Halftime Report Trading the Iran War Uncertainty 3/26/26
10 snips
Mar 26, 2026 Guest
Rob (Other Investment Committee Member)
Guest
Steve Weiss
Guest
Malcolm (Unknown Last Name)
Guest
Josh Brown
Rob, an investment committee member focused on private credit and stock calls; Steve Weiss, market commentator with cash and positioning views; Malcolm, market and consumer analyst; Josh Brown, CIO known for stock picks. They tackle trading amid Iran war uncertainty and oil-driven market moves. They debate portfolio moves, private credit stress, consumer pain from rising gas, AI winners like Dell, and sector-specific buy ideas.
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Private Credit Faces Structural Fundraising Shock
- Private credit is under pressure with gates and withdrawal limits raising confidence concerns and likely reducing future fundraising.
- This structural change may remove a major growth engine for the space.
Index Masking Hidden Stock Carnage
- Index-level small drawdown masks deep dispersion: many individual stocks and sectors show severe 'wipeouts' even while indices are only down modestly.
- Examples include homebuilders and retail names down ~35% while utilities and energy hold up.
Buy Beaten Consumer Stocks With Size Discipline
- Consider small, tactical reentries into beaten-up consumer names ahead of seasonal tailwinds but expect risks.
- Rob bought a small position in Dick's Sporting Goods and will add if it falls further before May reports.