Know Your Risk Podcast

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Nov 25, 2025 • 26min

Nvidia Is Dominating

November 25, 2025 - Zach and Chase delve into the dynamics of equity markets, focusing on Nvidia's market position and the potential impact of competition on its stock valuation. Zach emphasizes the importance of understanding what is priced into equities and how emerging competition could affect Nvidia's margins and market share.
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Nov 24, 2025 • 34min

Google's AI Future

The hosts dive into the surprising market mispricing of Google, especially with innovations like Waymo and Gemini 3. They discuss Google's TPU chips outperforming NVIDIA and the potential of expanding chip sales. Zach highlights the long-term potential of Waymo and how strategic hardware ecosystems could boost earnings. Misplaced technical views and Google’s undervalued patents take center stage, alongside the significant role of chip scarcity in AI development and the low antitrust risks in the current political landscape.
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Nov 21, 2025 • 36min

The Risks of Overly Optimistic Forecasts

November 20, 2025 - Zach and Chase delve into the importance of grounding future predictions in reality, particularly in the context of asset pricing and market behavior. It highlights the risks of overly optimistic forecasts that ignore economic fundamentals, leading to significant market corrections.
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Nov 19, 2025 • 42min

This Irrational and Misleading Market

November 19 2025 - Zach expresses his strong skepticism about the current state of the market, particularly focusing on Nvidia's stock performance and growth projections. He highlights the disconnect between market reactions and actual company performance, emphasizing a critical view of revenue growth expectations.
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Nov 18, 2025 • 56min

Nvidia Earnings and Stim Checks

Zach and Chase dive into the shifting market dynamics, highlighting the psychology behind shorting momentum stocks and the risks of different investment approaches. They discuss the impact of proposed government stimulus checks on inflation and crypto markets. As they analyze NVIDIA's earnings and the potential for an AI rally, they question the sustainability of such tech booms. The conversation also touches on emerging market opportunities and the appeal of gold miners amid changing economic conditions.
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Nov 17, 2025 • 39min

A Bubble in the Tech Sector?

November 17, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss various themes including ghost stories, market vulnerabilities, AI bubbles, investment strategies, and the importance of diversification. They delve into the current market trends, the significance of hedging, and the dynamics of global markets.
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Nov 14, 2025 • 15min

Energy Trends and Their Market Impact

November 14, 2025 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, highlighting significant volatility and trends across various sectors, including energy, commodities, and technology. He discusses the implications of quality stocks underperforming, the evolving sentiment around AI investments, and the rising bond volatility, all while emphasizing the importance of upcoming market data.
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Nov 13, 2025 • 21min

The Future of AI Funding

November 13, 2025 - Chase delves into the recent financial maneuvers in the AI sector, particularly focusing on Masayoshi Son's decision to sell Nvidia shares to fund OpenAI. This shift raises questions about the sustainability of funding in AI and the implications of such financial strategies on the industry.
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Nov 11, 2025 • 37min

Exploring the 50-Year Mortgage

November 11, 2025 -  Zach discusses the ongoing challenges in the marketplace and emphasizes the importance of understanding how these issues will be addressed in the future. He highlights that the market is not done facing problems, and the approach to tackling them will evolve rather than cease.
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Nov 10, 2025 • 41min

50-Year Mortgages Could Lead to a Housing Boom

November 10, 2025 - Zach discusses the implications of 50-year mortgages on the housing market, the potential benefits of a recession in addressing economic issues, and the political dynamics surrounding the cost of living. He emphasizes the need to focus on structural issues rather than merely stimulating demand to effectively tackle the rising cost of living.

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