The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway Will the U.S. Go to War With Iran? — with Karim Sadjadpour
133 snips
Feb 26, 2026 
Karim Sadjadpour, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment specializing in Iran and U.S. policy, provides sharp geopolitical analysis. He breaks down rising U.S.-Iran tensions, the odds of military action versus negotiation, Iran’s internal weaknesses and potential for change. They also explore regional calculations, coordination with Israel and Gulf states, and whether offering Iran an off-ramp could limit escalation.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Game Of Chicken Between Trump And Khamenei
- The U.S. and Iran are playing a high-stakes game of chicken between President Trump and Ayatollah Khamenei.
- Trump seeks pressure-driven concessions but Iran's leadership prizes resistance, making a diplomatic overlap unlikely right now.
Deal Is Preferable But Unlikely
- Military action is more likely because a negotiated deal currently appears unlikely.
- Iran poses real risks (missiles, proxies, oil disruption) so Trump would prefer a deal but may still choose force given limited overlap in demands.
Regime Change Depends On Iranians Not Bombs
- Iran's regime is deeply unpopular and likely unsustainable long-term, but change will come from Iranians not U.S. bombs.
- U.S. interventions in Iraq and Afghanistan show military power rarely dictates political outcomes.