The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1076: Analyzing 2025's Biggest Misses
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Jan 23, 2026 Dive into a reflective look at fantasy football blunders from 2025. The host candidly reviews his missed calls on Calvin Ridley and the Dallas backfield, emphasizing the pitfalls of intuition over data. He assesses the misjudgment in buying Lamar Jackson and the Eagles' underwhelming offensive performance. Additionally, discussions on the Jacksonville backfield and the Seattle running game shed light on decision-making processes. It's an honest take on learning from mistakes and refining strategies for future success.
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Regretting The Ridley Target
- JJ recounts adding Calvin Ridley to his target list despite his own rule about rookie QBs hurting receivers.
- He calls this a clear process error and regrets overdrafting Ridley late in the draft season.
Elite Target Shares Drive Rookie-QB Success
- JJ notes receivers who succeed with rookie quarterbacks usually have elite target shares (~26% per game).
- He admits he wrongly assumed Ridley could achieve an elite target share despite it being unlikely.
Cowboys Backfield Misread
- JJ admits he misjudged the Cowboys backfield, preferring Jaden Blue over Javante Williams and later regretted relying on feel.
- He blames quotes from coaches and subjective impressions for skewing his process away from objective data.