
Bee Boileau
IFS researcher contributing expertise on public spending pressures and departmental budgets, with particular commentary on defence, migration and spending review issues.
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Mar 4, 2026 • 41min
The Spring Forecast explained
Ben Zaranko, an IFS economic researcher focused on forecasts and public finance risks, and Bee Boileau, an IFS researcher on public spending and defence, discuss the Spring Forecast. They cover how higher energy prices from the Middle East conflict could drive inflation and squeeze households, the fiscal trade-offs of raising defence to 3% of GDP, and key uncertainties: unemployment, migration and volatile capital gains tax receipts.


