Moving Markets

The current earnings season is proving particularly intriguing, with some companies surpassing analyst expectations and others struggling, particularly due to the impact of US tariffs. On the subject of tariffs, the recently announced US-Japan trade deal has boosted market confidence and fuelled optimism that others, such as the European Union, may also be able to secure similar deals. Meanwhile, attention is slowly but surely shifting towards interest rate decisions, with the ECB set to announce its decision tomorrow and the US Federal Reserve scheduled to follow next week. Joining us on the show today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update and outlook on the crypto space.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:10) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:37) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US stock market reached new heights, driven by the strong performance of several of the top tech giants, but the broader market failed to follow suit. Meanwhile, government bond yields declined across the board as the deadline for President Trump's trade negotiations, set for 1 August, draws closer. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, offers his insights on the Japanese market in the aftermath of the recent election upheaval and provides a comprehensive overview of the earnings season thus far.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (07:04) - Implications of Japan elections and earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Japan's Upper House election has sparked market uncertainty after the ruling LDP coalition lost control. Nevertheless, the JPY remained surprisingly stable. The S&P 500 and MSCI World indices reached new heights last week, bolstered by robust economic data and impressive corporate earnings. The US Congress passes legislation regulating stablecoins, thereby giving credibility to the digital asset industry. According to Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, the CHF is likely to maintain its strength, and small- and mid-cap stocks are currently preferred over large-cap equivalents in the Swiss equities market.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:09) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:17) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global stock markets experienced a positive day yesterday, bolstered by impressive earnings reports – including those from ABB – and favourable macroeconomic data from the US. The latter indicated a resilient retail sector, underpinned by a strong US consumer. As a result, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both closed at record highs. In Asia, however, the outlook is more mixed, with attention centred on Japan ahead of its upper house elections this weekend. On the commodities front, oil prices remain steady, whereas gold has edged down slightly this morning. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and the US dollar have both appreciated. We are joined today by Bence Boldvai from FX/PM Solutions, who discusses the latest developments in currencies and metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:26) - FX and metals: Bence Boldvai, FX/PM Solutions (11:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US President’s comments regarding potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell sparked market volatility. The initial reaction was swift, with the dollar and stocks tumbling, but the market later showed resilience with the S&P 500 rising. Strong US bank earnings and mixed inflation signals added to the complex picture. Global trade tensions weighed on European stocks, with shares of ASML and Renault plunging, while in Asia, TSMC came out with strong results. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides some impressive numbers behind Bitcoin’s march to a new all-time high.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:39) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks retreated in response to US inflation data, which met expectations but showed that tariffs have arrived in inflation figures. The earnings season has started with mixed bank earnings dragging down broader equity markets, while the tech heavy Nasdaq reached a record high on gains by chip giant Nvidia. This followed the US decision to ease restrictions on selling AI chips to China. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his insights on what to expect from the earnings season and why he sees more upside potential for the defence sector. And Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why Japanese bond yields increased so strongly and Japan’s election this weekend remains a risk event.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (06:14) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:52) - Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:21) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stock markets continue to show resilience in the face of the latest US tariff threats and potential countermeasures from trading partners such as the EU. Other significant news yesterday included French President Emmanuel Macron announcing plans to substantially increase defence spending, while the US shifted its stance towards Russia, threatening to introduce secondary sanctions. Overnight in Asia, investors digested a slew of Chinese macroeconomic data and the latest increase in Japanese government bond yields. Today, the focus shifts to US banks as they kick off the earnings season. Also joining the show today is Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, with an update on gold and silver.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:16) - Gold and silver update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:46) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets take note of the escalating trade tensions, yet their response appears surprisingly subdued. The US dollar has edged upwards, just like global long-term yields, and stock prices have dipped slightly. Investors seem to be adopting a cautious stance, awaiting the ongoing developments and hoping that some political flexibility can be maintained until 1 August. In addition, Richard Tang, Head of Research in Hong Kong, discusses the specific drivers of China's onshore and offshore markets, as well as the potential significance of Japan's upcoming upper-house elections for the country's government.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:29) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (16:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US equities reach another record high as investors downplay tariff concerns, buoyed by a positive forecast from Delta Airlines. Bitcoin soars to a new all-time high, exceeding USD 118,000. European shares see modest gains, with the Swiss market leading the way due to advancements in healthcare, and the UK market rising on the back of strong commodity performance following the announcement of the US copper tariffs. The original Hermès Birkin handbag is sold for EUR 8.58 million. According to Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX & PM Solutions, the US dollar's downward trend remains in place, although he notes that July and August are typically not periods of strong trends.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:15) - FX and metals: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (08:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

President Trump delivers more tariff letters and lays down the gauntlet to Brazil – announcing a 50% tariff on their exports into the US. Copper also faces a 50% import tariff. US markets rally on artificial intelligence enthusiasm as Nvidia buoys tech stocks, becoming the first company ever to reach a valuation of USD 4 trillion. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, provides his thoughts on the latest tariff developments and what they might mean for the US economy and the dollar going forwards, and sticking with the tariff theme, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, delves into the copper news and the multiple factors at play when it comes to pricing.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (05:54) - Tariff developments by David Kohl, Chief Economist (13:49) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (18:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.