Lenny Brawner

Nathaniel Rakich, an experienced election analyst, and Lenny Brawner, a data scientist at The Washington Post, delve into the upcoming 2025 Election Night. They discuss what to expect as polls close in key states, along with the nuances of live data analysis. Rakich highlights trends to watch, especially in Virginia and New Jersey, while Brawner shares insights on demographic data and precinct-level results. The duo breaks down the significance of NYC's diverse electorate and anticipates the impact of California's slow vote counting.

Mary Radcliffe, Head of Research at 50 Plus One, offers polling and turnout context. Lenny Brawner, Senior Data Scientist at The Washington Post, provides quantitative poll and precinct analysis. They debate top-two dynamics in California, who might prevail in Illinois’ 9th, turnout patterns in Latino counties, and when politician pivots or apologies move voters.

Mary Radcliffe, a political commentator specializing in Pennsylvania, and Lenny Brawner, a senior data scientist at The Washington Post, dive into the dynamics behind the government shutdown. They discuss polling data revealing that Americans blame Republicans more than Democrats, influencing compromise strategies. The duo explores how question wording impacts survey results and the historical patterns of blame. They also analyze the latest New York Times poll findings, highlighting the stark gender gap in approval ratings and the implications for political strategies.