understand the dynamics of a shrinking federal workforce and the potential ramifications of budget cuts. Finally, navigate the challenges posed by new regulations as the administration's agenda unfolds.

87 snips
Jan 1, 2025 • 36min
Eye on the Market Outlook 2025: The Alchemists
Explore the chaotic interplay of deregulation, tariffs, and crypto in shaping the 2025 economy. Delve into the potential of nuclear power amidst rising energy demands and the political ambitions tied to it. Discover the implications of workforce reductions in federal agencies and China's economic landscape. Get insights on the skepticism surrounding cryptocurrencies and their political influences. Plus, analyze migration trends and how these shifts could impact housing and economic forecasts.


