
Clay Alter
Prediction market and sports bettor known as ClayA on Kalshi who discussed his manual trading approach, background in poker and promos, and rise on the Kalshi leaderboard with substantial profits.
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29 snips
May 6, 2026 • 2h 9min
Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154
Clay Alter, a former poker player turned prediction-market trader known as ClayA, built $1.5M+ on Kalshi using manual, live orderbook trading. He discusses shifting from promos and sports betting to prediction markets. Short takes cover market-making vs taking, finding niche markets, sizing and order strategies, and adapting as competition tightens.


