We Are Not Saved

He talks about the Village, and the River, but what we really need is a Redoubt. On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything By: Nate Silver Published: 2024 576 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? There are two different ways of approaching the world: the River, which thinks in terms of numbers, expected values, and quantification and the Village, which is the paternalistic expert class which manifests as the vast bureaucracy. What's the author's angle? I got the impression that Silver just wanted to write about things that interested him. Because of this, his thesis was kind of tacked on. That said, he is a fairly passionate advocate for things that interest him. Who should read this book? Silver is worried that people will skip the first half of the book which is about gambling, but in reality that was the best part, or at least the part I found to be novel. The second part is about Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), AI, and all the stuff you've already heard too much about if you spend much time online. With this in mind, I think there are three reasons to read this book: If you want a deep exploration of high-level poker playing. You have never heard of AI Risk or SBF. If you think my discussion of Silver's model of the Village vs. the River is incomplete. Specific thoughts: An mashup of the election and this book ...

One Nation Under Blackmail: The Sordid Union Between Intelligence and Crime that Gave Rise to Jeffrey Epstein, Volumes 1 & 2 By: Whitney Alyse Webb Briefly, what are these books about? The alleged connections between organized crime and national intelligence agencies which led to the numerous illicit operations including Watergate, Iran-Contra, the JFK Assassination, and of course the entire Jeffrey Epstein mess. A key component of these operations was the tactic of collecting blackmail and using it to convince people to do things they otherwise wouldn't. What's the author's angle? Charitably, Webb is an autodidact with an enormous command of facts and connections. Uncharitably, she's someone with a weak evidentiary filter making conspiratorial mountains out of tenuously connected molehills. Who should read these books? No one should just read them. You should either ignore them or study them intently as part of an "Intro to Conspiracy Theories" curriculum. Of the two I would recommend the former. Read on to see why. I- How does one approach a book like this? ...

The Ocean at the End of the Lane by: Neil Gaiman There Is No Antimemetics Division by: qntm The Man Who Had All the Luck by: Arthur Miller How Green Was My Valley by: Richard Llewellyn Theft of Fire: Orbital Space #1 by: Devon Eriksen Assassin's Apprentice (The Farseer Trilogy, Book 1) by: Robin Hobb Royal Assassin (The Farseer Trilogy, Book 2) by: Robin Hobb

With the enormous increase in the power of AI (specifically LLMs) people are using them for all sorts of things, hoping to find areas where they're better, or at least cheaper than humans. FiveThirtyNine (get it?) is one such attempt, and they claim that AI can do forecasting better than humans. Scott Alexander, of Astral Codex Ten, reviewed the service and concluded that they still have a long way to go. I have no doubt that this is the case, but one can imagine that this will not always be the case. What then? My assertion would be that at the point when AI forecasting does "work" (should that ever happen) it will make the problems of superforecasting even worse.2 I- The problems of superforecasting What are the problems of superforecasting? ...

The Untethered Soul: The Journey Beyond Yourself by: Michael A. Singer Chatter: The Voice in Our Head, Why It Matters, and How to Harness It by: Ethan Kross The Ruthless Elimination of Hurry: How to Stay Emotionally Healthy and Spiritually Alive in the Chaos of the Modern World by: John Mark Comer Dumb Money: The GameStop Short Squeeze and the Ragtag Group of Amateur Traders That Brought Wall Street to Its Knees by: Ben Mezrich Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments into Extraordinary Results by: Shane Parrish

Journey of the Mind: How Thinking Emerged from Chaos by: Ogi Ogas and Sai Gaddam Against the Grain: A Deep History of the Earliest States by: James C. Scott This post represents a new feature (experiment?) I plan to occasionally write posts which take advantage of one or more books I read recently, but which aren't actually reviews of those books. See, for example, my last post: Superminds, States, and the Domestication of Humans. Despite the fact that the books feature heavily in these posts, I assume my adoring fans still want actual reviews. But it doesn't make sense to wait until the next book review collection for those reviews to appear, nor does it make sense to cram the reviews into the original essay which was about something else. And so I thought that instead I would have the reviews quickly follow the essay as sort of supplementary material. So that's what this is. Let me know what you think.

How durable is the state? How resistant is it to being overthrown? How closely does it reflect our desires? Is it possible it has its own desires? But maybe more importantly how does all this affect the possibility of a very close election in November?

A narcissistic dialogue around ideas that are either annoyingly fractured or wholly unrealistic. DON'T DIE: Dialogues By: Bryan Johnson Published: 2023 247 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? How best to extend the lifespan of humans and the lifetime of humanity presented in the form of a fictional dialogue between various aspects of the author's personality. What's the author's angle? Bryan Johnson is a biohacker who measures dozens and dozens of biomarkers. As a result of this he claims to be aging at 64/100th the normal rate. He's also a former and, as near as I can tell, disaffected member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Who should read this book? If you're really into lifespan expansion, then maybe? Or similarly very concerned with X-risks? But I will warn you that the book is written in one of the more annoying styles I've ever encountered. Not only does it directly impede the transmission of information, it actively works against its inclusion.. Specific thoughts: A strange approach to X-risks...

Gay New York: Gender, Urban Culture, and the Making of the Gay Male World, 1890-1940 by: George Chauncey The Conservative Futurist: How to Create the Sci-Fi World We Were Promised by: James Pethokoukis Morning After the Revolution: Dispatches from the Wrong Side of History by: Nellie Bowles Every Man for Himself and God Against All: A Memoir by: Werner Herzog The Complete Maus: A Survivor's Tale by: Art Spiegelman The Master and Margarita by: Mikhail Bulgakov The Buried Giant: A Novel by: Kazuo Ishiguro Naked Defiance: A Comedy of Menace by: Patrik Sampler The Riddle of the Third Mile (Inspector Morse Series Book 6) by: Colin Dexter Dungeons & Dragons 2024 Player's Handbook (D&D Core Rulebook) lead designer: Jeremy Crawford

Transcript: https://www.wearenotsaved.com/p/divine-disappointment-and-mortal Is God Disappointed in Me?: Removing Shame from a Gospel of Grace By: Kurt Francom Published: 2024 190 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? Our parents expect that we will do certain things—perhaps it's cleaning our rooms, perhaps it's becoming a doctor—when we don't, they're disappointed. We have a tendency to view God in the same fashion; He also has expectations, and when we fail to meet them we imagine that He is similarly disappointed. Francom claims this is a false belief. Because of God's omniscience and infinite love, He cannot be disappointed. When we think He might be it leads to shame, which prevents us from accessing His love. What's the author's angle? Francom is the director of Leading Saints, an organization whose primary focus is providing advice and resources for the lay leadership of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. He's also heavily involved with Warrior Heart a Christian men's organization that runs retreats with a focus on addiction recovery. This book is part of those focuses and a personal expression of Francom's approach to leadership and the Gospel of Jesus Christ. What's My Angle? I've known Francom for going on ten years. As such I've been privy to his argument that God cannot be disappointed from his initial epiphany all the way down to his full, book-length treatment of the subject. As I've watched the idea develop, I've raised numerous objections. To Francom's great credit most of these objections are at least acknowledged in the book. I suspect that I wasn't the only one to raise these objections, but I fancy that he first heard of them from me. My name is listed in the book's acknowledgments but it's pretty generic. I had hoped for something more like "And thanks to Ross Richey, if not for his relentless criticism, unending negativity, poor character, and dark soul, the book would have been less accurate, but probably more inspiring."