Call Me Back - with Dan Senor What Happens If the U.S. Strikes Iran?- with Karim Sadjadpour and Nadav Eyal
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Jan 14, 2026 
Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran analyst at the Carnegie Endowment, and Nadav Eyal, a journalist focused on the Middle East, dive into the complexities surrounding potential U.S. military action against Iran. They discuss the implications of President Trump’s threats, the likelihood of Iranian retaliation, and whether the Ayatollah regime is on the brink of collapse. Insights into Israel's military readiness and the challenges of Iran’s internet blackout highlight the urgency of the situation, along with a debate over what the West should do next.
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Debate In Israel Over Regime Stability
- Israeli opinion is split between those who say the regime is finished and those who say it's firmly in control.
- Nadav Eyal highlights this debate affects whether to push for active assistance or adopt caution.
War Can Backfire For Late Regimes
- External war can either consolidate or hasten a regime's fall depending on timing and regime strength.
- Karim Sadjadpour notes late-stage dictatorships risk humiliation that may accelerate their collapse rather than rally support.
On‑the‑Ground Memory Of Tehran Protests
- Karim Sadjadpour recalls attending protests in Tehran two decades ago to observe dynamics.
- He describes streets sealed off and the terror of seeing thousands of armed men shooting to kill.
