Matthew Adelstein (Bentham's Bulldog)
Philosopher and Substack writer known as Bentham's Bulldog, active commentator on effective altruism and AI risk, and visiting scholar at the Forethought Institute.
Best podcasts with Matthew Adelstein (Bentham's Bulldog)
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Feb 10, 2026 • 2h 28min
His P(Doom) Is Only 2.6% — AI Doom Debate with Bentham's Bulldog, a.k.a. Matthew Adelstein
Matthew Adelstein (Bentham's Bulldog), a philosopher and Substack writer on AI risk, defends a P(Doom) of just 2.6% using a multi-step probability chain. They spar over alignment-by-default, the “goal engine” versus goal-wrapping debate, the risk of exfiltration and unstoppable agents, and whether current RLHF success predicts safe future systems. The discussion closes on shared policy ideas like possible global pauses.
