High Variance with Danny Buerkli

Labor Market Impacts of AI – with Bharat Chandar

Dec 29, 2025
Bharat Chandar, a labor economist and postdoc at the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, dives into the effects of AI on the workforce. He shares insights from his research, highlighting a slowdown in entry-level hiring in AI-exposed jobs, particularly impacting younger workers. Bharat discusses the importance of understanding how small demographic groups can be affected, even when aggregate data appears stable. He explores the future trajectories of AI's integration into labor, emphasizing the need for adaptive education and management approaches in a rapidly changing job landscape.
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INSIGHT

Multiple Future Scenarios Are Plausible

  • Future impacts could reverse if firms fully integrate AI and again hire entry-level workers, or broaden to affect senior roles as capabilities grow.
  • Ongoing data updates through November showed no reversal yet, so uncertainty remains.
INSIGHT

Capabilities Drive Adoption

  • Adoption depends on capabilities: as models improve (multimodal, agents, execution), more workplace applications become feasible.
  • Recent models improved output quality, reducing a major failure mode for task completion.
INSIGHT

Preference-Communication Is A Bottleneck

  • A key bottleneck may be communicating high-dimensional human preferences to models; iteration and careful prompting currently remain necessary.
  • It's unclear whether models can fully internalize complex, evolving preferences to eliminate this friction.
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