
Shandor Whitcher
Economist and modeler who developed a random forest-based leading indicator for recession probabilities, presenting methodology and forecasts to clients and listeners.
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Mar 27, 2026 • 33min
Weighing Recession Probabilities
Shandor Whitcher, an economist who built a random forest-based recession probability model, explains his approach and forecasts. He walks through which indicators matter most and recent model updates. The conversation covers market moves since the Iran conflict, the surprising role of the yield curve, and what would realistically tip the economy into recession.


