Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Josh Hermsmeyer is an accomplished data scientist who developed the industry-leading Air Yards Buy Low Model (available exclusively on EstablishTheRun again this season) and writes for ESPN's 538. He sits down with Adam Levitan to discuss his model, using data in fantasy and which stats actually matter.    Editor's Note: Josh's Air Yards Buy Low Model is part of our In-Season Package. That also includes Silva's Matchups, all of Levitan's DFS content, Thorman's rankings and tons more. Head to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details.    TIMESTAMPS: Establishing the Buy Low Model (2:04 ) | Critiquing the models performance (7:20) | Does the data need context? (12:39) | Buy Low for QBs & RBs? (15:28) | Working with small sample sizes (20:45) | Stats that actually matter (23:44) | The evolution of NFL analytics (28:40) | Tips on getting into analytics (31:06 ) | Listener Questions  (33:22) | SHOW LINKS How the Buy Low Model Works: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-how-the-buy-low-model-works/ Hermsmeyer: Which Stats Matter for WRs: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-what-metrics-matter-for-fantasy-wrs/ Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Silva’s Sleepers and Undervalued: https://establishtherun.com/2020-sleepers-and-undervalued/

It's Final Exam time. With fantasy draft season entering peak season, Evan Silva and Adam Levitan plant the flag on "their guys." They go round-by-round, identifying the player or players in each they'd love to have this season.   Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit is just $35 and comes with everything you need to be as prepared as possible for your draft. Silva's Top 150, Rankings for every format and strategy analysis. Go to EstablishTheRun.com for details.   Timestamps: Round 1 (3:14 ) | Round 2 (6:30) | Round 3 (11:00) | Round 4 (14:53) | Round 5 (18:17) | Round 6 (22:44) | Round 7 (29:08) | Round 8 (31:33 ) | Round 9 (34:33) | Round 10 (37:30) | Round 11 (40:54) |Round 12 (43:06) | Round 13 (45:26) | Round 14 (47:17) |Round 15/16 (50:09) |    SHOW NOTES Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Silva’s Sleepers and Undervalued: https://establishtherun.com/2020-sleepers-and-undervalued/

The NFL season kicks off in two weeks. News from training camp is flowing in and Evan Silva's Top 150 is adjusting to all of it. He discusses his latest rankings changes, coachspeak from around the league and injuries with Adam Levitan.   Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit is just $35. If you've been slacking in your preparation ahead of your draft, we can help. Silva's Top 150, Tiers for Drafting, Sleepers, Busts, Player analysis, Top 300 rankings for every format and tons more. Go to www. EstablishTheRun.com for details.   Chris Carson (3:09) | Chris Herndon (6:48) | Kenyan Drake/Chase Edmonds (10:05) | Zack Moss (13:48) | DK Metcalf (16:08) | Damien Harris (19:25) | Darrell Henderson (22:08) | TJ Hockenson (24:04) | Tyrell Williams Injury Fallout (26:14) | Raiders Crowded Backfield (28:39) | Strategies for RB timeshares (31:40) | Ben Roethlisberger (34:13)   LINKS: Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Auction drafts contain a different layer of strategy and preparation than snake drafts. Adam Levitan and Evan Silva are joined by veteran high-stakes auction grinder Jack Haan to discuss. They hit on how to allocate your funds, nomination strategy, handling this year's RB market and lots more.    Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit is just $35 and comes with a $25 coupon to use in any FFPC League. It includes Silva's Top 150, his sleepers, rankings for every format and everything else you need to dominate your draft. Go to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details.    TIMESTAMPS: Jack’s intro into high-stakes auction drafts (2:28) | How to determine values in auction drafts (4:53) | Establishing an auction draft roster build game plan (6:53) | The stars and scrubs approach (11:23) | Handling QBs in auction drafts (15:16) | Strategy behind nominating players strategy (16:50) | Crushing your endgame (23:49) | Price enforcing (25:39) | Stacking in auction drafts (27:56) | How RB thirst affects auction drafts (29:40) | Strategies for RB timeshares (31:40) | Listener Questions (35:18)   LINKS Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ Jack Haan’s How to Win an Auction Draft: https://establishtherun.com/jack-haans-auction-game-plan/ ETR’s Top 300 Auction Values: https://establishtherun.com/draft-etrs-top-300-ppr-auction-values-updates-9am-daily/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Tight end appears as deep as ever thanks to unique athleticism amongst recent rookie classes. Is that the range that fits with optimal roster construction in this year's fantasy drafts? Or should we be targeting the top tier? Adam Levitan, Evan Silva and Mike Leone explore.    Editor's Note: Our Bundle Package is LIVE! It combines the Draft Kit with the In-Season Package for the lowest price it will be all season. Head to EstablishTheRun.com for details.    TIMESTAMPS: Finding a Tight End (2:33) | Top Tier Tight Ends (5:43) | Sleeper Tight Ends (10:26) | Is a Tight End in the mid-rounds worth it? (15:07) | Avoiding the Hunter Henry Landmine (17:39) | Can you solo Tight End a league? (18:44) |    Kerrane's TE Series: https://establishtherun.com/kerrane-te-target-profiles/   Silva's Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/

The middle rounds are absolutely loaded with WR options. Is this the right place to pepper stockpile our corps? In what scenarios would we take wide receivers early? How long can we wait to get viable options? Adam Levitan, Mike Leone and Evan Silva break down the right strategy for handling WR spot in 2020 season-long drafts.   Editor's Note: Our Bundle Package is LIVE. It combines our Draft Kit with all our In-Season content for the lowest price we'll have all season. Head to EstablishTheRun.com for details.   TIMESTAMPS: The value of a Wide Receiver (2:15) | Mid-Round WR talent pool  (5:55) | Relative Value in passing on early receivers (9:51) | What to do with DeAndre Hopkins? (12:37) | Late 2nd round void (22:03) | Finding talent in the later rounds (23:48) | . (24:25) | Deep sleepers (27:35) | 

The thirst for running backs has never been stronger in fantasy football, with 12 of them coming off the board in the first 14 picks of many drafts. Adam Levitan, Evan Silva and Mike Leone discuss how this changes drafts and how to handle it. Should we be passing on stud WRs for RBs?   Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit is just $35 and includes everything you need to dominate your draft. And with the regular season just around the corner, we have a Bundle Package (Draft Kit plus In-Season for cheapest price we'll have all season) live on the site as well. Head to EstablishTheRun.com for details.    Kerrane's Zero RB 101: https://establishtherun.com/zerorb101/ Leone's handling RBs in Best Ball: https://establishtherun.com/leone-is-zero-rb-viable-on-underdog-fantasy/   TIMESTAMPS: Early-Round RB scramble (1:49) | Are there enough Running Backs? (6:44) | Modified Zero-RB Strategy (9:29) | Do you need to take RBs early? (13:09) | How to handle incoming rookie RBs (14:56) | Strictly pass-catching backs (19:35) | Late-Round Running Backs (23:34) | 

Adam Levitan and Evan Silva sit down with ETR Director of Analytics Mike Leone to discuss how to handle the quarterback position in season-long drafts this year. Should we be waiting to draft our QB? How long? What's the downside of spending a pick on Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson? Lots more.   Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit contains everything you need to dominate your draft. Silva's Top 150, rankings for every format, analysis on every player and lots more. It's just $35 and comes with a $25 coupon to use in any FFPC league. Head to www. EstablishTheRun.com for details.    TIMESTAMPS: Late Round QB drafting (4:36) | Should you reach for Lamar Jackson & Patrick Mahomes? (9:15) | What is a Late Round Quarterback? (13:29) | Mid-Round options (11:47) | Whether to reach for upside (18:40) | Deeper League Quarterbacks (20:51) | Adjusting QB need for different formats (24:46) | 2020 Quarterbacks to fade (25:41) |  

Training camps are open. Evan Silva and Adam Levitan sit down to discuss the latest news and Top 150 rankings changes. How concerned should we be about Todd Gurley's knee? Why did Derrick Henry move into Tier 1 at RB? What's the latest outlook San Francisco's backfield?   Editor's Note: Our Draft Kit is just $35 and will give you the edge you need to win your season-long or Best Ball league. It include's Silva's Top 150 and analysis on every player or league format. Head to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details.    TIMESTAMPS: Todd Gurley (2:32) | Jalen Hurd (5:57) | Jerrick McKinnon (9:17) | Jonathan Taylor (12:38) | Randall Cobb (17:24) | Sony Michel (20:18) | Derrick Henry (24:25) | DJ Moore (29:28) | Terry McLaurin (34:14) | Chris Herndon (36:35) | Rams Wide Receivers (39:37) |

Matt Harmon specializes in analyzing wide receiver play through his Reception Perception work. In this episode, he sits down with Adam Levitan to discuss the 2020 outlook for a slew of the most polarizing wideouts. You'll be surprised plenty and learn a ton.   Editor's Note: The NFL season starts in just three weeks. Our Draft Kit is just $34.99 and comes with a $25 coupon to use in any FFPC league. Go to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details.   TIMESTAMPS: Explaining Reception Perception (2:06) | Amari Cooper (7:15) | Kenny Golladay (11:20) | DJ Chark (13:39) | Will Fuller (15:27) | Marquise Brown (18:19) | Diontae Johnson (22:19) | Giants Wide Receivers (25:00) | Allen Lazard (28:25) | Anthony Miller (30:26) | Seahawks Wide Receivers (33:24) | Odell Beckham Jr. (36:26) |