The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show

The TreppWire Podcast, A CRE Show
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Nov 19, 2021 • 40min

109. Retail Renaissance or False Start? “Next Big Short” CMBX 6 Update, Office Green Shoots

For every negative headline this week there seemed to be a positive. In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we dive into the green shoots and crabgrass focusing on trends in retail earnings, an update on the retail-heavy CMBX indices, and positive signs for the office market. We also review the increased demand in the single-family rental market. Episode Notes: • Economic news (0:20) • Mall revival and retail earnings (0:55) • Retail-heavy CMBX 6 and 7 update (10:33) • Green shoots in retail headlines (15:39) • CVS closures (18:38) • Office crabgrass (21:17) • Greenshoots (29:17) • Must-Know of the Week (31:46) • Single-family rental demand growth (33:15) • Shoutouts (35:04) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Nov 11, 2021 • 31min

108. Navigating Challenges in CRE: Business Workouts & Receiverships with Douglas Wilson Companies

In this week’s episode, we welcome Douglas Wilson, CEO and Chairman of Douglas Wilson Companies, to discuss challenges in commercial real estate and how to navigate them. We dive into what it means to be a receiver, the four types of receiverships, and compare financial crises over time. We also discuss the health and outlook for different property sectors and finally, touch on what may be the next tipping point of concern for the market. Listen now. Episode Notes: What does it mean to be a receiver? (4:14) Four types of receiverships (6:35) How often does the alignment get unaligned? (8:00) No two crises are the same: comparing downturns (10:07) Strategies when dealing with different lenders and players (13:50) Changes since COVID, market liquidity (16:15) Different property sectors – health & outlook (23:25) Fallout from China (26:30) Next tipping point of concern (28:25) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Nov 5, 2021 • 38min

107. Office & Hotel Must-Knows, Brick-and-Meta Retail, Milestone COVID Delinquency Rate

In this week’s episode, our team weighs in on the latest mixed economic data and covers the falling CMBS delinquency rate that hit a new milestone in the pandemic era. We also discuss green shoot stories for office, our Deal of the Week, and recent must-know activity in the hotel market. Stick around as we talk luxury handbags and try to wrap our heads around NFT McRibs and metaverse sneakers. Episode Notes: • Mixed round of economic data (0:20) • CMBS delinquency rate hits new milestone (6:27) • Office green shoots with some crabgrass (11:19) • Deal of the Week: Houston office (15:05) • Must-Know: Amazon in Jersey City (16:54) • Bankruptcy Trading Alert (18:06) • Activity in the hotel sector (22:16) • Green shoots and new developments (27:00) • Retail data points (28:43) • Shoutouts + NFT McRibs and MetaVerse Sneakers (34:14) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Oct 29, 2021 • 45min

106. Signs of Life in Chicago Office, Life Science Sector on Fire, Quarterly Data Review

In this week’s episode, Orest Mandzy, Managing Editor of CRE Direct joins to discuss our Quarterly Data Review, a recap of the top CRE and CMBS data from the quarter. We also talk about a big Trading Alert that represents a positive for the Chicago office market, discuss the health sciences sector that is heating up, and cover mall loan liquidations. Download the Quarterly Data Review here: https://www.trepp.com/q3-2021-quarterly-data-review Episode Notes: Economic news, spending bill (0:25) Quarterly Data Review: CMBS rankings and risk retention 101 (6:29) Update on 2017 loan that cured (17:26) Shopping mall liquidations/resolutions (19:24) Trading Alert: Chicago Office Under Contract – Sale Price 80% Higher Than Most Recent Value (22:37) Health sciences heating up (31:10) Deals of the Week (35:43) Shoutouts (39:56) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Oct 22, 2021 • 47min

105. Uptick in Hotel Activity, Scariest Macro Issues, Near-Record Issuance Levels

Near term market outlook is positive but elevated prices, supply chain problems, a shortage of workers, and the Delta Variant are creating uncertainty. In this week's episode, we discuss the scariest macroeconomic issues in terms of impact on commercial real estate. Darren King, Trepp’s Head of CMBS joins us to discuss the almost-record CMBS issuance and explains what is happening in the conduit market. We then dive into the latest hotel activity stories and review hotel losses from the last decade. Episode Notes: Market news (0:25) What is the scariest macro issue for CRE? (5:40) CMBS and CRE CLO issuance update (13:43) What can supply the conduit pipeline going forward (18:30) An uptick in hotel activity (24:06) Hotel losses in the last decade (34:37) Shoutouts (43:00) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Oct 16, 2021 • 45min

104. Wave of Office Downsizings, Mall Loan Extensions, Bank Earnings

In this week's episode, we go behind the headlines of the latest bank earnings and economic news. In commercial real estate and CMBS, we dive into a wave of negative office downsizing stories, several retail Trading Alerts about mall loan extensions, and some office sales and signings. Tune in for our discussion of the death of the fun-sized candy bar. Episode Notes: Fed tapering, economic update (0:20) Office loans with expiring leases (8:14) Office crabgrass: downsizings (10:14) Alarming Chicago office news (16:08) Office green shoots, sales & signings, positive signs in Atlanta (18:15) Price moving event: mall loan extension (23:53) Retail and hotel trading alerts (29:45) Bank Earnings, behind the headlines (35:20) Shoutouts (41:17) Halloween 2021 (42:38) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Oct 7, 2021 • 42min

103. Making Sense of D.C. & CRE with Mike Flood, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)

In this episode, we welcome back special guest, Mike Flood, Senior Vice President of Commercial/Multifamily Policy and Member Engagement at the Mortgage Bankers Association to give us a round-up of the latest regulations and how they currently are impacting (and potentially will impact) commercial real estate. We discuss taxes, infrastructure, and the debt ceiling, and then dive into the multifamily sector, banking areas to watch, and insurance lending and ESG. Tune in now. Episode Notes: Taxes, infrastructure, and the debt ceiling (0:45) Spending Bill: impact on CRE (6:45) Multifamily sector (15:01) Revision of GSE conservatorship capital framework (20:54) HUD and FFB: Affordable housing (27:03) Banking areas to watch (30:41) Climate-related issues for insurers (34:45) ESG lending (38:31) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Oct 1, 2021 • 35min

102. Markets in Turmoil, CRE Standing Strong

While the rest of the economy drops with signs of turmoil this week, the commercial real estate market has been holding strong. In this week’s episode, we discuss inflation and supply chain issues impacting the markets. Then, we dive into some positive signs for CRE in terms of CMBS and bank loan delinquencies, and the latest office, retail, and hotel news. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Inflation and supply chain issues (0:18) • CMBS delinquency rates(6:54) • Bank loan delinquencies and risk ratings (8:42) • Office green shoots(11:02) • Return to office changes (15:09) • Must-know news (18:09) • Positive retail news (19:24) • Hotel stories (23:34) • Slice of Life: A “gratuitously obnoxious” story (28:05) • Shoutouts (31:12) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Sep 24, 2021 • 47min

101. Misallocation of Funds, Evergrande & the Economy, Office Headwinds, Rental Rates 101

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we discuss the Evergrande news, comparing what we are seeing now to the Great Financial Crisis. We dive into a headline story that our own TreppWire team uncovered involving a misallocation of $12 million to CMBS bondholders. Professor Lonnie Hendry joins to give his office market predictions and share a rental rates 101 segment. Finally, what happens in Vegas doesn’t stay in Vegas, tune in to hear Manus’ takeaways from a recent trip. Episode Notes: • Evergrande and economic update (0:47) • Comparison to the GFC and Lehman (7:26) • Misallocation of funds / CMBS 101 (13:05) • Office green shoots (22:36) • Professor Hendry’s predictions: headwinds for office (25:01) • Rental rates 101 / office lease analysis (29:43) • Should-know office story (35:13) • Shoutouts (40:52) • Vegas vibe check (43:10) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Sep 16, 2021 • 40min

100. CRE’s Wild Ride, Business Travel Blues, Office Return Rollbacks, and Retail Must-Knows

The 100th episode of The TreppWire Podcast is here! Thank you to our listeners who have been along for the journey. In the milestone episode, we review stats that have taken CRE on a wild ride: COVID cases, travel numbers, unemployment, occupancy levels, and loan delinquencies. Then, we dive into this week’s news about business travel, real estate regulations, retail must-knows, and the return to the office. Stay tuned to see how you can win a pair of “iEars.” Episode Notes: 100th episode (0:21) CRE’s wild ride throughout the pandemic: the numbers (4:52) This week’s news (10:00) Hotels, business travel (15:18) Return to office updates (20:13) Office green shoots: Must-Know of the Week (21:45) Retail: must-know news for brokers and CMBX 6 longs and shorts (24:36) Regulatory updates (31:58) Shoutouts (34:26) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: https://twitter.com/treppwire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC

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