

Deep Tech Catalyst
The Scenarionist
Learn every week from global investors and experts how to turn your scientific discoveries into investable Deep Tech startups.
At The Scenarionist, we connect the dots across science, capital, and industrial execution by tracking the patterns, inflection points, and market shifts that matter most, every week.
Subscribe for free to our newsletter and join 2,600+ Deep Tech founders, investors, and operators already in the loop.
Every week, you’ll find curated food for thought. Check it out: https://www.thescenarionist.com/p/what-is-the-scenarionist
At The Scenarionist, we connect the dots across science, capital, and industrial execution by tracking the patterns, inflection points, and market shifts that matter most, every week.
Subscribe for free to our newsletter and join 2,600+ Deep Tech founders, investors, and operators already in the loop.
Every week, you’ll find curated food for thought. Check it out: https://www.thescenarionist.com/p/what-is-the-scenarionist
Episodes
Mentioned books

May 10, 2024 • 18min
From Lab to FOAK: Decoding the Road Ahead for Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Carlota Ochoa Neven Du Mont, Principal @ Extantia
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Carlota Ochoa Neven Du Mont
#DeepTechCatalyst
Don't miss the full video podcast on our educational platform!
KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. What is a First-Of-A-Kind (FOAK) in the Context of TRL? The episode differentiates between the stages of prototype, pilot, and FOAK, detailing the TRL progression from lab-scale prototypes (TRL 4-5) to pilot plants (TRL 6) and finally to FOAK demonstration units (TRL 7-8).
2. Differences Between Pilot and FOAK Stages: It highlights varying company approaches to prototype and pilot development, the importance of third-party engineering firms based on technology complexity, and the cost-benefit analysis of in-house versus external engineering development.
3. Optimizing Funding Strategies for Deep Tech Startups: The discussion covers the transition from grant funding to private investment, typical funding splits at different stages (prototype, pilot, and FOAK), and the potential to leverage venture debt through early commercial traction and off-take agreements.
4. Understanding Venture Debt: The episode contrasts Venture Capital with Venture Debt, describing Venture Debt's characteristics and benefits for startups, its seniority in the capital stack, and its impact on company financials.
5. Impact of FOAK on Valuation: It explains how achieving FOAK de-risks technology, significantly boosts valuation, facilitates access to infrastructure financing, and increases investor interest.
6. Strategic Considerations for FOAK Development: The discussion emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive financing plan for FOAK projects, the role of technical demonstrations in enhancing investor confidence, and the potential for substantial growth and funding opportunities following FOAK achievements.
MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more.
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #venturecapital #FOAK #climatetech

May 3, 2024 • 20min
Techno-Economic Analysis for Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Chris Burk, Techno-economics Specialist.
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Chris Burk
#DeepTechCatalyst
Don't miss the full video podcast on our educational platform!
KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. The importance of Techno-economic Analysis (TEA): Techno-economic analysis (TEA) is crucial for deep tech founders as it combines technical and financial inputs to evaluate the economic viability of new technologies, distinguishing them from financial models.
2. Components of Technoeconomic Models: Techno-economic models consist of technical inputs like lab measurements and engineering assumptions, and financial inputs including costs and pricing, leading to outputs like capital costs, operating costs, and potential revenue.
3. TEA vs Market Analysis: While TEA focuses on the economic viability of product production, market analysis assesses the product’s market size and pricing. Both analyses are interrelated and essential for determining production scale and price points.
4. Early Application and Strategic Planning: Integrating techno-economic analysis early in the project development process helps founders ensure their technology is commercially viable and aligns with investor expectations, guiding strategic decisions and timing.
5. A Case Study: A company used TEA early on to evaluate the economic feasibility of producing a new amino acid, leading to strategic decisions on production scale and R&D focus based on market size and cost efficiency.
6. How to Approach a TEA Model: Building a TEA model starts with accessible data and evolves through sensitivity analyses and consulting existing reports. This approach helps prioritize which cost elements to focus on, streamlining the development of a robust economic model.
MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more.
- Stay in the loop with our latest news.
- Let’s connect.
#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #venturecapital

Apr 26, 2024 • 30min
How to Establish Initial Customer Relationships in Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Ryan Lewis, Partner @ SRI Ventures
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Ryan Lewis
#DeepTechCatalyst
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Don't miss the full video podcast on our educational platform!
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Product or Feature Dependency: Exploring how deep tech innovations must translate into real-world applications for customers and the challenges founders face in demonstrating this.
2. Cost of Acquiring Customers: Discussing the importance of understanding the total cost of change or adoption for potential customers, particularly in deep tech where technology adoption requires significant changes.
3. Engagement Strategies with Customers: Highlighting the necessity for startups to explore multiple engagement strategies with customers, avoiding 'all-or-nothing' scenarios, and finding various entry points to de-risk the business.
4. Advantages of Multiple Customers for VCs: Addressing the risks associated with over-reliance on a single customer and emphasizing the importance of developing additional partnerships to ensure scalability and long-term success.
5. Relationship Between Founders and Investors: Exploring the importance of transparency, communication, and trust between founders and investors, highlighting the iterative nature of early-stage business development and decision-making.
6. Discussing Deep Tech Trend in the US: Analyzing the factors driving the growth of deep tech investments, including shifts in market dynamics, increased R&D investment from corporations, and changes in the funding landscape.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #venturecapital

Apr 19, 2024 • 22min
Who is Your Customer? Value Proposition Design for Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Gayathri Radhakrishnan, Partner @ Hitachi Ventures
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Gayathri Radhakrishnan
#DeepTechCatalyst
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Don't miss the full video podcast on our educational platform!
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Invention vs. Innovation: Explore the distinction between an invention (a new technology or breakthrough) and innovation (the application of an invention to improve outcomes in daily life).
2. Customer Development and Market Fit: The importance of identifying the customer, understanding their needs, and developing products that address specific pain points is discussed.
3. Engaging with Corporates for Innovation: Strategies for scientists and innovators to engage with large corporations are outlined, particularly through corporate open innovation arms that help integrate external innovations.
4. Building for Multiple Customers: The risks of developing a product too specifically for one customer are noted. The benefits of creating solutions that address the needs of multiple customers to avoid becoming overly dependent on a single client are emphasized.
5. Business Scalability and Exit Strategies: The conversation covers strategies for scaling a business, including building products that appeal to a broad market. Different exit strategies, such as IPOs and acquisitions, are discussed, underlining the importance of making the business attractive to potential buyers or for public offering.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #venturecapital

Apr 12, 2024 • 22min
Venture Science: How to Build Investable Startups with Science at the Core. A chat with Phil Morle, Partner @ Main Sequence Ventures
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel by The Scenarionist where science meets venture!
Today, we are thrilled to welcome Phil Morle Partner at Main Sequence Ventures!
This chat delves into the concept of the Venture Science, a strategic method to bridge the gap between scientific discovery and viable business ventures.
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Phil Morle
#DeepTechCatalyst
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Introduction to Venture Science: The episode introduces the Venture Science Canvas, designed to bridge the gap between scientific research and venture capital.
2. The Four Pillars of Founding a Deep Tech Team: The discussion emphasizes the crucial roles of various founders (executive, research, industry, and venture) in a deep tech company, highlighting their essential contributions to the venture's success.
3. Challenges of Commercializing Science: It addresses the challenges scientists face when moving from academic research to commercial ventures, such as adapting to venture capital dynamics and changing mindsets for commercial success.
4. Case Study: Plastic Waste Management: A case study of a company addressing plastic waste is presented, showcasing the application of the Venture Science Canvas, detailing the formation of the company, the roles of founders, and their strategic approach.
5. Future Shock Canvas and Long-term Planning: The Future Shock Canvas tool is introduced, aiding founders in visualizing and planning for the long-term impacts of their technology in the market, encouraging them to think beyond the immediate technical achievements.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #venturecapital

Apr 5, 2024 • 23min
Patents, Claims, and Prior Art: IP Basics for Deep Tech Startups | Deep Tech Catalyst
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel by The Scenarionist where science meets venture!
Today, we are thrilled to welcome Sara Holland, IP expert and Partner @ Potter Clarkson.
We're set to explore the intricate world of intellectual property, unraveling the essentials of patents, claims, prior art, and the concept of freedom to operate (FTO)—all crucial elements for anyone venturing into technology innovation.
Let's dive into what a patent really is and why it's so critical for turning technology into a valuable asset for Deep Tech startups.
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Sara Holland
#DeepTechCatalyst
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:42) 🎙️ Introduction
(02:03) 🤔 What is a Patent?
(04:43) 🔬 What Can Be Patented?
(07:18) 🔍 A Practical Example
(08:39) 📍 Claims
(13:07) 📚 Prior Art
(15:33) 💼 IP Strategy
(17:34) ⚠️ Common Mistakes Scientists Should Avoid
(20:11) 🌎 FTO Basics
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Intellectual Property (IP) & Patents: Explores the fundamental aspects of patents, emphasizing their role in protecting innovative ideas and investments, as well as the importance of understanding and crafting patent claims strategically.
2. What can be Patented?: Provides insights into the criteria for obtaining a patent, including novelty and inventiveness, and discusses the importance of assessing an invention's novelty and non-obviousness within the context of existing knowledge.
3. Claims vs Prior Art: Differentiates between patent claims and prior art, emphasizing the importance of drafting strategic claims and managing prior art effectively to secure a strong patent.
4. Start Locally and Scale Globally: Explores basic strategies for drafting patents that can scale globally, such as initiating the process with a local application and then expanding internationally.
5. Common Mistakes Scientists Should Avoid: Highlights common pitfalls in the patenting process, such as premature publication and issues related to ownership, and provides guidance on timing publication to avoid compromising patentability.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #startupschool

Mar 29, 2024 • 23min
How to Approach the Carbon Removal Industry: VC Insights for Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Benjamin Schulz, Founding Partner @ Carbon Removal Partners
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel by The Scenarionist where science meets venture!
In this episode, we're glad to welcome Benjamin Schulz, Founding Partner at Carbon Removal Partners.
Together, we'll delve into the critical journey of aligning innovative Climate Tech ideas with real-world demand, highlighting the pivotal steps and considerations for success. From securing the early investments to establishing key industry connections, we aim to shed light on the essential strategies for early-stage Deep Tech startups.
If you're passionate about making a real-world impact with your scientific breakthroughs, you won't want to miss this insightful discussion.
Let's dive into it!
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Benjamin Schulz
#DeepTechCatalyst
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:38) 🎙️ Introduction
(02:21) 🧗♀️ Common Challenges for Aspiring Deep Tech Founders in the Climate Sector
(05:12) 🥇 The Importance of Reputation and Affiliations in the Early Stages
(07:32) 🎯 Market Validation in Early-Stage Deep Tech
(11:35) 🏭 The Value of the First Partnership for a VC
(13:56) 📃 The Meaning of a Letter of Intent
(15:49) 🔄 Navigating Early Partnerships
(18:56) 🚀 Future Trends in Carbon Removal
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Transitioning from Lab to Market: It discusses the differing approaches of U.S. and European founders in attracting investment, emphasizing the importance of showcasing a venture as a market winner and the value of prestigious affiliations in boosting investor confidence.
2. Building Industry Connections: Stresses the importance of establishing connections with industry leaders and strategic positioning near major players for validation and credibility, alongside the benefits of being open to criticism and collaboration.
3. Market Validation for Early-Stage Tech: Focuses on the significance of tangible commitments and early sponsorships over mere titles, showcasing the importance of genuine support, like investments from credible individuals and letters of intent from potential buyers, as indicators of a startup’s market potential.
4. Navigating Early Partnerships: startups need to carefully manage early collaborations, ensuring they align with long-term goals and maintain autonomy, while understanding the motivations of corporate partners to foster beneficial growth.
5. Future Trends in Carbon Removal: Explores the nascent field of carbon removal, discussing its immense growth potential, the need for technological and policy innovation, and the emergence of carbon removal clusters that facilitate collaboration and accelerate progress in combating climate change.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #startupschool

Mar 15, 2024 • 28min
How to Avoid Common Pitfalls in Deep Tech Startups: Tips for Pre-Seed & Seed Stages. A chat with Dave Grimm, Partner @ AlbionVC
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel by The Scenarionist where science meets venture!
We're thrilled to host Dave Grimm, Partner at AlbionVC!
Today, we'll explore the unique challenges in the pre-seed and seed stages of Deep Tech startups, from the very basics of problem-solution fit to how to approach the first potential B2B corporate partner.
If you are a scientist aiming to learn more about entrepreneurship and commercialization, this is the right episode to watch!
Let's dive into it!
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Dave Grimm
#DeepTechCatalyst
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:30) 🎙️ Introduction
(01:28) 💡 Problem/Solution Fit in Deep Tech
(05:49) 📊 When to Start Market Research along the R&D Path?
(10:11) 🤝 How to Manage Early B2B Relations?
(13:44) 💪 Overcoming Challenges in Deep Tech Entrepreneurship
(18:55) 🔍 Decoding Term Sheets
(21:32) 📈 Why do Traditional VC Metrics May Not Fit in Early-Stage Deep Tech?
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Problem/Solution Fit in Deep Tech: We discuss the importance of understanding market needs and finding the right solution to address them, especially in the early stages of Deep Tech startups.
2. When to Start Market Research along the R&D Path? Explore the balance between technological innovation and business viability, particularly in spinouts from research institutions.
3. How to Manage Early B2B Relations? We discuss challenges in introducing radical innovations to the B2B market and offer strategies for navigating corporate structures and relationships.
4. Decoding Term Sheets: Explore the key elements of term sheets in investment deals between startups and venture capital firms, outlining the different types and considerations.
5. Why do Traditional VC Metrics May Not Fit in Early-Stage Deep Tech? We navigate why traditional metrics for assessing startups may not apply to early-stage Deep Tech ventures and explore alternative signals of potential success.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #deeptech #startupschool

Mar 8, 2024 • 35min
Cap Table Math for Early Stage Deep Tech Startups. A chat with Daniel Franke, Investment Director @ M Ventures
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel where science meets venture!
We're excited to welcome Daniel Franke, Investment Director at M Ventures!
Today, we'll decode the intricacies of a Cap Table, exploring its importance for founders and investors and delving into the basic math behind it.
If you deal with pre-seed or seed rounds in Deep Tech, don't miss this episode!
Let's dive into it!
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Daniel Franke
#DeepTechCatalyst
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:37) 🎙️ Introduction
(02:17) 📃 What is a Cap Table, and Why Is It So Important for Founders and Investors?
(08:27) 🍰 Common Stock vs Preferred Stock
(09:44) 🛡️ Liquidation Preferences
(11:36) 📃 Options 101
(13:06) 🧮 How a Cap Table Works in Early-Stage Startups
(19:35) 🤔 Pre-money Valuation
(24:10) 📈 From Pre-Seed to Seed
(27:39) 🚩 Can a Wrong Cap Table be a Red Flag for a VC?
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. Introduction to Cap Tables: an overview of what a cap table is, emphasizing its role as a fundamental document that outlines the ownership structure of a company, detailing the distribution of shares among founders, investors, and employees.
2. Ownership vs. Control: a major theme is the distinction between ownership and control. While owning shares equates to a stake in the company, control aspects, such as governance, voting rights, and control provisions, are crucial for decision-making.
3. Components of a Cap Table: basics explanations are provided on the different items found in a cap table, including common stock, preferred stock, liquidation preferences, and options. This segment shows how each element affects the company’s equity structure and the implications for founders and investors during funding rounds.
4. Cap Table Math and Funding Rounds: the episode breaks down the mathematics behind cap table adjustments during pre-seed and seed funding rounds. It explains how valuations are determined, the impact of raising capital on ownership dilution, and the strategic importance of setting up a cap table that supports future growth and investment.
5. Cap Table and Red Flags for Investors: the final key theme involves the potential red flags investors look for in a cap table, such as misalignment of incentives, internal disparities in equity distribution, and the logistical challenges of managing a cap table with a large number of shareholders.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#entrepreneurship #startups #startupschool

Mar 1, 2024 • 22min
Understanding the FDA's Drug Approval Process: A primer for Deep Tech startups. A chat with Daniela Drago, Regulatory Expert, Partner @ NDA Partners
Welcome back to Deep Tech Catalyst, the channel where science meets venture!
We're thrilled to welcome Daniela Drago, Regulatory Expert and Partner at NDA Partners!
Today, we'll dive into the complexities of new drug approval and marketing, exploring the essential criteria required by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and tackling the challenges and risks associated with IND submissions.
We'll also discuss emerging regulatory trends for 2024 and share valuable advice for those interested in pursuing a career in regulatory affairs.
Let’s dive into it!
Host: Nicola Marchese
Guest: Daniela Drago
#DeepTechCatalyst
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:45) 🎙️ Introduction
(02:17) 💊 FDA 101 for aspiring Deep Tech founders
(04:21) ✅ Key steps for Achieving an FDA Approval for a New Drug
(06:46) ❓ What Factors Indicate Whether a Drug Candidate Will Advance to the Next Stage?
(09:44) 🛡️ How to Mitigate Risks in IND Submissions Before Seeking FDA Approval
(11:24) 🧗 Common Challenges for Founders in IND Submissions
(15:46) 🚀 Emerging Regulatory Trends to Watch in 2024
(19:32) 💼 How to Start a Career in Regulatory Affairs?
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KEY THEMES COVERED:
1. FDA 101 for Deep Tech Founders: An overview of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's role in the approval and marketing of new drugs, including the regulatory framework, essential criteria for new drug approval, and the complexity of the drug development process.
2. Challenges in Drug Development: Insights into why bringing a new drug to the market is so difficult, highlighting the time, costs, and statistical odds against drug candidates from discovery through to clinical trials.
3. Advancing Through Drug Development Phases: A focus on the early stages of drug development, including the discovery of targets, preclinical testing, and the importance of selecting a viable drug candidate among thousands of compounds.
4. De-risking the Manufacturing Process: Discussion on ensuring the manufacturing process does not introduce additional risks into drug development, emphasizing the importance of chemistry assessments and toxicology studies.
5. Emerging Regulatory Trends for 2024: Exploration of future regulatory trends, including the advancement of digital health technologies, the expansion of gene therapies, and the challenges of a regulatory talent shortage.
6. Off-Topic - Career Pathways in Regulatory Affairs: Tips for scientists aiming to transition into regulatory roles, highlighting the need for a blend of scientific understanding, communication skills, and regulatory knowledge.
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MORE ABOUT THE SCENARIONIST:
- Discover all the episodes, trends analysis, and more: https://www.thescenarionist.org/
- Stay in the loop with our latest news: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thescenarionist/
- Let’s connect: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nmarchese-md/
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#deeptech #fda #innovation


