Ipek Ozil

In this insightful discussion, Ipek Ozil, Head of U.S. Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy at J.P. Morgan, joins Khagendra Gupta to delve into the intricate world of US and Eurex futures. They explore the drivers behind U.S. futures roll and share perspectives on the December 2025 to March 2026 bond rollover. Ipek sheds light on funding rates, emphasizing the impact of missing CFTC data and the importance of optionality in bond futures. Their conversation reveals the complex interplay between market dynamics and positioning analysis, making it a must-listen for finance enthusiasts.

Phoebe White, Head of U.S. Inflation Strategy at J.P. Morgan, and Ipek Ozil, Head of U.S. Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy, dive into crucial topics surrounding U.S. economic dynamics. They discuss the impact of delayed economic data on market sentiment and explain the intricacies of the Fed's Reserve Management Purchases. Phoebe clarifies how these purchases affect Treasury issuance, while Ipek touches on the implications for swap spreads and funding markets. Their insights shed light on potential liquidity shifts in 2026!

In this insightful discussion, Phoebe White shares her expertise on U.S. inflation and forecasts a path for Treasury yields, while Ipek Ozil delves into U.S. swap spreads and introduces compelling option strategies for the coming year. Khagendra Gupta presents his take on the volatility of German swap spreads, and Aditya Chordia analyzes the outlook for German yields and intra-EMU spreads against a backdrop of evolving political risks. Together, they provide a comprehensive view of global rates as we head towards 2026.

Ipek Ozil, Head of U.S. Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy at J.P. Morgan, brings market and policy expertise. She discusses Fed policy paths versus market pricing. She explains Fed balance-sheet T-bill actions and effects on dollar funding. She outlines near-term €STR–SOFR basis drivers and seasonal USD issuance patterns.

Ben Jarman, Australian rates strategist focused on AUD swap spreads. Takafumi Yamawaki, Japan rates strategist tracking JGB supply and fiscal risks. Francis Diamond, U.K. rates strategist on BOE policy and political premia. Ipek Ozil, U.S. rates strategist covering volatility, carry trades and geopolitical shocks. They discuss drivers of DM swap spreads, curve dynamics across markets, and key risks that could shift spreads.