Matt Korda

In this discussion, experts Matt Korda and Andrew Krepinevich tackle the implications of China emerging as a third nuclear superpower. They analyze the shifting dynamics of global nuclear politics, emphasizing the challenges this poses to U.S. and Russia's long-standing deterrence strategies. With China's nuclear arsenal projected to expand significantly, they delve into military posturing and the urgent need for diplomatic dialogue. The complexities of a tripolar nuclear landscape are highlighted, alongside historical tensions and potential strategies for maintaining stability.

Matt Korda, a nuclear-arms tracker at the Federation of American Scientists, and Thomas Countryman, a former U.S. arms control diplomat, discuss the lapse of the last US-Russia treaty. They cover START history and how limits cut arsenals, escalating risks today, China’s role in talks, verification and short-term measures, and how more nuclear actors and politics raise accident and escalation dangers.