Basil Halperin
Economist and professor at the University of Virginia focused on the economics of transformative AI, known for research on asset-pricing signals for TAI, growth models of automated research, and public finance implications of AI.
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Feb 9, 2026 • 1h 29min
Basil Halperin: Leading Indicators for TAI, Conditions for the Singularity, and Tax Policy at the End of History
Basil Halperin, economist and UVA professor studying the economics of transformative AI. He discusses using real interest rates as a forward signal for TAI risks and timelines. He explains when automating research could produce explosive growth and the key roles of spillovers and diminishing returns. He also covers how AI reshapes tax policy, rents, and funding public goods.
