Moving Markets

Julius Baer
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Jul 25, 2022 • 8min

Fed in the spotlight this week

Equities will be put to the test this week as the US Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by another 75 basis points. In Asia, China is grabbing the headlines as it plans a fund to prevent a real estate crisis and solve the issues of US-listed Chinese companies. Mensur Pocinci, our Head of Technical Analysis, shares his thoughts on the market from a technical standpoint.00:18 Introduction by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)00:55 Markets wrap by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)04:25 Technical update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)07:29 Closing remarks by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)
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Jul 22, 2022 • 12min

Will the global equity market rally continue?

European stocks closed higher after the ECB raised its key rate by 50 basis points, whilst in the US, major indices point to a lower open today after disappointing results from Snap. Sipho Arntzen, Next Generation Research, shares his latest thoughts on digital assets, and the decoupling of token performances. Timothy Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, analyses the FX market’s reaction to the ECB’s interest rate move.00:18 Introduction by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)00:43 Markets wrap by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)03:42 Digital assets by Sipho Arntzen (Next Generation Research)07:34 Currencies and metals by Tim Gagie (Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva)10:10 Closing remarks by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)
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Jul 21, 2022 • 9min

All eyes on the ECB today

In Europe, Italy and the UK are making political headlines as investors await the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision later today. Meanwhile, gas deliveries through the Nord Stream pipeline resumed today. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, shares his thoughts on gold and silver.00:18 Introduction by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)00:38 Markets wrap by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)04:14 Commodities by Carsten Menke (Head of Next Generation Research)07:12 Closing remarks by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)
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Jul 20, 2022 • 9min

Strong equity rally across the board

Equity markets rallied yesterday and the Dow Jones, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite all traded above their 50-day moving averages for the first time since April. US Treasuries were weaker with some curve flattening. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, also shares his latest thoughts on the earnings season so far. 00:18 Introduction by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)00:40 Markets wrap by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)04:47 Earnings season by Mathieu Racheter (Head of Equity Strategy)07:44 Closing remarks by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)
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Jul 19, 2022 • 10min

Stocks come under pressure in late trading amid worries on growth perspectives

The rally on stock markets has paused on Apple’s plans to slow hiring. The race for the succession of Boris Johnson as UK prime minister and leader of the conservative party is heating up with Rishi Sunak one of the favourites. Sophie Altermatt from Macro & Next Generation Research talks about our revised forecast for economic growth in China. 00:18 Introduction by Roman Canziani (Head of Investment Writing)00:41 Markets Wrap by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)04:13 China economy by Dr. Sophie Altermatt (Macro & Next Generation Research)08:47 Closing remarks by Roman Canziani (Head of Investment Writing)
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Jul 18, 2022 • 8min

No summer lull yet on financial markets – politics rules

Markets are trading up this morning with Chinese tech shares in the lead on better sentiment as local authorities promise to step up efforts to bolster economic support. The reporting season in the US is gaining steam with some financial behemoths publishing their Q2 results today. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, talks about where he sees markets heading from a technical point of view.00:18 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:36 Markets Wrap by Roman Canziani (Head of Investment Writing)04:10 Technical analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)06:33 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
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Jul 15, 2022 • 13min

The US dollar on a roll and oil below the 100 US dollar mark

Stock markets recovered somewhat into the end of the US trading day. Main topics today are the US dollar’s rally, oil’s downturn, and the inverted yield curve in the US. Sipho Arntzen from Next Generation Research talks about the impact of the collapse of Mt Gox, once the world’s largest crypto exchange, on crypto assets.00:17 Introduction by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)00:56 Markets Wrap by Roman Canziani (Head of Investment Writing)04:27 Currency Markets update / king dollar by Tim Gagie (Head of FX&PM Solutions Geneva)07:51 Crypto Markets / Mt. Cox by Sipho Arntzen (Next Generation Research)11:52 Closing remarks by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)
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Jul 14, 2022 • 13min

US inflation data driving markets

With US inflation hitting its highest level since November 1981 in June, markets are now speculating that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates by one percentage point at its meeting in late July. Meanwhile, draft projections by the European Commission show that the eurozone’s rebound from the pandemic could be weaker than anticipated. Norbert Ruecker, Head of Macro and Next Generation Research, shares his view on the energy markets. 00:18 Introduction by Roman Canziani (Investment Writing)00:54 Markets Wrap Up by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)04:37 Energy update by Norbert Rücker (Head of Macro & Next Generation Research)08:08 Investment Committee decisions by Nicolas Jordan (CIO Office)11:36 Closing remarks by Roman Canziani (Investment Writing)
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Jul 13, 2022 • 12min

Much-anticipated US CPI data out today

Equity markets in the US fell yesterday but it was a mixed picture in Europe. CPI data for a number of European countries comes out this morning and then investors will be closely watching the US CPI figures, which are due out later today. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, also shares his latest thoughts on inflation and the fixed income space.00:18 Introduction by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)00:41 Markets Wrap Up by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)04:53 Fixed income market update by Dario Messi (Fixed Income Research)11:09 Closing remarks by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)
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Jul 12, 2022 • 13min

The wait for CPI data spreads risk-off mode

Global shares moved lower in anticipation of the much-feared inflation data due on Wednesday. David Meier, Macro & Next Generation Research, shares further insights on the UK’s economic landscape considering also the resignation by Boris Johnson. Richard Tang, Head of Research Asia, updates us on the latest market action of Chinese equities.00:18 Introduction by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)00:50 Markets Wrap Up by Olivier Maris (Investment Writing)04:34 GBP / UK politics by David Meier (Macro Research)08:17 China equities by Richard Tang (Head of Research Hong Kong)12:03 Closing remarks by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)

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